Pitmaster Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If the HV verifies with that 8-12 inches followed by ice we will be in a world of hurt. Are we really looking at that kind of scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If the HV verifies with that 8-12 inches followed by ice we will be in a world of hurt. Are we really looking at that kind of scenario? It depends if you believe the GFS or the NAM!!!! I honestly don't know at this stage what to think... It is a tough call for the wednesday event, but by end of day tomorrow, we could see 4-6" down... After that, who knows!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm having such a hard time seeing this low drive straight into that high in Canada. It looks to me like it's stretching out W>E at 1000mb+ which is fairly strong isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It depends if you believe the GFS or the NAM!!!! I honestly don't know at this stage what to think... It is a tough call for the wednesday event, but by end of day tomorrow, we could see 4-6" down... After that, who knows!!! Thanks Radders- I hear you. Even 4-6 followed by an ice storm will still be wild. Here in my neighborhood they brought in backloaders this morning and are moving huge snow piles around. An ominous sign perhaps - we are running out of room to put it. Anything more is icing on the cake - no pun intended : ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 My town was also moving snowbanks around this morning. Unfortunately they are dumping them into any open spots including driveways and front yards. When I saw them filling driveway entrances this morning I turned around to go home and put a shovel in my car so I could get into my driveway when I get home at 10pm tonight. At this point I'm hoping for a miracle. I so want to see this thing bounce south below the HP and slide off the NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 12z NAM gives us tons of snow.. 15-20" while the GFS gives us half that. Its anyones guess at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think it's essentially a lock that the MHV get's sleet along with the snow. The question is - does FZRA make it up to the I-84 corridor. You might be able to dodge that bullet and just get a measely 10 or 12" of snow/sleet combo. 12z NAM gives us tons of snow.. 15-20" while the GFS gives us half that. Its anyones guess at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think it's essentially a lock that the MHV get's sleet along with the snow. The question is - does FZRA make it up to the I-84 corridor. You might be able to dodge that bullet and just get a measely 10 or 12" of snow/sleet combo. That would be my guess as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 That would be my guess as well.. I am going to go out on a limb (against the Euro/GFS mid-level thermals) and say that the Putnam/Dutchess Co border (I84 corridor) is the general line for the snow vs. sleet boundary.. More snow, less sleet further north and vice versa further south.. I think SWF/POU gets 10" out of this if all goes well tomorrow and we manage to get 6"with the initial event. It is going to be fun to track regardless!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can someone link me to NWS ALY's snowfall map? I can never find it. Thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can someone link me to NWS ALY's snowfall map? I can never find it. Thanks... It's on their front page up top in their Winter section. I'd get the link for you but I can't even get on their site, the NWS servers are having a hard time today with all of the traffic I presume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It's on their front page up top in their Winter section. I'd get the link for you but I can't even get on their site, the NWS servers are having a hard time today with all of the traffic I presume. Cool, I see it. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Here is the newest Upton maps. OC is on the edge of getting a good thump of snow or an icy disaster. I rather it snow for obvious reasons. Upton thinks snow which is good news for now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 457 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION...LOCALLY HIGHER IN ORANGE COUNTY...AND UP TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION BY LATE WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW BEGINS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUES MUCH OF TUESDAY...TRANSITIONING TO A WINTRY MIX TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING INTERMITTENT TUESDAY EVENING. THEN HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET DEVELOPS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyR Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I wouldn't be surprised to see the mix even further to the south. I realize that this is a powerful storm, but that PV over eastern Canada has owned us all winter and keep the money snows just to our south. Is this one really gonna be the one to buck that trend? Maybe it's just the weather in me, but I think not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Imagine being a contractor with a fixed season contract to plow out driveways? Those folks are hurtin'. They get paid whether it snows or not. They're going to charge quite a bundle next year to make up for this year's fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Rick that’s nice forecast continuality between offices Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18.6/5 Hopefully this trends colder and we stay snow as long as possible and keep the ice to a min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Rick that’s nice forecast continuality between offices Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 hoping the nam is wrong, hammers POU with freezing rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 hoping the nam is wrong, hammers POU with freezing rain... 0Z NAM Precip output: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 18* and flurries.. Looking to add to my nice snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 17-degrees and steady light snow with about 1\4 inch dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 0Z NAM Precip output: freezing rain blows.. 06z continues with quite a bit of freezing rain for POU..... HOPING FOR SLEET INSTEAD... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 freezing rain blows.. 06z continues with quite a bit of freezing rain for POU..... HOPING FOR SLEET INSTEAD... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Boy that's some loud snow falling heavily out there right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 4.3" here so far here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 4 inches here in Monroe. Starting to snow heavier at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Just shy of 4" here... I don't like this dry punch that seems to be running directly into the area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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