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PHL CWA Jan 26/27 Obs and Discussion thread..part II


NJHurricane

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Based upon radar trends, it looks like we are fast approaching that part of this event where, if you are snowing, you will continue to do so for many hours to come.

Light to moderate snow here... was expecting a lull for several more hours, but looks like its starting to fill in.

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Warrington, PA 14:30

32.7 degrees F, Dewpoint 28,1 Winds still E to ESE, but are picking up with a couple 15 mph gusts while I was outside.

Light mixed precipitation.

Part 1 total : 6.2"

I went out to remove the white cement and even the snow-thrower had trouble with it.

While outside I noticed some Easterly gusts of wind, and a variation of precipitation types.

It was 34.7 when I went outside, and temp has dropped 2 degrees in the past 90 minutes.

There was some light rain and sleet when I first started; this turned to light snow and sleet and

keeps switching back and forth.

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New mesoscale discussion

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0050.html

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0050

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0119 PM CST WED JAN 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN VA...WASHINGTON DC...CNTRL/NRN MD...MUCH OF

DE...SERN PA...MUCH OF NJ...NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA AND WRN LONG

ISLAND

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 261919Z - 270115Z

SNOWFALL WILL SPREAD INTO NERN VA...WASHINGTON DC...AND CNTRL/NRN MD

DURING THE 21-00Z TIME PERIOD...WITH RATES OF 1 IN/HR PROBABLE...AND

LOCALLY EXCEEDING 2 IN/HR FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. SNOWFALL RATES

OF 1-2 IN/HR WILL THEN SPREAD NEWD ACROSS DE...SERN PA...MUCH OF

NJ...THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA AND WRN LONG ISLAND BY 00-03Z.

A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE WRN CAROLINAS AT

18Z IS FORECAST TO TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT EJECTS NEWD ACROSS

THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING. AS THIS OCCURS...OFFSHORE

SURFACE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NEWD TOWARD A POSITION S-SE OF LONG ISLAND

BY 03Z. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES

ALONG AND S OF A LINE FROM NRN VA TO CNTRL NJ WILL INITIALLY SUPPORT

RAIN /POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET/. HOWEVER...THE

COMBINATION OF STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL

CAA OCCURRING IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW WILL FAVOR A

QUICK TRANSITION TO SNOW AS THE PRIMARY SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION

TRANSLATES NEWD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY NIGHT.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES STRONG SYNOPTIC-SCALE ASCENT WILL BECOME

JUXTAPOSED WITH A ZONE OF STRENGTHENING LOW-MIDLEVEL FRONTOGENESIS

ALIGNED FROM NERN VA NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND...AIDING IN INTENSE UVV/S

THROUGH THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. PRECIPITATION RATES MAY BE

FURTHER ENHANCED BY WEAK CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY ROOTED IN THE

700-600 MB LAYER. HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER

NERN VA...WASHINGTON DC...AND CNTRL/NRN MD BY 21-00Z. AS THE UPPER

TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE 00-03Z TIME

PERIOD...STRONG ASCENT ACCOMPANIED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY

SNOWFALL RATES WILL SPREAD NEWD ACROSS DE...SERN PA...NJ...AND

EVENTUALLY THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA AND WRN LONG ISLAND.

..GARNER.. 01/26/2011

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Also, 142 lightning strikes across eastern Virginia the past hour. Small hail reported in some of the storms.-HM update

Light rain/mist. here.. that's not good. Ice layer once it starts snowing. Getting ready here!

new ruc 17z is solid for SE Pa, De, Up to allentown (ish)

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Also, 142 lightning strikes across eastern Virginia the past hour. Small hail reported in some of the storms.-HM update

Light rain/mist. here.. that's not good. Ice layer once it starts snowing. Getting ready here!

new ruc 17z is solid for SE Pa, De, Up to allentown (ish)

we don't do "ish":guitar:

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000
NOUS41 KPHI 261855
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-270655-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
155 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 4 HOURS
FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION.  APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED
TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS 
AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS.  THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR 
HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/PHI

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS                   
                    SNOWFALL           OF 
                    /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

DELAWARE

...NEW CASTLE COUNTY...
  WILMINGTON             4.3  1045 AM  1/26                          
  BEAR                   2.9   103 PM  1/26                          

MARYLAND

...KENT COUNTY...
  MILLINGTON             0.8  1130 AM  1/26                          

NEW JERSEY

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
  PLEASANTVILLE          0.6   100 PM  1/26                          
  ATLANTIC CITY ASOS     0.6   100 PM  1/26                          

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
  FLORENCE               3.6  1145 AM  1/26                          
  CROSSWICKS             3.0  1232 PM  1/26                          
  MOUNT HOLLY            2.9  1150 AM  1/26                          
  1 N EASTAMPTON TWP     2.3  1200 PM  1/26                          
  MOORESTOWN             1.5  1058 AM  1/26                          

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
  WEST DEPTFORD TWP      3.0  1000 AM  1/26                          
  NATIONAL PARK          2.9   100 PM  1/26                          
  SEWELL                 2.3  1045 AM  1/26                          

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
  LEBANON                5.0  1103 AM  1/26                          
  PERRYVILLE             4.0  1148 AM  1/26                          

...MERCER COUNTY...
  HOPEWELL               5.0  1200 PM  1/26                          
  EWING                  4.9  1200 PM  1/26                          
  TRENTON                3.8  1130 AM  1/26                          
  HAMILTON TWP           3.6   130 PM  1/26                          
  YARDVILLE              3.1  1043 AM  1/26                          

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
  NORTH BRUNSWICK TWP    4.1   100 PM  1/26                          
  EDISON                 4.1  1025 AM  1/26                          

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
  OCEAN TWP              2.5  1130 AM  1/26                          
  MANASQUAN              1.0  1236 PM  1/26                          

...MORRIS COUNTY...
  ROCKAWAY               1.5  1100 AM  1/26                          

...OCEAN COUNTY...
  BRICK TWP              2.2  1235 PM  1/26                          
  BEACHWOOD              1.8  1100 AM  1/26                          
  BAYVILLE               1.5  1245 PM  1/26                          

...SOMERSET COUNTY...
  SOMERSET               5.0   120 PM  1/26                          
  BRANCHBURG PARK        4.8  1200 PM  1/26                          
  SOMERVILLE             4.3  1030 AM  1/26                          
  SOUTH BOUND BROOK      3.0  1015 AM  1/26                          
  BRIDGEWATER TWP        3.0  1100 AM  1/26                          

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
  SPARTA                 0.2  1019 AM  1/26                          

...WARREN COUNTY...
  STEWARTSVILLE          1.5  1000 AM  1/26                          

PENNSYLVANIA

...BUCKS COUNTY...
  DOYLESTOWN             5.5   100 PM  1/26  CO-OP                   
  FURLONG                5.4   130 PM  1/26                          
  BENSALEM               4.5  1130 AM  1/26                          
  PERKASIE               4.3  1210 PM  1/26                          

...CARBON COUNTY...
  LEHIGHTON              1.8  1135 AM  1/26                          

...CHESTER COUNTY...
  1 W NEW LONDON TWP     6.0  1015 AM  1/26                          
  SPRING CITY            6.0  1235 PM  1/26                          
  EXTON                  6.0  1230 PM  1/26                          
  WEST CHESTER           5.8  1030 AM  1/26                          
  AVONDALE               5.5  1025 AM  1/26                          
  EAST BRADFORD TWP      5.5  1025 AM  1/26                          
  WEST NOTTINGHAM TWP    5.5  1025 AM  1/26                          
  WEST GROVE             5.5  1025 AM  1/26                          
  LADENBERG              4.8  1025 AM  1/26                          
  COATESVILLE            4.5  1200 PM  1/26                          
  WESTTOWN               4.5  1030 AM  1/26                          
  KENNETT SQUARE         4.3  1015 AM  1/26                          
  LONDON BRITAIN TWP     4.3  1000 AM  1/26                          
  DEVON-BERWYN           4.0  1030 AM  1/26                          
  DOWNINGTOWN            3.5  1030 AM  1/26                          

...DELAWARE COUNTY...
  MEDIA                  5.2  1045 AM  1/26                          
  DREXEL HILL            5.0  1145 AM  1/26                          
  UPPER PROVIDENCE       4.5  1030 AM  1/26                          
  CLIFTON HEIGHTS        4.0  1251 PM  1/26                          
  CHESTER                3.3  1045 AM  1/26                          

...LEHIGH COUNTY...
  ALLENTOWN ASOS         2.3   100 PM  1/26                          
  ALLENTOWN              2.3   100 PM  1/26                          
  WERLEYS CORNER         2.0   130 PM  1/26                          

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
  EAGLEVILLE             6.1  1225 PM  1/26                          
  MYERS TRACT            6.0  1200 PM  1/26                          
  ROYERSFORD             5.8  1200 PM  1/26                          
  KING OF PRUSSIA        5.6  1200 PM  1/26                          
  WYNNEWOOD              5.5  1100 AM  1/26                          
  LOWER MERION TWP       5.0  1030 AM  1/26                          
  MONTGOMERYVILLE        4.5   125 PM  1/26                          
  COLLEGEVILLE           4.5  1000 AM  1/26                          
  POTTSTOWN              4.4  1230 PM  1/26                          
  BRYN MAWR              4.0  1045 AM  1/26                          
  ELKINS PARK            3.5   112 PM  1/26                          

...PHILADELPHIA COUNTY...
  SOMERTON               4.2   100 PM  1/26                          
  PHILADELPHIA           2.9   100 PM  1/26  INTL AIRPORT            


**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION              24 HOUR     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS                   
                    SNOWFALL           OF 
                    /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

MARYLAND

...CECIL COUNTY...
  4 NNW ELKTON           4.5  1030 AM  1/26  COCORAHS                

NEW JERSEY

...CAMDEN COUNTY...
  1 WNW BERLIN TWP       1.5  1000 AM  1/26  COCORAHS                

...MERCER COUNTY...
  1 ESE EWING TWP        4.9  1129 AM  1/26  COCORAHS                

PENNSYLVANIA

...DELAWARE COUNTY...
  NE DREXEL HILL         5.0  1200 PM  1/26  COCORAHS                

$$

MEOLA


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