Logan11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 But the NAM had nearly 0 qpf in NYC/LI today through Mid Afternoon and they have at least 3 inches of wet snow/sleet here in Riverhead and could be close to .4" qpf fell with that stuff. It has not been OTS for about 2-3 days now. But actually NAM pointed out the (what we thought was) convective feedback (that worked out). Amazing coup for them imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If the euro didn't blink in it's most recent 12z and 0z runs, its track and ensembles leading up to this were nearly right on except for the extent to which it goes north. Not saying it did better or worse than the other models cause it clearly missed some major changes with the 2 precip shields etc etc. But gotta admit it and its ensembles was pegging benchmark or just inside with a consolidated stacked low for a solid 5 days straight (until it lost it) and that looks to be the most likely result here, am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Who lives in that little smidge of a God-forsaken part of Massachsuetts that's in light green? I pitty the damn fool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It has not been OTS for about 2-3 days now. But actually NAM pointed out the (what we thought was) convective feedback (that worked out). Amazing coup for them imho. It hasn't been OTS at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i meant HFD 6" or a foot! Thats Much Better!!! Yea... 18z goofus was a nice surprise. But then, again, its the 18z goofus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Then again....if this happens as new NAM/GFS depict...perhaps Euro gets some cred back? I was just about to post this to you; on the final possible run, the NAM and GFS actually pulled back towards the Euro. The solution still has to verify (the standard, here, of course, is me getting enough snow to feel satisfied), but if it does, the Euro gets some credit in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 it was pretty far SE. Tonight will reveal it's se bias! Seriuosly tho a few inches wud b niceand I think we have a shot cheri kola Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS gives BOS 8-12 easily. Not sure I buy that but radar looks nice. May be not much sleep tonight... I went from less than .25'' at 12z to .75'' at 18z. NAM a similar jump too. I wonder if the NH mets are as confused as I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I don't think you'd find many people that would agree with that..other than the NAM was right about splitting into 2 pieces. Fact is none of the models did well..but I certainly wouldn't say the GFS /NAm were better than the Euro which showed a hit from the get go..just too much of a hit I think the issue is Euro first signaled cold....but held the consolidated track up to the last second almost. So uneurolike. I hate to use this but CMC next week is a nice snowstorm while Euro is a SWFE. I wonder if the truth is somewhere in the middle. Bottom line, shoveling's coming and this old man is happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 3.5" here with round 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I don't know what to think, buy my call is 3-8". Started at 4pm. 25.8\23 S- Coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Ok I'm leaving this culinary establishment (McDonalds. to head back west toward NYC..maybe get by there before it gets heavy. I'm trying to time this so I start north of NYC just after the worst rush hour..... I'll arrive home to starlight.... or a couple flurries. I think the issue is Euro first signaled cold....but held the consolidated track up to the last second almost. So uneurolike. I hate to use this but CMC next week is a nice snowstorm while Euro is a SWFE. I wonder if the truth is somewhere in the middle. Bottom line, shoveling's coming and this old man is happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think the issue is Euro first signaled cold....but held the consolidated track up to the last second almost. So uneurolike. I hate to use this but CMC next week is a nice snowstorm while Euro is a SWFE. I wonder if the truth is somewhere in the middle. Bottom line, shoveling's coming and this old man is happy. The EURO is a SWFE for NNE...it's just about all rain, here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I don't know what to think, buy my call is 3-8". Started at 4pm. 25.8\23 S- Coating. I don't think you whiff. You'll get into the good stuff imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Ray is going to pass out when he gets home. Hopefully that wasn't him I saw on the Tobin. Poor guy.... yeah, he's going to when he sees this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Like I said ..based on recent performance that will be a sw flow snow event for NYC, etc... by the time it actually happens. The EURO is a SWFE for NNE...it's just about all rain, here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hopefully that wasn't him I saw on the Tobin. Poor guy.... yeah, he's going to when he sees this. I don't know whether we see 2'' or 7'', but I guess that's part of the fun. Time for a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The EURO is a SWFE for NNE...it's just about all rain, here. The ensembles were colder/juicier. Based on the mean I'd guess some were trying to transition the low around SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Colchester,CT with 5 inches today..Wow..that's like 25 mins south of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I don't think you whiff. You'll get into the good stuff imo. I'm glad I stepped away instead of pulling a temper tantrum and giving you all a headache.....I'll have to keep doing that in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 harvey just upped Boston on southeast to providence and parts of CT for 8-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The ensembles were colder/juicier. Based on the mean I'd guess some were trying to transition the low around SNE. Thanks...didn't see them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am getting pumped for an all out snow assault tonight..Everything coming together perfectly it appears.. The Rev is chucking...Who's with me??!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How can you doubt it will be a SNE snow hit? LOL Thanks...didn't see them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The EURO is a SWFE for NNE...it's just about all rain, here. It won't be. Euro is alone in that regard so it's no more reliable D7 than anyone else at this point. But probably not releveant until the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think I missed this before, good lord...that much MORE from OKX!? CTZ005>012-NYZ078-079-177-271015-/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110127T1100Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU- 413 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHERN LONG ISLAND. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...9 TO 13 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS EAST AND ALONG THE COAST. * TIMING...A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...BECOMING A MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE AND THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW FALLING THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEASTERN LONG ISLAND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hopefully that wasn't him I saw on the Tobin. Poor guy.... yeah, he's going to when he sees this. Nah.....I just went to the GYM and had some great convo with other patrons and a very enjoyable workout.....bad mood vanquished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 3" here as of an hour or so ago (it's pretty much stopped for last hour+). I missed some of the heavier stuff, most people my latitude got more than that I think in lots of SW CT also just north (colchester 5") south and east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am getting pumped for an all out snow assault tonight..Everything coming together perfectly it appears.. The Rev is chucking...Who's with me??!! Can I be with you even though I am on the western edge of Essex county Mass? I can hope I get decent snow can't I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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