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Richmond Metro Obs and Discussion Thread


RIC Airport

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I started unrolling my plastic sheeting today to lay over my pea fences... I'm feeling really bad for the stuff that's not in my vegetable garden... hostas, hydrangeas, Japanese maples, tulips... my poor plants!

Hostas and tulips should be fine. My hydrangea always get hit by cold, but never severely. Japanese maples can be a little tender, but hopefully they haven't grown enough yet. My concern is all the stuff I've brought in from North Carolina which is a few weeks ahead of us here. At least it can't be as bad as 2007 was. Japanese maples and crapemyrtles still haven't recovered from that.

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0z nam clown map, all in all looks like central va will be the bullseye for this storm, still plenty of time for things to screw up though

post-4-0-17738900-1301112081.gif

Station ID: KRIC Lat:   37.51 Long:  -77.32                                                        
NAM Model Run:  0Z 26MAR 2011
 HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis
               Deg F  Deg F   deg      kt    in.   in.     Thk    GPH   Tmp   Tmp   mb   %  TEXT    Clouds      in    SM
  0 03/26 00Z   49     28     239       2    0.00  0.00    541    553   -2.6 -18.3 1014   0          CLR       0.0   15.1
  3 03/26 03Z   45     34     337       3    0.00  0.00    540    552   -2.2 -18.7 1015  54       060BKN089    0.0   15.1
  6 03/26 06Z   41     21       6      12    0.00  0.00    539    553   -3.2 -17.1 1017  74       062BKN092    0.0   15.1
  9 03/26 09Z   38     18      19       9    0.00  0.00    539    553   -4.4 -17.4 1017 100       056OVC087    0.0   15.1
 12 03/26 12Z   36     19       8       6    0.00  0.00    538    552   -6.0 -18.2 1017  82       110BKN170    0.0   14.9
 15 03/26 15Z   43     19      21       7    0.00  0.00    539    554   -6.3 -18.5 1018   5       107FEW154    0.0   14.9
 18 03/26 18Z   48     23      14       4    0.00  0.00    540    554   -5.9 -18.9 1016  31       191SCT329    0.0   14.9
 21 03/26 21Z   49     26      14       3    0.00  0.00    541    553   -5.3 -18.2 1014  82       154BKN199    0.0   15.1
 24 03/27 00Z   46     27      59       5    0.00  0.00    542    555   -5.0 -18.6 1015  92       076BKN266    0.0   14.9
 27 03/27 03Z   42     26      85       9    0.00  0.00    542    555   -5.0 -16.5 1016 100       064OVC250    0.0   15.1
 30 03/27 06Z   37     30      70      10    0.00  0.00    541    554   -3.9 -16.1 1016 100 -RA   008OVC236    0.0   13.3
 33 03/27 09Z   32     31      49      10    0.14  0.00    542    554   -1.1 -17.0 1014 100 -SN   000OVC224    1.4    0.9
 36 03/27 12Z   31     30      27      10    0.23  0.00    542    555   -6.0 -16.5 1016 100 SN    000OVC363    2.3    0.3
 39 03/27 15Z   30     28      29      10    0.18  0.00    541    555   -5.2 -15.9 1017 100 SN    000OVC357    1.8    0.4
 42 03/27 18Z   30     26      18       8    0.11  0.00    540    554   -4.0 -16.7 1017 100 -SN   000OVC125    1.1    2.8
 45 03/27 21Z   34     27       2       6    0.00  0.00    541    553   -3.2 -17.1 1015  99       029OVC106    0.0   15.2

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0z nam clown map, all in all looks like central va will be the bullseye for this storm, still plenty of time for things to screw up though

post-4-0-17738900-1301112081.gif

LOLZ. If this was January I would be jumping up and down here in ORF. I can't see us getting a dusting

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I had read that as Ashland's....with 0.6" being at RIC. Interesting, nonetheless given the time of the year.

It will be interesting if RIC can get more than 1.0"...... I don't think the predictions were this high for the April 7, 2007 event or March 21, 2006.

Do you have a list of all 1"+ snowfalls at RIC after 3/26? It can't be a very long list.

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AKQ, should I read this forecast as 2-4" or a total of 1-2"? The WWA says 1-2"????

Tonight: A chance of rain before 2am, then snow. Low around 30. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Sunday: Snow before 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow. High near 36. Northeast wind between 3 and 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

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Just to put this chance for snow into some perspective.

Top 15 Late Season Snowstorms at RIC (after March 15th since 1898)

1. 10.0" April 3-4, 1915

2. 8.4" March 26, 1971

3. 7.8" March 20, 1914

4. 6.9" March 27-28, 1947

5. 6.4" March 24-25, 1906

6. 6.0" March 30-31, 1964

7. 5.9" March 16, 1950

8. 5.4" March 21-22, 1943

9. 4.7" March 16, 1960

10. 4.5" March 25-26, 1906

11. 4.3" March 21-22, 1943

12. 3.6" March 22, 1914

13. 3.4" March 31, 1907

14. 3.0" March 21, 1909

15. 2.8" March 20-21, 1908

Here are some additional late season measurable snowfall at RIC

1.4" March 21-22, 1973

0.9" March 21-22, 2006

0.7" March 16, 1987 and March 20, 1944

0.5" March 24-25, 1940

0.3" March 29, 1984

0.2" March 18-19, 1981 and March 23, 1934

There was an April snowstorm listed above in the Top 15 but, here are the rest of the April snowstorms recorded RIC since 1898.

2.7" April 12, 1918

2.0" April 12, 1940 and April 28, 1898 (latest measurable snow on record)

1.2" April 1, 1964 and April 13, 1957

1.0" April 7, 2007

0.6" April 7, 1971

0.2" April 7, 1990, April 9, 1982, April 21, 1953, and April 16, 1935

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AKQ, should I read this forecast as 2-4" or a total of 1-2"? The WWA says 1-2"????

Tonight: A chance of rain before 2am, then snow. Low around 30. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Sunday: Snow before 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow. High near 36. Northeast wind between 3 and 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

...this would easily be the highest prediction by AKQ for me all season.:snowman::snowman::snowman:

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Just to put this chance for snow into some perspective.

Top 15 Late Season Snowstorms at RIC (after March 15th since 1898)

1. 10.0" April 3-4, 1915

2. 8.4" March 26, 1971

3. 7.8" March 20, 1914

4. 6.9" March 27-28, 1947

5. 6.4" March 24-25, 1906

6. 6.0" March 30-31, 1964

7. 5.9" March 16, 1950

8. 5.4" March 21-22, 1943

9. 4.7" March 16, 1960

10. 4.5" March 25-26, 1906

11. 4.3" March 21-22, 1943

12. 3.6" March 22, 1914

13. 3.4" March 31, 1907

14. 3.0" March 21, 1909

15. 2.8" March 20-21, 1908

Here are some additional late season measurable snowfall at RIC

1.4" March 21-22, 1973

0.9" March 21-22, 2006

0.7" March 16, 1987 and March 20, 1944

0.5" March 24-25, 1940

0.3" March 29, 1984

0.2" March 18-19, 1981 and March 23, 1934

There was an April snowstorm listed above in the Top 15 but, here are the rest of the April snowstorms recorded RIC since 1898.

2.7" April 12, 1918

2.0" April 12, 1940 and April 28, 1898 (latest measurable snow on record)

1.2" April 1, 1964 and April 13, 1957

1.0" April 7, 2007

0.6" April 7, 1971

0.2" April 7, 1990, April 9, 1982, April 21, 1953, and April 16, 1935

I think your missing a storm from march of 2009 if memory serves correct. I remember it being in the 70s just a couple days prior.

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I think your missing a storm from march of 2009 if memory serves correct. I remember it being in the 70s just a couple days prior.

The only measurable snowfall at RIC in Mar 2009 was the 3/1-3/2 storm. There was a trace reported on the 13th which may be what you're referencing. It was 80 degrees two days prior.

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The only measurable snowfall at RIC in Mar 2009 was the 3/1-3/2 storm. There was a trace reported on the 13th which may be what you're referencing. It was 80 degrees two days prior.

Ok, now that I think about it, may have been 2010 cause my son was at least 2 when we went sledding.

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AKQ, should I read this forecast as 2-4" or a total of 1-2"? The WWA says 1-2"????

Tonight: A chance of rain before 2am, then snow. Low around 30. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Sunday: Snow before 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow. High near 36. Northeast wind between 3 and 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Just getting in for the midshift, but based upon this and the totalsnow.png image, you'd read that as 1-2", again mainly on grassy areas. The more I see convection popping to our south, the more i'm getting concerned that we're going to get moisture robbed. I have all night to find out though! Should be an interesting night... :sleepy::arrowhead:

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Just getting in for the midshift, but based upon this and the totalsnow.png image, you'd read that as 1-2", again mainly on grassy areas. The more I see convection popping to our south, the more i'm getting concerned that we're going to get moisture robbed. I have all night to find out though! Should be an interesting night... :sleepy::arrowhead:

Thanks. My forecast has changed 3 times in the last 5 hours. Now it's less than an inch tonight and 1-2" tomorrow. TON of dry air showing on radar pointed at central va. :thumbsdown:

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Thanks. My forecast has changed 3 times in the last 5 hours. Now it's less than an inch tonight and 1-2" tomorrow. TON of dry air showing on radar pointed at central va. :thumbsdown:

Yep, cursory look at things now...and I'm not all that bullish on snow chances right now TBH. More in a bit if time allows.

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Yep, cursory look at things now...and I'm not all that bullish on snow chances right now TBH. More in a bit if time allows.

yea were screwed oh well

LOL at all of DT's facebook peeps who have no idea where they live when looking at a map of Virginia without city names. It really is disturbing.

yea i was like wtf

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