tmagan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Quite a few lightning strikes in eastern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Low is deepening rapidly and centered near the coast of SE VA - down to 997 mb at 19z. Even the RUC is lagging behind on the deepening of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Manalapan, NJ 4" Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Looking at radar/obs I would be VERY surprised if the heavy CCB/Deform precip misses up to the SE. If anything I would be more worried about some of the precip being wasted as rain/sleet at the start. Anything could still happen but I think NW Jersey is probably ok with round #2. NW NJ will probably just squeeze in on the NW side of the action. Far NW less so. Still best snows probably right up the line of PHI to NYC and 25 miles either side of that line. If I hit 6" I will have varified for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Latest SREF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Low is deepening rapidly and centered near the coast of SE VA - down to 997 mb at 19z. Even the RUC is lagging behind on the deepening of the low. and the wind is picking up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wife says 4 freehold, me at work, Princeton, skillman NJ is 5. Been r s mix for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Low is deepening rapidly and centered near the coast of SE VA - down to 997 mb at 19z. Even the RUC is lagging behind on the deepening of the low. Lock and load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anybody have 2pm measurements? Let's try and get a thread roundup A wopping 1" as of 2:45PM! only 5 to go to verfiy. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tson96 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not a flake here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anybody have 2pm measurements? Let's try and get a thread roundup 3.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NW NJ will probably just squeeze in on the NW side of the action. Far NW less so. Still best snows probably right up the line of PHI to NYC and 25 miles either side of that line. If I hit 6" I will have varified for mby. This is my thinking as well. I think from there it will all swing ENE, getting Long Island in on the action. Also, don't be surprised if somewhere North and West of the 78/287 intersection has it's own mini snow band that develops as I have seen that happen many times before with these systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where are you in Putnam? Extreme western side near the Hudson. I should have specified because I figured the eastern side of the county would have done better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The RUC will continue to move that band eastward until it ends up along the coast and over NYC. Don't keep watching it, it will just break your heart. Probably correct with that assessment and I am aware of it doing that previously. Still nice to have something to grasp. lol Now we can grasp the latest MD which we sit just on the NW edge of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 2" in Ridgefield, Ct. 1 mi. SN- continues. I think I'm a bit too far north to get the best banding for the longest time but considering how far north this first wave came (up to about 10 mi. north of I-84), the def. band may not be far behind. But PHL-NYC will absolutely rake for a period tonight. Someone down there will get into bands like SNE did on 1/12... upstream radar is a beast! That said, we have anywhere from 16"-20" on the ground (just like 1996, you can take a cross section of the snow and discern 12/26 snow from the norlun snow to the 1/12 snow then the ice then last Thursday... it's unreal) so if we get 8" - which seems like a good number for up this way - we'd have 2 feet of layer cake with more threats/cold airmasses (that 12Z GFS had Vodka cold) down the road entering FEB. Take plenty of mental snapshots, my friends. This is a once in 50 year winter for us ... seasonal trends FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 2" in Ridgefield, Ct. 1 mi. SN- continues. I think I'm a bit too far north to get the best banding for the longest time but considering how far north this first wave came (up to about 10 mi. north of I-84), the def. band may not be far behind. But PHL-NYC will absolutely rake for a period tonight. Someone down there will get into bands like SNE did on 1/12... upstream radar is a beast! That said, we have anywhere from 16"-20" on the ground (just like 1996, you can take a cross section of the snow and discern 12/26 snow from the norlun snow to the 1/12 snow then the ice then last Thursday... it's unreal) so if we get 8" - which seems like a good number for up this way - we'd have 2 feet of layer cake with more threats/cold airmasses (that 12Z GFS had Vodka cold) down the road entering FEB. Take plenty of mental snapshots, my friends. This is a once in 50 year winter for us ... seasonal trends FTW. Thats what everyone was saying last year Anyways, good description of the snowpack. Here I have 17" with snow going back to 12/26 and like you said, been piling it on ever since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Is the 2.3" new snow and the 4" snow on the ground? Floral Park Nassau L.I. as of 2:30P- 2.3/4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This is my thinking as well. I think from there it will all swing ENE, getting Long Island in on the action. Also, don't be surprised if somewhere North and West of the 78/287 intersection has it's own mini snow band that develops as I have seen that happen many times before with these systems. I have seen that happen many time before too just not at all with the systems this year so I suspect the same will hold true with this one. Still, for mby, I think I will be close enough to cash in some just not nearly as well as those to my S&E. NW of me it gets more questionable mile by mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Take plenty of mental snapshots, my friends. This is a once in 50 year winter for us ... seasonal trends FTW. And its amazing what will happen in the next week - they just keep on coming - wow. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
listarz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 As soon as I typed that it started coming down harder lol. Quite a bit of back and forth. Definitely in the battle zone here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Oh fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 2.5" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any Orange County posters? Anyone else up in this region receive only a dusting thus far? I was unable to view a radar since early this morning so do not know how the precip shield evolved. Figured it pushed a bit north of expectation and then slid and spread east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 SREF mean bumped the 1" line north and west a bit..now pretty much nearing NYC. Seems to be in agreement with most other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 still no report from the park? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Don't know if this was posted, but here's the 12z SPC-WRF. A tick northwest of the 12z NAM with QPF totals. 1" line goes west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any Orange County posters? Anyone else up in this region receive only a dusting thus far? I was unable to view a radar since early this morning so do not know how the precip shield evolved. Figured it pushed a bit north of expectation and then slid and spread east. Cornwall here. Just had some stray flakes until about an hour and a half ago. Light snow now with just a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Best frame is hr 18..that's 0.50-0.75" in 3 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any Orange County posters? Anyone else up in this region receive only a dusting thus far? I was unable to view a radar since early this morning so do not know how the precip shield evolved. Figured it pushed a bit north of expectation and then slid and spread east. It was pouring snow here about 30 minutes ago, back to light now. A dusting but more meltage than anything so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Don't know if this was posted, but here's the 12z SPC-WRF. A tick northwest of the 12z NAM with QPF totals. 1" line goes west of the city. New NAM brings the 0.5" line to Sussex County, and the 0.25" well NW of there. Destroys PHL-TTN with 1.25"+... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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