TJay Posted March 12, 2011 Share Posted March 12, 2011 One of the delivery options for the rain gauge is via " SpeeDee Delivery" I thought that guy McFeeley (holy smokes what a creepy name) retired in the 70's.... I am going to order it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 12, 2011 Share Posted March 12, 2011 Got some water in the cellar down at the Saugerties cottage yesterday, but it had already mostly drained out by 5 PM so not one of the worst. A lot of roads were closed earlier in the town and I had to traverse some areas of 6 inch water over a few back roads in the upper part of Saugerties and lower part of the Town of Catskill (Kaaterskill Creek) ...but I have seen worse certainly. Schools were closed though because of blocked roads early in the day. Back home here in Knox.... still essentially 100% white ground and rather deep yet in the woods ...will measure later. We had some snow showers earlier leaving maybe a .2" dusting. That was the remains of the old deformation snows that left 2 to 4 inches in western NY yesterday. One of the delivery options for the rain gauge is via " SpeeDee Delivery" I thought that guy McFeeley (holy smokes what a creepy name) retired in the 70's.... I am going to order it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 Still need to pump the basement out a few times each day. Gonna have to pull the floor up when this dries and scrub the f'n mold that's bound to be there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Happy St. Patricks Day everyone, beware of the Plastic Paddies today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Today looks to be a fine day, looking ahead to the weekend we get skunked again. At least the grass is starting to turn green. Happy St. Patricks Day everyone, beware of the Plastic Paddies today! Have a good day Rob! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Happy St. Patricks Day everyone, beware of the Plastic Paddies today! You too Rob. Enjoy!! ( I put the snowman in because it's wearin green) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Snow tires back on the car? Told ya that by changing them I was guaranteeing more snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Snow tires back on the car? Told ya that by changing them I was guaranteeing more snow Hopefully it won't bring down a bunch of twigs, I'm halfway done raking my yard and hope to finish later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Snow tires back on the car? Told ya that by changing them I was guaranteeing more snow LOL I was cleaning out the garage and was going to put the snowblower away today. I left it out in the back yard and was going to drain the gas out. I looked at the forcast just before doing so. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 324 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011 .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --THE LONG TERM PATTERN IS DOMINATED BY BLOCKING WITH REX BLOCK OVER CENTRAL CANADA AND THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...THUS LEAVING EASTERN CANADA UNDER A POLAR VORTEX. A SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE TO NEGATIVE NAO. THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN IS WELL FORECAST (LOW SPREAD) BY THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEMS. THE UNCERTAINTY IS WITH THE SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS AND TIMING OF THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE VORTEX. THE FIRST OF THIS OCCURS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. LOOKING AT THE 00Z ECMWF EFS AND 12Z GEFS...SPREAD IS LOW FOR SFC LOW PRESSURE PASSING SOUTH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH AN INVERTED "NORLUN" TROUGH FEATURED FOR THURSDAY. THUS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF PCPN STARTING WEDNESDAY AFTN INTO THURSDAY. P-TYPE IS CHALLENGING WITH GEFS SUGGESTING POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW THURSDAY MORNING WITH QPF OF OVER A HALF INCH BEING THE 30-50% RANGE. THE DETERMINISTIC 12Z GEFS GIVES MINIMAL WARNING LEVEL SNOW AT KSWF. FOR NOW...KEEPING IT MIX FOR COAST WITH POPS IN THE 30-50% RANGE AS TEMPS/THICKNESSES ARE MARGINAL. AS THE LOW DEEPENS EAST OF THE REGION LATE THURSDAY...PCPN SHOULD END...THOUGH UNCERTAINTY REQUIRES CARRYING LOW POPS INTO THURSDAY EVENING. NW FLOW/COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES INTO SATURDAY. SOME FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN HILLS. TEMPS ARE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE LONG RANGE.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 So whadday'all think for the morning? Need the snow tires back on the car or hope for a quick warmup and still make it to work by 11? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 I certainly wouldn't have taken them off before March 20th. I don't use snow tires so doesn't matter... I got rid of most of the snow on the lawn, and still a handful of much diminished snow banks remaining. Most woods still have full snow cover. So I have been raking stone back off the lawn - left by the many plowings. If we get more plowable snows, I'm doing a very basic minimal job because the sun will make fast work of a few inches left etc....not gonna put more gravel on the lawn after all my work. . So whadday'all think for the morning? Need the snow tires back on the car or hope for a quick warmup and still make it to work by 11? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 I don't think anyone needs to put snow tires back on but I've never used them so what do I know. My yard is raked nice and clean, including all the stone back in the driveway where it belongs, for now anyway....I hope it stays that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 21, 2011 Author Share Posted March 21, 2011 3" of new snow.... Temp of 33* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 3" of new snow.... Temp of 33* 1.25" new down here, temp also at 33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 1.6" here and one last decent burst coming in.... 32F. I was hoping for about 3", but the best has stayed mainly north of the Thruway up here it seems. The Dacks are getting it nicely ...not surprising though given the track. 1.25" new down here, temp also at 33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 IF the 12z NAM played out as projected this week I'll be raking lots of rocks out of my lawn again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 IF the 12z NAM played out as projected this week I'll be raking lots of rocks out of my lawn again... Yuppers, the 12z NAM puts out 15.3" for KSWF http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=nam&site=kswf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Buds on trees Check Day Lilies coming up Check Grass turning green Check Heavy snow AM 30 foot visibility on I87 Check The 850's for later this week are oh so close to being a rain storm, we can always hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Buds on trees Check Day Lilies coming up Check Grass turning green Check Heavy snow AM 30 foot visibility on I87 Check The 850's for later this week are oh so close to being a rain storm, we can always hope Upton's snow map Check http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php 18z NAM Check http://www.meteor.ia...=namm&site=kswf Uptons AFD Check AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 446 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011 .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/... MAIN SYSTEM THROUGH THIS TIME FRAME IMPACTS CWA DIRECTLY FROM EARLY WED MORNING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. BASED ON DETAILED ANALYSIS OF ENSEMBLES/GLOBAL/OPERATIONAL MODELS...WILL FOLLOW CLOSELY WITH 12Z GFS FOR OVERALL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. WILL NOT TOTALLY DISCOUNT NAM/WRF HOWEVER...WITH MAYBE A 75 TO 25 PERCENT SPLIT IN THE TWO SOLUTIONS. NAM IS DEEPER...SLOWER WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND SFC LOW. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM CANADA TUESDAY. ALOFT...RIDGING WILL GIVE WAY TO UPSTREAM UPPER MID WEST TROUGH. THIS TROUGH TRAVERSES EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LOWERING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. FOR TUESDAY...MORNING SUNSHINE WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS THAT WILL ADVANCE FROM THE WEST OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. DECENT MIXING DEPTH AND TEMPS AROUND -2 TO -4 AT H850 HPA WOULD SUGGEST MAX TEMPS AROUND 50 OR IN THE 50S. CLOUDS LOWER AND THICKEN TUESDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT...WARM AIR ADVECTION...ASSOCIATED LIFT AND PRECIP ENCROACHES ON THE AREA. TEMPS SHOULD FALL CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS...UPPER 20S INTERIOR AND MID 30S NEAR THE COAST. SFC LOW QUICKLY MOVES FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TO JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FROM WED MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. IT IS AT THIS TIME THAT WE SHOULD OBSERVE WINTRY PRECIP...WITH BORDERLINE TEMPS ALOFT AND AT THE SFC. AMPLE LIFT...AND CHILLY AIR IN PLACE WILL MAKE FOR AN INTERESTING YET CHALLENGING FORECAST. IN SPITE OF THE LATE MARCH DATE...LATEST RUN OF THE NAM/WRF WOULD SUPPORT SNOW ACROSS MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THE CWA. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WOULD BE ACROSS THE INTERIOR...MAINLY SRN CT AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. AT THIS TIME...I CANNOT RULE OUT WARNING LEVEL SNOWFALL FOR AT LEAST SOME PORTION OF THE CWA AS THE LOW PASSES SOUTH. ADVISORY SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH...BUT MUCH LESS LIKELY NEAR THE COAST. GFS WEAKER...WARMER AND QUICKER WITH OVERALL SYSTEM...KEEPING AMOUNTS DOWN. WARMER SFC TEMPS ON TUESDAY AND INTO TUESDAY NIGHT MAY PREVENT SNOW FROM STICKING AT THE ONSET...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. TEMPS RISE LITTLE IN CLOUDS AND PRECIP WEDNESDAY...WITH READINGS LIKELY TO HOLD IN THE 30S. BY WED NIGHT AND THURSDAY...TEMPS ALOFT COOL FURTHER...SO ANY LINGERING PRECIP WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AT THAT TIME. WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE THURSDAY...COULD SEE UP TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR. 1 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE AS YOU HEAD CLOSER TO THE COAST...WITH LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUM NEAR THE COAST...NYC METRO. ANY PRECIP TAPERS OFF THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SFC LOW SCOOTS WELL OFFSHORE...WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND PRECIP MOVING ACROSS SE MASS BY THAT TIME. && It will change. But as they say in Lotto " Hey, ya never know" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 The NAM quite much lighter with the QPF in recent runs, which is a bit odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 The NAM quite much lighter with the QPF in recent runs, which is a bit odd. Yea, it has backed off big time. The 06z run only has .20 of QPF for KSWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yea, it has backed off big time. The 06z run only has .20 of QPF for KSWF. It looks like the NAM is pushing the higher QPF to our south and west. Did you get anything on the ground yesterday? i heard that there wasn't much on the east side of the county. I had 2" IMBY that was still around last night but is mostly gone this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Early release from schools tomorrow? Do you guys think enough will stick during the day for this to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Early release from schools tomorrow? Do you guys think enough will stick during the day for this to happen? Does it really matter if it sticks or not for the schools to close early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I guess not. I just can't have anybody at my house to deal with the kids before 2:30 when they usually get off the bus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I guess not. I just can't have anybody at my house to deal with the kids before 2:30 when they usually get off the bus. I don't miss those days, my youngest is 13 now, good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 It looks like the NAM is pushing the higher QPF to our south and west. Did you get anything on the ground yesterday? i heard that there wasn't much on the east side of the county. I had 2" IMBY that was still around last night but is mostly gone this morning. It pretty much ended at the west side of the airport at Stewart. It was a nice drive along 84 yesterday seeing the white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 It looks like the NAM is pushing the higher QPF to our south and west. Did you get anything on the ground yesterday? i heard that there wasn't much on the east side of the county. I had 2" IMBY that was still around last night but is mostly gone this morning. I noticed it as well when I was driving on 17 towards the thruway.. Once I hit Chester there was barely a half an inch while up in Middletown 3-4" was widespread.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I noticed it as well when I was driving on 17 towards the thruway.. Once I hit Chester there was barely a half an inch while up in Middletown 3-4" was widespread.. Ditto that. I was in New Hampton in the morning and there was a noticable difference between there and Goshen. Then last evening I still had solid snow cover, about an inch, and I drove to Washingtonville where there was nothing. That little bit of snowcover did wonders for the fog, wasn't a fun ride home even thought I know the roads like the back of my hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I saw this in the NYC thread, it looks like it nails us 12z RGEM http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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