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NYC Area January 26-27 Bomb Discussion and OBS Part 3


earthlight

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KOKX sounding shows a marginal profile from about 725mb down to 875mb. But I'm not sure the widespread mixed precip is being caused by these warm levels. Rather, I don't think that profile can even produce snow crystals. Model forecast soundings throughout the area support this and show a cold profile below, probably cold enough to freeze raindrops, hence the widespread sleep. Forecast soundings snow rapid mid-level cooling throughout over the next few hours, which isn't a secret at this point.

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SPECIAL MARINE WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

806 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...

LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...

* UNTIL 845 PM EST...

* AT 759 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OVER 35 KNOTS OVER COLD

SPRING HARBOR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 KT.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

SMITHTOWN BAY AROUND 815 PM...

LONG NECK POINT AROUND 820 PM...

NORWALK ISLANDS AROUND 825 PM...

PENFIELD REEF AROUND 840 PM...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...

AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL

THIS STORM PASSES.

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We had a heavy shower of sleet and snow in the past 20 minutes...I'd say it was mostly sleet. This is one of those rare storms where I don't mind the sleet...its part of the show that I wouldn't want to miss. Already having 16" of snow on the ground takes the sting (pun intended) out of the sleet too.

Yes, the pitter-patter of sleet against the window made me happy I was not driving right now!

Also, I have noticed some ice accretion on my wrought-iron porch bannisters.

So what do we have, another hour or so before KABOOM happens?!?

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Sleet is very rude when you turn your head the wrong way outside right about now its kind of eery the wind is howling. This winter or at least this month was awesome top january in my books hands down and its not over .I think its about 10 yrs or more since these boards came alive i think it all started on the twc blogs see ya.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

742 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL POINT PLEASANT BEACH 40.09N 74.05W

01/26/2011 M0.25 INCH OCEAN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

0644 PM HAIL WEST LONG BRANCH 40.29N 74.02W

01/26/2011 E0.25 INCH MONMOUTH NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

BRIEF PEA SIZED HAIL FELL.

So we did have hail...... lol looks like a severe weather report, maybe we should have had severe thunderstorm warnings......

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I'm right near you at the 287/10 intersection - snow and especially wind just picked up over the past 20 minutes. The sleet line was dangerously close to here on the radar, but think we stayed all snow.

Ridgedale Ave? I work off Ridgedale Ave. Yep, I think I had maybe 1/2 hour of sleet/snow mix. Now all snow - moderate to heavy. Went outside for a smoke and could hardly finish the cigarette, wind driven snow blowing right at me. Brutal.

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