earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Continue here dudes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Posted this in the other thread for Philly - but will post it here for New Yorkers We picked up a dusting from this system over here in southern IL - parts of west KY received six to seven inches. Very narrow area. Looks nice this afternoon as I look off to the east on radar. I uploaded some views from GREarth of your storm Playing around with some of its capabilities. Thought some of you might like to see what it can do. I also repositioned my GREarth online radar to cover your area for this afternoon with its precipitation typing algorithm http://weatherobservatory.com/radar_grearth2.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This looks yummy...Thunder tonight anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Napping on/off now, but I don't think we've mixed at all in Manhattan yet, and we currently have light-ish snow with some fat flakes coming down. Maybe 4" or so so far, but I have to go out and measure. Regardless, definitely overperformed so far, and I still feel good about upping my call to 8-16" with 10-12" most likely (although I'm beginning to be nervous that even a foot could be low if the deform band nails NYC as the RUC is showing). Also, we've passed 40" for the winter and could potentially pass 50" if NYC gets 12"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParsippanyWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NW shift. Can't believe NW Jersey actually has a shot. It's all good though. We have around 15" on the ground (12" old snow and about 3" new from today) and come Friday morning we should have 20+ on the ground with cold air in place, a clipper swinging through Sat and another "Potential" snow treat next week. what a winter. Snow lover's paradise. http://www.twisterda...REF_SURFACE.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Both NAM and GFS indicate blizzard criteria being met for the eastern third of Suffolk County, LI tonight between around 8PM and midnight. A lot will depend on how well the deformation band holds together as it pushes east toward LI. Already gusting to 27 kt at Atlantic City, 35 kt at Wildwood, NJ, 33 kt in Salisbury, MD, and 39 kt in Wallops Island, VA. Keep in mind that both the NAM and GFS are already 2-3 mb too high on pressures over coastal NE NC/SE VA at 18z. On the other hand, the GFS is verifying too high on winds over eastern LI right now. RUC indicates 40 kt gusts over the Twin Forks tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Continue here dudes the 17z RUC shifted west some. does the deform band hang there in n/w nj ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Upper Manhattan-- Snow has picked up again, snowing moderately now, with some nice big flakes. No mix at all today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Both NAM and GFS indicate blizzard criteria being met for the eastern third of Suffolk County, LI tonight between around 8PM and midnight. A lot will depend on how well the deformation band holds together as it pushes east toward LI. Already gusting to 27 kt at Atlantic City, 35 kt at Wildwood, NJ, 33 kt in Salisbury, MD, and 39 kt in Wallops Island, VA. Keep in mind that both the NAM and GFS are already 2-3 mb too high on pressures over coastal NE NC/SE VA at 18z. I think the three consecutive hour part of the criteria would make it tough to reach especially given the speed of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 the 17z RUC shifted west some. does the deform band hang there in n/w nj ? 18z Ruc almost complete so we shall see if it holds to the 17Z idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 They keep referring to this as 2 storms on TWC. Is that technically correct? As the radar fills in, I can't help but wonder if this is just one big beast coming together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Up in white plains now but before I left my house in bronxville I measured 5.6 inches. Its snowing at a moderate clip here in white plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That's some impressive convection down in virginia. Encouraged by the ruc but less so by the euro. We'll see what ends up happening tonight when the band sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Picked up 5" new at work in Bayside. Now 39.5" of snow. Hopefully, can reach 45"-50" by tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 18z Ruc almost complete so we shall see if it holds to the 17Z idea Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluebythec Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Southern Monmouth County - Manasquan -changed to rain sleet mix @ an hour ago. Slushy mess here now and mostly light rain. Temp 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 18Z a touch east of 17Z for NW areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I wouldn't call it 2 storms, just a break in the action or in some cases the precip may never totally shut off before the 2nd round later on. Same thing happened in Dec 95, Dec 03, where we had a burst of snow, break in the action/light precip and then heavy thump They keep referring to this as 2 storms on TWC. Is that technically correct? As the radar fills in, I can't help but wonder if this is just one big beast coming together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 18z Ruc almost complete so we shall see if it holds to the 17Z idea 18Z ruc is complete on NCEP and it doesnt look as far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParsippanyWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 18Z a touch east of 17Z for NW areas. Do you have a pic or a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 18Z RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Picked up 5" new at work in Bayside. Now 39.5" of snow. Hopefully, can reach 45"-50" by tomorrow morning. I have no doubt that at a minimum you will be in that range.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Canadian version of the RUC radar valid at 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hop in my bed dudes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The battle between sleet and snow in the Village by NYU.... Was all sleet before and now back to snow. Radar looks like main system is starting to fill in between the batch that is over us....might stay light precip the whole afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chazman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HM says all the 18z models are junk. None compare vs reality. Said watch sat/radar going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Back edge on the Delaware River at 1AM per 18Z RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Dobbs Ferry, NY -SN 4.25"+ 30.8/29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HM says all the 18z models are junk. None compare vs reality. Said watch sat/radar going forward. Models are just one piece of the puzzle. Cannot totally disregard them but it is true much more weight is to be given to real time data such as radar, surface condtions, water vapor etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HM says all the 18z models are junk. None compare vs reality. Said watch sat/radar going forward. Crystal ball? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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