TJay Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I think the tundra has hit critical mass; it can't absorb much more rain, meltwater and hold itself together, its already the consistency of a snowcone. If the warm ar manages to make it in here and temps get in to the upper 40's or higher tomorrow and it rains it should take a major beating. When I left work last night, most snow was gone from the ground in Rockland except for plow mounds. Drove thur Goshen Village and a lot ground was visable. Got home and found most of the snow was still intact. Thinner but still there. On the bright side, at least I have a few open patches of ground. Maybe it will be gone by April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I'm calling it 98% cover in mby. Front yard is another story Generally on my side of the hill there is still 4"+, a few of the very exposed areas are burnt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I also have exposed areas in the yard which are growing in size but I have 6-8" at my snow stakes. I only started putting snow stakes in the ground in the fall of 2009 so I have a few of them to see what is the best location in the yard for them. Besides all of the trees I can get a good amount of wind so I needed to find the least disturbed spots. I found a pretty good spot this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 In case you have not seen this, NCEP model page is moving on 4-5-11<BR><BR>from <BR><BR><A class=bbc_url title="External link" href="http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/" rel="nofollow external">http://www.nco.ncep....wprod/analysis/</A><BR><BR>to<BR><BR><A class=bbc_url title="External link" href="http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller" rel="nofollow external">http://mag.ncep.noaa...B/appcontroller</A> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 12Z Euro has a huge hit for the hudson valley for the March 7th storm.. looks like at least 6 inches of heavy wet snow.. not sure if it's believable, but that's what it's saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 12Z Euro has a huge hit for the hudson valley for the March 7th storm.. looks like at least 6 inches of heavy wet snow.. not sure if it's believable, but that's what it's saying. Thanks Jay. You never know, we'll see how the next few runs trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 12Z Euro has a huge hit for the hudson valley for the March 7th storm.. looks like at least 6 inches of heavy wet snow.. not sure if it's believable, but that's what it's saying. No thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 If the model trends continue I may be glad that a friend is storing his boat at my place.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 If the model trends continue I may be glad that a friend is storing his boat at my place.... Yup, the ground is saturated and a boat load of QPF on tap for the next couple of events.The Wakill river is still up a bit too. http://www.hpc.ncep....qpf/p120i12.gif http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Yup, the ground is saturated and a boat load of QPF on tap for the next couple of events.The Wakill river is still up a bit too. http://www.hpc.ncep....qpf/p120i12.gif http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php The Wallkill has been clear by me for the past week and close to bankfull, but you don't have to go too far north to hit the ice according to Upton. They say the ice still runs from Walden up to Gardiner. If that's is still the case and based on what the gauge at Gardiner is showing it looks like there could be an ice jam between Walden and Gardiner. http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=okx&gage=grdn6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 For the first time since 12/26 all of my snow stakes are free of snow this morning. I still have patches of snow in the yard, a couple on the deep side but there's certainly more grass than snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Gone, it's all gone From 85% cover on Friday to nothing today. A few piles left but nothing else. What a run, 12/26 to 3/5 with solid snowcover. That's the longest in the 16 years I've been in this house. Luckily the ground stayed frozen, still is actually, so the basement stayed dry Now I just don't know what to do, snow tires stay on the car for another week hoping for a wintry day or two or pull 'em and maybe get one more season out of them. Problem is warm pavement kills them faster than anything else but I'd hate to not have them on if I need them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 For the first time since 12/26 all of my snow stakes are free of snow this morning. I still have patches of snow in the yard, a couple on the deep side but there's certainly more grass than snow now. I am about 70% grass now. Low ground is a swamp. Now I just don't know what to do, snow tires stay on the car for another week hoping for a wintry day or two or pull 'em and maybe get one more season out of them. Problem is warm pavement kills them faster than anything else but I'd hate to not have them on if I need them. IMO one more week on the car won't ruin them for next season unless they are already in need of replacement. On the other hand the GFS does not show any threats for mod winter precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Temp here has dropped from 49.5 to 38.5 in just under 50 minutes. Winds gusting to 24 mph from the NNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Keep us posted later.. I want to know what's going on at our place down in Saugerties. You could be setting up for serious ice ...probably end as some snow. Temp here has dropped from 49.5 to 38.5 in just under 50 minutes. Winds gusting to 24 mph from the NNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front just came through 10 minutes ago. Wind is now out of the NE and gusty. Was 52 now 47 and dropping fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front just came through 10 minutes ago. Wind is now out of the NE and gusty. Was 52 now 47 and dropping fast. Yup. I was at 51 last hour. Now down to 41.3 wind has picked up along with the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyR Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 51 at 5pm now down to 36 in Pleasant Valley. Wind is ripping with heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Yup. I was at 51 last hour. Now down to 41.3 wind has picked up along with the rain. 40.9 now. .63" on the day so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 This can be a classic situation with that low level cold transported down the HV if your winds stay mostly northerly north of the low track. I had some pretty good ice storms in Saugerties that way. Here we have snow and 31.4F now. Flipped from sleet to snow about 30 minutes ago. 51 at 5pm now down to 36 in Pleasant Valley. Wind is ripping with heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 This can be a classic situation with that low level cold transported down the HV if your winds stay mostly northerly north of the low track. I had some pretty good ice storms in Saugerties that way. Here we have snow and 31.4F now. Flipped from sleet to snow about 30 minutes ago. That cold air will run right on down the river valley. Radar looks pretty juicey to the south. Enjoy the snow up there. Hope you did not put away the snow shoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Keep us posted later.. I want to know what's going on at our place down in Saugerties. You could be setting up for serious ice ...probably end as some snow. I will...down to 35.2 now, still dropping. Windy with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Down from 41.3 to 36.8 in the last 30 minn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Down to 36.0. 1.01" on the day so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Reports from friends and family in E. Albany, S. Rensselaer and N. Columbia counties of a switch to heavy freezing rain over the last 2 hrs, with ice accumulating about a tenth of an inch so far! Take it or leave it, but the 23 Z RUC keeps precipitation as either sleet or freezing rain through 12Z! I'm just waiting to hear about the trees down tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 34 here and 1.80" and pouring. I got home about a half hour ago after visiting family in CT, what a sucky ride in driving rain and wind, especially after driving through the front. The temp was 50 when we passed 684 and it was down to 34 when we passed the Taconic Parkway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Apparently I'm lucking out by a mere handful of miles here 20 miles (or so) due west of KALB. All snow and I'll estimate 3.5 inches. Now 29.8F. Reports from friends and family in E. Albany, S. Rensselaer and N. Columbia counties of a switch to heavy freezing rain over the last 2 hrs, with ice accumulating about a tenth of an inch so far! Take it or leave it, but the 23 Z RUC keeps precipitation as either sleet or freezing rain through 12Z! I'm just waiting to hear about the trees down tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Down to 33.8 with mod.rain. Those winds have been moving down the hudson valley at some good numbers. Nice event. REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 900 PM EST SUN MAR 06 2011 HUDSON VALLEY CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS NEWBURGH LGT RAIN 34 32 93 NE12G28 29.79R FOG WCI 25 MONTGOMERY HVY RAIN 35 35 100 NE16G25 29.75S FOG WCI 25 POUGHKEEPSIE HVY RAIN 34 32 93 N14G22 29.78F FOG WCI 24 ALBANY SLEET 30 28 93 N17G29 29.92F FOG WCI 18 $$ FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 912 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN... ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST POINT...WARWICK...WALDEN...PORT JERVIS...NEWBURGH...MONROE...MIDDLETOWN...GOSHEN... PUTNAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MAHOPAC...LAKE CARMEL...COLD SPRING...BREWSTER... ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...TAPPAN...SUFFERN...SLOATSBURG... NYACK...NEW CITY...NANUET...MONSEY...HAVERSTRAW... WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...YONKERS...WHITE PLAINS...TARRYTOWN... RYE...PORT CHESTER...PEEKSKILL...OSSINING...NORTH TARRYTOWN...NEW ROCHELLE...MOUNT KISCO...DOBBS FERRY... * UNTIL 115 AM EST * AT 908 PM EST HEAVY RAIN CONTINUED OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. RAINFALL OF 1 1/2 TO 2 INCHES HAS OCCURRED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE UNTIL 1 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Down to 33.8 with mod.rain. Those winds have been moving down the hudson valley at some good numbers. Nice event. 32.9 now. 1.85" and still coming down heavy. Wonder if we ever get into any of the frozen stuff before precip shuts off. It was nice to have all the salt on the roads washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 10:10: 53.7F 10:24: 48.0F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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