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NYC Area January 26-27 Bomb Discussion and OBS Part 3


earthlight

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There was some freezing drizzle in midtown as I walked from work to the subway.

Pretty sure the rain is just the result of insufficient lift and/or saturation in the snow crystallization zone. In other words, the lift is mostly low level, where it's relatively warm. I don't think it's above freezing anywhere in the column, except possibly right at the surface. 0z soundings would confirm. As soon as deeper lift arrives from the SW, any lingering drizzle or mix will switch to snow.

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In the forecast office for yet another major storm. I'll be checking in periodically throughout the night. Any and all obs are appreciated. Just got off of the phone with JFK, warned them about that cell...

Still think 6-12 local 12+ area wide. Waiting for frontogenesis signatures to lock down that deformation band and will adjust accordingly.

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