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January 26-27 Storm Disco/Obs II


Baroclinic Zone

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Its not going to track close enough and its hauling azz getting the boot from the kicker upstream....its going to be a fast mover. Should be pretty intense though for several hours.

You guys are going to get crushed. Those are some sick returns down in the mid-Atlantic. If SNE gets in on that inflow band...whew that'll be a wild 6 hour ride.

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It's not moving east LOL..Not sure if folks have their monitors upside down or what

I believe what they are seeing is the low center moving ene on a heading towards the benchmark later.What you need to look at is the precip shield moving up along pa/nj area,thats what is comming or way not the center,you wouldnt want center over or near us anyway for a snow storm

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My final call:

Boston - 3.5"

Plymouth - 6.5"

Lowell - 2.5"

Worcester - 3.5"

Providence - 5.25"

Hartford - 4"

New Haven - 6.5"

Barnstable - 9.5"

New York - 8.5"

Philly - 10.5"

You realize HVN had like 4 already right? LOL

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG PVA/HEIGHT FALLS AND STEEPENING MID-LEVEL

LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF THIS UPPER ENERGY AND GULF/ATLANTIC MOISTURE

BEING WRAPPED BACK BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR SNOW TO RAPIDLY

DEVELOP FROM SW TO NE BETWEEN 5 PM AND 8 PM ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

ANY MIXED PRECIP SHOULD QUICKLY TRANSITION OVER TO THE SNOW IN

RESPONSE TO STRONG VERTICAL MOTION.

HEAVY SNOW BANDING IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA DUE TO THE

STRONG DEFORMATION/FRONTOGENETIC FORCING. COMBINED WITH AN AXIS OF

INSTABILITY NOSING IN ALOFT...WILL ADD IN THE MENTION OF THUNDERSNOW

THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR LIKELY THIS

EVENING INTO FIRST HALF OF OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. FAR

NW ZONES WILL BE ON NW PERIPHERY...SO LOOKING FOR A SHORTER PERIOD

OF MODERATE SNOW.

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new haven has 4" already, new haven plymouth, lowell, providence, and barnstable will all get rocked later

providence is going to get 2" more with the CCB?

Guess he likes the east movement a lot .... anyways,

Red taggers looking for your rough calls for the area ... will, ryan, scott ?

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