Inudaw Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yea real fine freezing mist occurring outside right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 28 and mist. Surprisingly, roads felt somewhat slick in spots, more than the icing 2 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Would love to be in Chicago right now for their blizzard. No kidding, nothing like opening Verizon's home page and seeing... "Colossal U.S. storm to pound 100M people"; Me too!! :wub: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 318 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...DANGEROUS MULTIFACETED AND LIFE THREATENING WINTER STORM TO BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON... ...FINAL PREPARATIONS PRIOR TO THE STORM SHOULD BE COMPLETED THIS MORNING... ILZ003>006-008-010>014-020-022-INZ001-002-011730- /O.CON.KLOT.BZ.W.0001.110201T2100Z-110202T2100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- KENDALL-WILL-LAKE IN-PORTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO... OSWEGO...JOLIET...GARY...VALPARAISO 318 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM CST WEDNESDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM CST WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL DEVELOP AROUND THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...SPREADING NORTH TO THE WISCONSIN STATE LINE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOW MAY COME IN A COUPLE OF WAVES...WITH THE FIRST WAVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A SECOND WAVE OF INTENSE SNOW LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHEAST ILLINOIS WEDNESDAY MORNING...SPREADING INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH ACCUMULATION RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR LIKELY. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 10 TO 18 INCHES IS LIKELY TOWARD ROCKFORD AND DIXON. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY DOWNWIND OF LAKE MICHIGAN IN THE CHICAGO METROPOLITAN AREA INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA WHERE 12 TO 20 INCHES OF SNOW IS LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF AROUND 2 FEET POSSIBLE. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 35 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY EVENING WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH LIKELY TONIGHT. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE LIKELY NEAR THE IMMEDIATE LAKESHORE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH. * BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...THE STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH BLOWING AND OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FALLING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY TONIGHT. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED SNOW PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT...RESULTING IN LOCALLY VERY INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES. IT IS NOT UNCOMMON TO SEE SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THUNDERSNOW MAKING TRAVEL NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. * TRAVEL...ROAD CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS SNOW DEVELOPS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME TREACHEROUS BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND DOWNRIGHT DANGEROUS BY EARLY EVENING AS WINDS INCREASE RESULTING IN WHITE OUT CONDITIONS. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE SO INTENSE AT TIMES THAT ROAD CREWS WILL BE UNABLE TO KEEP EVEN PRIMARY ROADS AND HIGHWAYS CLEARED. UNNECESSARY TRAVEL SHOULD BE AVOIDED AT ALL COSTS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS MORE THAN HALF OF THE FATALITIES IN PREVIOUS ILLINOIS BLIZZARDS HAVE OCCURRED AS A RESULT OF TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS. BEFORE MAKING THE DECISION TO TRAVEL...CONSIDER IF GETTING TO YOUR DESTINATION IS WORTH PUTTING YOUR LIFE AT RISK. * POWER OUTAGES...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH POSSIBLY HEAVY WET SNOW STICKING TO POWERLINES COULD RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. DUE TO THE PROLONGED NATURE OF VERY ADVERSE CONDITIONS...PLAN ACCORDINGLY FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A PROLONGED DISRUPTION IN COMMERCIAL POWER. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE SNOW WILL MAKE SHOVELING EXTREMELY DIFFICULT...AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY. DURING AND IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE BLIZZARD OF 1999 OVER 40 PEOPLE IN THE CHICAGO AREA ALONE LOST THEIR LIVES TO HEART ATTACKS WHILE SHOVELING THE HEAVY SNOWFALL. IF YOU MUST SHOVEL THE SNOW...TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS INDOORS AND DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE TASK AT HAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL! IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmiser Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 :wub: ROADTRIP!!! Maybe we should've left last night. Probably watch more WX Channel today, than I have my entire life. Still freezing drizzle here, schools are two hours late, not sure if the roads are bad, but I'm sure they won't be any better in two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brubert Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Wow, I don't think we will EVER see a discussion like that!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 *twiddles thumbs* So what are we going to do for the month of February...... (at least the next 2 weeks..) Up till now we had something to track.... weekend storm is rain after that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbscott126 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The 6z GFS has almost suckered me into tracking the storm on the 9th. Almost. I've taken that bait too many times this year. I'm taking a new approach. If I come on here on the 7th and the place is abuzz, I'll start paying attention. Otherwise, I'm starting my spring cleaning early this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 *twiddles thumbs* So what are we going to do for the month of February...... (at least the next 2 weeks..) Up till now we had something to track.... weekend storm is rain after that? Using the warmth today to sit in my sunporch and plant some peas and leeks. They'll start coming up under my grow lights and on top of warming mats. Come early-to-mid March, I'll be able to put those bad boys out and by the end of March I'll have some fresh leeks and english peas. I'm not ready for winter to be over, but I am definitely looking forward to some fresh vegetables in the garden. Of course, with grow lights and warming mats, I can start my spring season pretty early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Ready to put a cap on this winter....bring on Spring so I can get outside again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think we finally fell into the Nina pattern. It took a while for sure and while we have had steady cold, I am still itching for one more snow opportunity. You think the Christmas Night surprise would be enough and if that is what we end up with, then fine, I can live with it but I am not quite ready for mulching, power washing, gutter cleaning, lawnmowing and edging, just yet. Just give me one significant snow then I can drink my beer and countdown to March Madness in peace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think we finally fell into the Nina pattern. It took a while for sure and while we have had steady cold, I am still itching for one more snow opportunity. You think the Christmas Night surprise would be enough and if that is what we end up with, then fine, I can live with it but I am not quite ready for mulching, power washing, gutter cleaning, lawnmowing and edging, just yet. Just give me one significant snow then I can drink my beer and countdown to March Madness in peace. +1 I think Feb. 9th with the arctic front is that last chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 one heck of a temp spread ric 62 hanover 45 REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 900 AM EST WED FEB 02 2011 Note: "fair" indicates few or no clouds below 12,000 feet with no significant weather and/or obstructions to visibility. * = Denotes station may not report precipitation (e.g., rain,snow,etc.), thunder or fog. VAZ042-051-052>054-056-021500- NORTHERN VIRGINIA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS WASH NATIONAL CLOUDY 37 35 92 N3 29.77F FOG DULLES FOG 34 33 96 CALM 29.76F VSB 1 FORT BELVOIR CLOUDY 36 35 96 CALM 29.76F FOG QUANTICO FOG 36 36 100 CALM 29.78F VSB 1/4 FREDERICKSBRG* CLOUDY 39 39 100 S3 29.77S FOG STAFFORD* FOG 36 36 100 CALM 29.81F VSB 1/2 WARRENTON CLOUDY 36 34 93 CALM 29.75F FOG CULPEPER* CLOUDY 36 36 100 CALM 29.77F MANASSAS* CLOUDY 34 34 100 NW3 29.77F LEESBURG* CLOUDY 36 36 100 CALM 29.75F FOG WINCHESTER CLOUDY 36 37 100 SW5 29.72F FOG $$ VAZ048-049-060>072-079>083-021500- CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS RICHMOND CLOUDY 62 60 93 SW14 29.76S PETERSBURG CLOUDY 66 63 88 S10 29.77S CHESTERFIELD* PTSUNNY 63 57 82 SW10G16 29.76S HANOVER CLOUDY 45 45 100 W5 29.80R FOG TAPPAHANNOCK* CLOUDY 57 57 100 W8 29.75R CHARLOTTSVILLE CLOUDY 38 36 92 CALM 29.76S FOG ORANGE* CLOUDY 37 37 100 CALM 29.78R LOUISA* FOG 39 37 93 CALM 29.77R VSB 1 FARMVILLE* CLOUDY 46 46 100 SW6 29.77S FOG SOUTH HILL* CLOUDY 64 63 94 S13 29.85R EMPORIA* CLOUDY 63 59 88 S8G16 29.81R ROANOKE RAPIDS RAIN N/A N/A N/A S14G22 29.81S RALEIGH LGT RAIN 63 62 97 SW16G24 29.84R $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmiser Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 one heck of a temp spread ric 62 hanover 45 Yeah, sitting at 47 here too... not sure we'll make it to 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 ric dropped 10 degrees in 1 hour REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1000 AM EST WED FEB 02 2011 Note: "fair" indicates few or no clouds below 12,000 feet with no significant weather and/or obstructions to visibility. * = Denotes station may not report precipitation (e.g., rain,snow,etc.), thunder or fog. VAZ042-051-052>054-056-021600- NORTHERN VIRGINIA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS WASH NATIONAL FOG 37 36 96 CALM 29.77S VSB 1/2 DULLES FOG 35 34 96 S6 29.74F VSB 1 FORT BELVOIR FOG 37 36 93 CALM 29.74F VSB 1 QUANTICO FOG 36 35 96 S6 29.77F VSB 1/8 FREDERICKSBRG* MOSUNNY 45 45 100 S7 29.75F STAFFORD* CLOUDY 39 39 100 CALM 29.79F FOG WARRENTON CLOUDY 36 36 100 SW3 29.74F FOG CULPEPER* CLOUDY 37 37 100 CALM 29.75F MANASSAS* CLOUDY 36 34 93 CALM 29.76F LEESBURG* CLOUDY 37 37 100 S3 29.73F FOG WINCHESTER CLOUDY 38 38 100 S6 29.69F $$ VAZ048-049-060>072-079>083-021600- CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS RICHMOND CLOUDY 52 50 93 NW13G20 29.78R PETERSBURG PTSUNNY 68 63 83 SW15G22 29.77F CHESTERFIELD* CLOUDY 54 48 82 W7 29.79R HANOVER CLOUDY 47 46 97 SW7 29.80S FOG TAPPAHANNOCK* CLOUDY 50 50 100 W8 29.78R FOG CHARLOTTSVILLE CLOUDY 43 40 89 S8 29.75F FOG ORANGE* CLOUDY 39 39 100 CALM 29.76F FOG LOUISA* PTSUNNY 46 45 93 SW6 29.76S FARMVILLE* MOSUNNY 55 54 94 SW15G21 29.77S SOUTH HILL* CLOUDY 66 63 88 SW15G21 29.85S EMPORIA* CLOUDY 63 59 88 S8 29.82R ROANOKE RAPIDS CLOUDY N/A N/A N/A SW17 29.81S RALEIGH CLOUDY 62 61 96 SW17G25 29.86R Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Sun came out and the temperature TOOK OFF. 47 at 10:15 am to 61* at 11:45 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Looks like we did NOT hit 70* today which means the streak of not hitting 70* during met winter holds on for at least a little while longer. Might even make it through this winter with the streak intact! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 ch 6 and 8 were pretty bullish on the middle of next week, have they not learned yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 ch 6 and 8 were pretty bullish on the middle of next week, have they not learned yet ratings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 Looks like we did NOT hit 70* today which means the streak of not hitting 70* during met winter holds on for at least a little while longer. Might even make it through this winter with the streak intact! Yes, the high temperature was only 68°F so if we can hold off on 70°F through the end of the month, it'll make two winters in a row! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 12z GFS on board with a storm...looks to stay all frozen, but we are close. But, there is no high to the north and no 50/50 low so I'm not sure it will hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 12z GFS on board with a storm...looks to stay all frozen, but we are close. But, there is no high to the north and no 50/50 low so I'm not sure it will hold. ugh.....doesnt look like the really cold temps last through the entire period. Don't look past hour 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The storm next week looks interesting. Unfortunately, as Anthony said, some key features are missing that we generally need. BTW, my family in Wisconsin got destroyed by the blizzard. I will post some pictures from them when I have time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 The storm next week looks interesting. Unfortunately, as Anthony said, some key features are missing that we generally need. BTW, my family in Wisconsin got destroyed by the blizzard. I will post some pictures from them when I have time. Jake, the 06z GFS continues to show the storm next week, undoubtedly the biggest of the season if it verified. Also, a pretty major cold snap after the event with -20C isotherms along the VA/NC border. However, by hour 240, it warms up before becoming colder toward the end of the run. With next week's storm lacking those key features, I will continue to use caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmiser Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I try... I try SOOOO hard not to get sucked back in. Looks like a nice storm, but who gets it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I think he's a good meteorologist and all, but, I'm curious if the GFS broke into DT's house and steal something. He certainly does hold a grudge against it and can't help but bash it every 6 hours. He certainly does seem to enjoy the genuflection of the masses on Facebook these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 gfs lol 12" snow and -2 degrees StnID: kric Model: gfs3 Run: 20110204/0600 Cloud RH threshold: 85% Sleet Ratio: 2:1 || CarSnowTool Beta 5.4 Date/hour FHr Wind SfcT Ptype SRat|Snow||TotSN QPF ||TotQPF Sleet||TotPL FZRA||TotZR S%| I%| L% ====================================================================================================================== 110209/2100Z 135 12004KT 33.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110210/0000Z 138 10006KT 27.9F SNOW 15:1| 0.7|| 0.7 0.047|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110210/0300Z 141 09007KT 26.6F SNOW 14:1| 0.8|| 1.5 0.055|| 0.10 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110210/0600Z 144 03006KT 27.9F SNOW 18:1| 3.0|| 4.5 0.161|| 0.26 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110210/0900Z 147 04007KT 29.5F SNPL 3:1| 0.9|| 5.4 0.303|| 0.57 0.50|| 0.50 0.00|| 0.00 18| 82| 0 110210/1200Z 150 35011KT 26.8F SNOW 11:1| 2.9|| 8.3 0.260|| 0.83 0.00|| 0.50 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110210/1500Z 153 34011KT 23.0F SNOW 23:1| 3.9||12.2 0.169|| 1.00 0.00|| 0.50 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110210/1800Z 156 33012KT 27.0F SNOW 0:1| 0.0||12.2 0.008|| 1.00 0.00|| 0.50 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110210/2100Z 159 31008KT 27.1F 0:1| 0.0||12.2 0.000|| 1.00 0.00|| 0.50 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110211/0000Z 162 29008KT 17.4F 0:1| 0.0||12.2 0.000|| 1.00 0.00|| 0.50 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110211/0300Z 165 29008KT 9.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110211/0600Z 168 28008KT 3.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110211/0900Z 171 28008KT -0.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110211/1200Z 174 29007KT -1.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110211/1500Z 177 30009KT 7.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110211/1800Z 180 30007KT 13.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ====================================================================================================================== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 gfs lol 12" snow and -2 degrees StnID: kric Model: gfs3 Run: 20110204/0600 Cloud RH threshold: 85% Sleet Ratio: 2:1 || CarSnowTool Beta 5.4 Amazing the difference one run makes. That was 06Z. 12Z there's nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 reports of sleet in chester area? anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Had sleet here in orf 5 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 light rain/snow mix a little while ago, could've been sleet too, but it didn't last long, nothing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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