LVblizzard Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Based on the 16z SPC mesoanalysis, the low is forming really close to the coast, closer than most models thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmosk Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm also pleased to report that the snow is perfect for... Snow rolls! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 light snow now, have about 4", nice surprise, bring on part 2 At work 6.5 inches in ardmore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How exactly does Convection affect model interpretation? On a related note, I just did an analysis of the past 12 RUC runs all valid for 10am today. As I suspected almost every update brought temps at 700 and 850 down a touch. Winds out of the south/ southwest were lighter each run too. Just a subtle shift run after run right before the moment of impact that ended up resulting in a big change with sensible weather. Very hard to catch and very frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 We wrapped up with a little bit of light drizzle within the past half-hour but I think we're done precip'ing for awhile here. Looks like a yummy 2-3" out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NMM for later. Just epic stuff guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Based on the 16z SPC mesoanalysis, the low is forming really close to the coast, closer than most models thought. Agree - looks like US models in particular have low pressure to far offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i think that is the sun trying to peek through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 4.5" as of 11:30am. Roads are still awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 the NMM looks amazing. did the ARW come around from last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 thats a lot closer to the coast, than most modeling has indicated, my question is the models screwed the pooch on the NW extent of qpf, is there a repeat in store for the ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Still snowing lightly outside of my workplace in Lansdale, PA as of 11:45 AM. In the past hour, had some moderate snow and even a brief heavier burst of snow. Looks like we're at about 5" of snow for the event, and we may tack on another half inch (per radar) before this event ends in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 the NMM looks amazing. did the ARW come around from last night? Haha nope still exact opposites. No other model shows THAT big of a cutoff that the ARW is advertising. I dont buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Haha nope still exact opposites. No other model shows THAT big of a cutoff that the ARW is advertising. I dont buy it. ALSO, the ARW had 0 precip for us until the second batch, uhhh most of us got 2-5 inches lol....Model was way off, hard to buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 looks like 5 inches here in drexel hill. Melting down the core to see the qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Still snowing lightly outside of my workplace in Lansdale, PA as of 11:45 AM. In the past hour, had some moderate snow and even a brief heavier burst of snow. Looks like we're at about 5" of snow for the event, and we may tack on another half inch (per radar) before this event ends in the next hour or so. Hey working neighbor.. I'm in Lansdale area also John but no window at my desk ... I keep walking over to windows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hey working neighbor.. I'm in Lansdale area also John but no window at my desk ... I keep walking over to windows I'm in Lansdale and I have windows! Mod snow still coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clutter1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 im in lansdale as well, and not leaving the house!! took today off... i live in lansdale though.. Hey working neighbor.. I'm in Lansdale area also John but no window at my desk ... I keep walking over to windows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 thats a lot closer to the coast, than most modeling has indicated, my question is the models screwed the pooch on the NW extent of qpf, is there a repeat in store for the ULL It looks like it is digging a lot more, and when the two phase, I can just imagine the KABOOM and the intensification, should be a sight for sore eyes as the day progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just light drizzle - Temp up to 32 - ended up with 5.9 for round 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any mets think that the ARW solution of basically shafting anyone on or west of 95 has a chance of happening? Even with low being more west than progged? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not seeing the SLP misplacement some are citing. See best frontogenesis ENE of the NC/VA border, and SLP lobing that way. 9hr forecast from both NAM and GFS put the low placement 75-100 miles east of MD/DEL border, so think things are evolving correctly, maybe 25 miles or so further west but I don't see how that is of much consequence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Noon obs. 32 degrees light snow 5" storm total here, 3 miles north of Collegeville, PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not seeing the SLP misplacement some are citing. See best frontogenesis ENE of the NC/VA border, and SLP lobing that way. 9hr forecast from both NAM and GFS put the low placement 75-100 miles east of MD/DEL border, so think things are evolving correctly, maybe 25 miles or so further west but I don't see how that is of much consequence. Considering that many of us in this thread are riding an awfully steep gradient, you might say every mile counts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Echo Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 New Castle De Light misty rain falling Temp remain at 34° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 1st hit winding down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 looks like 5 inches here in drexel hill. Melting down the core to see the qpf Hey Tombo I am hearing that the storm will track closer than thought this is being said by some people in this thread does that mean more rain for the Philly area and immidiate SJ areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 4.9" in Ewing as of noon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Snow has ended here in Norristown/PM area. Average of 5.25" between 4 measurements. Now we wait for round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Considering that many of us in this thread are riding an awfully steep gradient, you might say every mile counts. I feel that storm track is slightly irrelevant here. Bigger issue IMO is temperatures aloft, which are getting mussed up by the amount of time the low/trough at H7 is spending to our west. Once temps get below freezing there and the heavy precip moves in, I see surface flow as essentially irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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