HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This will henceforeth be known as The Storm The Models Had No Clue About! ! ! No snow in Leominster yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 AWT the NW trend the final 12 hours has recommenced..and I think we'll find the Euro actually had the right idea yesterday..before the last 2 runs today and last nite Ever since I woke up to beautiful snowy looking clouds this morning I've felt that this thing was heading in a good direction, current low per meso <998 already and moving NE. 8-14" first and final call for BOS - ORH to Kevin and down to Plymouth, Northern edge kissing Ray. Definitely was down last night due to the 0z disaster on the models but optimistic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am back in the game! Woo! Now I just need to GFS to trend this way. 3-6 maybe now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 And I thought I was clueless before. Just looked at the NAM and threw my hands up! I don't get it! It's okay. This one confused the **** out of me, too. And I usually at least pretend I have a handle on things. I'm just going to watch radar and look outside for the rest of the evening. If it snows... great. If not so much... fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yeah hopefully you can start ripping pretty good shortly. This is solid moderate snow now..The kind that would stack up quickly with the good snowgrowth Here's the TOL-ORH vector Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Alot of thundersnow reported out of this... LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 18z nam isn't so terrible. If it weren't the NAM I'd go back to 6-12 for will/jerry/kev/ray.....but it seems to overcorrect in the off hour runs. The GFS is likely to come NW too, but the race is on. Clear drying associated with the kicker now into OH and about to bump up against the m/l for the first time. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20110126&endTime=-1&duration=6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Back after a late night / busy morning... This may be a weeniexaggeration, but here in Boston I think we're approach a snowfall rate of 1" / 36 hrs! Anyone else wanna verify? I hope this SNE winter does not parallel the Patriots season... every game you just know we're gonna win just like we all knew it's gonna snow here cuz it just wants to this winter. . . Until the Patriots didn't show up to the Jets game, and yesterday the SNE juju just evaporated. 18Z RUC promising a nice CCB swipe across C to E Mass tonight.. 18Z ETA salvaging hope of something decent tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NB-Weather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just measured cleared area.. additional 2 inches in one hour, not bad. Still coming down at a really good pace. 30+ dBZ for multi hours is always fun haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Ever since I woke up to beautiful snowy looking clouds this morning I've felt that this thing was heading in a good direction, current low per meso <998 already and moving NE. 8-14" first and final call for BOS - ORH to Kevin and down to Plymouth, Northern edge kissing Ray. Definitely was down last night due to the 0z disaster on the models but optimistic! In another winter this would have shat the bed...but in a snowy winter..every snow event tends to overproduce.. I'm not sure what the reasoning is..or even if there is one..other than the weenie phrase snow breeds snow. I like 8-12 with lolli's to 16 maybe in NW RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 if you believe the NAM, BOS down through the cape will probably have borderline blizzard conditions at times overnight. 925 winds really crank just as the core of the comma head is pushing over the region. that would probably be S/S+ with G 30 to 40 knots. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 looks like the lull in precip finally starting to make its way into S CT. looks like we transition from steady snow to on off flurries and light snow for the next few hours until the CCB moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It started about 5 minutes ago. Still in the light flurry stage. How's it coming down there in Suffield? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NAM in the final hours, pulled a fast one! Pretty big change for NH and ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I saved you the time...since I've done it before I know what needs to be done to quickly to clean it up and do the seasonal averages. Here's what I get for Top 10 at BDR since 1948-49 1995-1996: 79.7" 1977-1978: 67.6" 1966-1967: 62.1" 1993-1994: 60.0" 2004-2005: 57.0" 1964-1965: 55.8" 1948-1949: 54.3" 1960-1961: 53.9" 2008-2009: 52.1" 1957-1958: 51.5" So maybe still a little ways to go to break into top 10 down that way? Either way...we're on pace to get there. Hey thanks again! Yeah for them a ways to go as they come in to today with 41.2, but tonight could very well throw BDR into the top 10. 60 seems well within reach for the season if not 70. Struggling to hold on to flurries here. This is our lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Alot of thundersnow reported out of this... LOL. Was just going to post...I wouldn't be shocked if some parts of the region get thundersnow later...AGAIN!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Christ... 12-15" on a 10:1 if someone on the interior cape could stay snow LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am back in the game! Woo! Now I just need to GFS to trend this way. 3-6 maybe now No, Its no better here, We are still on the outside, The only hope is if the RUC is right, I doub't it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 For the first time since 9 am the snow has completely stopped. Stoked to see the nam and some in house wrf's spread the love for all of sne, sucks reporting snow when many are not seeing it, things should absolutely rock tonight, good luck to all! :snowman: Good man many many nights I spent on here reading the reports from North of me, happy they were getting blitzed, get the feeling from some posters that feeling is not mutual. Back down to normal flakes but good snow growth just not pancakes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Here's the TOL-ORH vector Hey Will can you do me a favor and call up my athletic director and tell them to cancel the meet? lol. I'll be up tonight hopefully enjoying some heavy snow, so I also need you to call and let them know we need a snow day. Flurries at 26F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No, Its no better here, We are still on the outside, The only hope is if the RUC is right, I doub't it.... There is no way on God's green earth Standish ME gets 3-6". Maybe 3" not close to 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It started about 5 minutes ago. Still in the light flurry stage. We've been getting some good sized flakes here over the course of the past 20 minutes or so...the intensity is on the light to moderate side at times so it's not really accumulating quickly but hopefully BDL can squeak out a good 1/2'' within the next 90 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Here's the TOL-ORH vector LOL..that is actually a perfect zone vector isn't it? Is that something you look for when you're looking for precip advancement NE? I've never noticed how perfectly aligned that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Paul, The scary part is by the looks of the radar trends and convection potential, the 18z NAM may be under doing it here! We've been getting some good sized flakes here over the course of the past 20 minutes or so...the intensity is on the light to moderate side at times so it's not really accumulating quickly but hopefully BDL can squeak out a good 1/2'' within the next 90 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If it weren't the NAM I'd go back to 6-12 for will/jerry/kev/ray.....but it seems to overcorrect in the off hour runs. The GFS is likely to come NW too, but the race is on. Clear drying associated with the kicker now into OH and about to bump up against the m/l for the first time. http://www.rap.ucar....e=-1&duration=6 yup ....we just need to hope the nam can produce a decent 12 hour forecast for once. confidence is skyyy high lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 if you believe the NAM, BOS down through the cape will probably have borderline blizzard conditions at times overnight. 925 winds really crank just as the core of the comma head is pushing over the region. that would probably be S/S+ with G 30 to 40 knots. LOL. Yeah...something ain't right if you and I are included in that. The latent heat release from Ray's workout at the gym is going to draw the low NW and we'll flip to rain. Good man many many nights I spent on here reading the reports from North of me, happy they were getting blitzed, get the feeling from some posters that feeling is not mutual. Back down to normal flakes but good snow growth just not pancakes here. Quite common. I enjoy every storm, if later tonight some are on the outside looking in they'll be gone/grapes. Getting windy here all snow again. Radar showed a burst of dry air and with that came the mix, washed out with the heavier stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Ray going to the gym a good thing? Seems like things have turned since then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No, Its no better here, We are still on the outside, The only hope is if the RUC is right, I doub't it.... MaineJayHawk is under the .25-.5 now, and I am just out of that slightly. At this point, a few inches is better than nothing. I actually have steady light snow right now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 In another winter this would have shat the bed...but in a snowy winter..every snow event tends to overproduce.. I'm not sure what the reasoning is..or even if there is one..other than the weenie phrase snow breeds snow. I like 8-12 with lolli's to 16 maybe in NW RI this has been a snowy winter here, but this event sure as hell wont over-produce up here. every storm over-produces in one area, and under-produces in another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not a flake here in Southwick.. and I am not expecting any either.. Oh well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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