Isotherm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Glad to see another poster come in with 6" in our area. Good stuff man! Easily a foot on the ground by the end of this thing tonight. Yeah, I measured 6" as well, amazing how deep the snow is already. And to think the main course is still tonight - we could be talking MECS totals easily in the 12-16" range. 29F and flurries now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson16 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 What does everyone think about the full phase potential ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just took this looking down my street. Intense floppy flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ....maybe 25 miles or so further west but I don't see how that is of much consequence. You clearly don't live in LV/NW NJ/S.Poconos region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 6.0" here in Horsham. Will clear the snow board and be ready for round two once the rest of this light stuff moves through. but wow.... I never seen this out of the HRRR before. additional accumulation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 What does everyone think about the full phase potential ? I amfairly confident that it will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 New mesoscale discussion. Heavy snow developing eastward in WV and NW Va. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0049.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson16 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I amfairly confident that it will happen Trying to understand should we expect more snow or just blizzard like conditions i was on aw forums asking kinda got a understanding but would like some more help understand the full extent of a phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Dusting of snow so far.. Sun starting to peak out. Great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Woot, Cape May county is finally under a Winter Storm Warning. The cold rain/drizzle continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Round one done. OBS Overcast Temp 32.4 F Winds light out of E Looks like 4"+ but need to find a good spot to measure. Maybe the '4" - 8"' estimate was 4" for first storm and 8" for 2nd? :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 A capturing certainly seems possible, and would explain some of the difficulties the models have had, but man if the HHHR is right, than the LHV will get hammered as would parts of the southern poconos. Everything feels like it is in flux right now. Is there any kind of analog to what we are witnessing, or are we in virgin territory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Trying to understand should we expect more snow or just blizzard like conditions i was on aw forums asking kinda got a understanding but would like some more help understand the full extent of a phase A full phase with the arctic disturbance will caause the storm to "bomb out" and rapidly intensify. It should allow the storm to slow it's progression off the coast and almost stall for a bit while the pressures rapidly drop. It will increase snowfall rates and lead to initense banding in the deformation zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 4.9" in Ewing as of noon... Ray, what was your qpf melted down? Mine was .44 with 5 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am wondering if 8-12 inch amounts for the warning, will end up being a tad low? after all we all were expecting 0-maybe 1" of slop by 5pm...and the forecast last night was for 6-10" from then on generally...with a widespread 4-6" on the ground already, add another 6-8" were looking at 10-14" amounts? possibly more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Richboro PA Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow, what a great day so far. A surprise snow this morning and more tonight. On top of that, my wife just told me that she is pregnant with out third child after a year of trying. It doesn't get much better By the way I am in Richboro, pa and it looks like we got between 5-6 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Desnowlover Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Updated snowfall amounts for the redheaded stepkids below the canal from Mt Holly (I am kidding) DEZ002-MDZ012-015-262330- /O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110127T0900Z/ KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE 1021 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY THE EVENING COMMUTE. * ACCUMULATIONS: 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: RAIN OR A RAIN AND SLEET MIXTURE IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW THIS EVENING...HEAVY AT TIMES...AND LAST THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE * IMPACTS: ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE FALLING BY THE END OF THE COMMUTE THIS EVENING...AND TRAVEL WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT AS THE EVENING WEARS ON. THE SNOW SHOULD BE OVER BY THE TIME THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE STARTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 alright guys, what a great rd 1, im going to bed, been up for 25 hrs.... to rd 2...finished with 5 with .44 qpf from the core Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 6.0" here in Horsham. Will clear the snow board and be ready for round two once the rest of this light stuff moves through. but wow.... I never seen this out of the HRRR before. additional accumulation... WOW, and that nailed this mornings snow, last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My forecast was for 6-12 from basically PHL to NYC with a bit less north and south, and I was expecting almost all of that with Round 2. If I were to reissue a call, which I'm not, I'd just bump everything a couple inches. Something like 8-14 95 corridor, 5-10 NWNJ and coastal, SNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson16 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 A full phase with the arctic disturbance will caause the storm to "bomb out" and rapidly intensify. It should allow the storm to slow it's progression off the coast and almost stall for a bit while the pressures rapidly drop. It will increase snowfall rates and lead to initense banding in the deformation zones. Where would the jackpot be? jersey again or do you think it could be more nw then other storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 New mesoscale discussion. Heavy snow developing eastward in WV and NW Va. http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0049.html Can it get anymore nail biting for the Lehigh Valley? That snowfall map literally goes from about 8 inches in Easton to 2 inches about 10 miles NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 alright guys, what a great rd 1, im going to bed, been up for 25 hrs.... to rd 2...finished with 5 with .44 qpf from the core Take it easy. i just tried napping, but the excitement inside is keeping me up. working tonight, gonna be LOOONG. Ill get good reports out as much as i can from the street. can''t wait for this beast to come roaring through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow those HRRR images are actually scary. That model has performed extremely well with snowfall accumulations. I've watched it the past 4 storms, and it has always been right on or too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 WOW, and that nailed this mornings snow, last night. It sure. If I recall, it was printing out .4-.5" liquid last night for this first round. right on target. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow, what a great day so far. A surprise snow this morning and more tonight. On top of that, my wife just told me that she is pregnant with out third child after a year of trying. It doesn't get much better By the way I am in Richboro, pa and it looks like we got between 5-6 so far congrats man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
foggy Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 WOW, and that nailed this mornings snow, last night. Yea it totally nailed this morning's snow when no other model showed ANY precip for us. So if that is right for tonight, people are going to be buried tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiburon Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow. Just got back from the city. Egg meet face. In Topic: PHL CWA JAN 26/27 OBS and Discussion Thread Today, 05:30 AM nzucker, on 26 January 2011 - 05:15 AM, said: The radar returns in S NJ look to mean business, and could affect NYC metro in a few hours. I don't think models anticipated the extent of the overrunning precipitation and its ability to advance northward. This could be a surprise for some during the morning commute. Is anyone else a bit pleased with the radar? Not in the least. The rain/snow line is running from ACY just north of MIV west to north of BWI and screaming northward with the WAA. Anything that falls at least around here gets washed away. I busted. Huge. Massive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where would the jackpot be? jersey again or do you think it could be more nw then other storms hard to say, but somehwere along the DE river up thru NJ to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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