ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Cool. Nothing we can do about it anyway, but 40"+ by Feb 1st is just incredible for this area, any year. What we're getting is about what an average ORH winter is like. What's really going to suck is when one winter the pattern goes back to the late 1990s for a few years or so. Overall though, given solar activity and the global indices going back to what was a much colder global state, we should be in for more fun. i was really hoping that Central Park would break the 1947-48 record for snow thru jan 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You didn't get anything from that storm? I got 2 inches from that storm. I had about that too but it blew away almost immediately and it was hard to tell there was any snow a couple of days later. It was frustrating as anything having this insane mesoband park itself not even a stone's throw off the beach and Monmouth report widespread 10-15". 2/10 was better but sleet cut down on the initial precip, so the heaviest ended up again near Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If it makes anyone feel better, KLEB was getting 1-2 feet from the Euro for about 6 or so runs this weekend... We'll end up with a big 0 probably... Again though, with the exception of the NAM, is there any model with less than .7 liquid precip for NYC? Not really but the combined fact that people east of NYC are assuming some mixing and the usual overdone QPF by the models, .4 of snow is a SCARY THOUGHT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 uuugggh 2/5/10 was a catastrophe (especially because the GEFS at 18Z on friday had the 1.5QPF over us), the only thing worse than boston getting more snow than us is DC getting a storm and our area gets nada Top 3 most depressing weather events of my life... the only ameliorating factor was shacking up with a girl in Bk heights so I really wasn't that upset when I woke to a dusting ; ) Plus, I had friends in town from PSU so I was all excited to tromp around NYC in the snow and then we wound up walking across the Bk bridge with cloudy skies, 21 degree temps, strong N winds, and about 1 flake/cubic mile... when I came home that day to see PHL come in with 27", it was pure nausea ... that disappointment is one of the most significant events of last winter - the only reason it isn't more significant is because of the 2 major Feb storms that followed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 This conversation has gotten progressively more depressing over the past 5 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HPC is going with the 1 low scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i was really hoping that Central Park would break the 1947-48 record for snow thru jan 31. what do they need? I believe there was 1" recorded there today. Say 6 wed/thu and 2 on sat/sun. Will 6 - 8 do it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 2/6/2010- Now that was a dissapointment, beyond every measure. 0" in Upper Manhattan, and a dusting in Lower Manhattan, just horrible. At least Feb. redeemed itself big time. We are now looking at eclipsing at possibly 44" by Thursday, with another clipper dropping an inch to three, 47-48" seems like a possibility before January is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This conversation has gotten progressively more depressing over the past 5 hours Hey John, hows the euro beyond thu. Weekend clipper, next week, arctic cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hey John, hows the euro beyond thu. Weekend clipper, next week, arctic cold? Light snow next weekend...lakes cutter next week..then some cold behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 We haven't had this much snow in January in a long time. It use to never want to snow in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This conversation has gotten progressively more depressing over the past 5 hours Sucks doesn't it? Once it starts snowing, people will be happy to just to see it snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This conversation has gotten progressively more depressing over the past 5 hours just to add icing on the cake, euro has a lakes cutter later in the run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 just to add icing on the cake, euro has a lakes cutter later in the run.. I would care if I didn't hit 50" on the season today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not really but the combined fact that people east of NYC are assuming some mixing and the usual overdone QPF by the models, .4 of snow is a SCARY THOUGHT! Fortunately, I don't forecast out there... Point made, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 SUNY model still stuck at Hour 12...I've noticed this happens quit a bit the day before potential winter storms...in the summer, when no one cares, it is usually out to Hour 60 by 11:30 PM... It's funny because I notice the same thing with the SPC WRF and sometimes the NAM. Maybe it's just my mind playing tricks on me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Sucks doesn't it? Once it starts snowing, people will be happy to just to see it snow. expect for ace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 what do they need? I believe there was 1" recorded there today. Say 6 wed/thu and 2 on sat/sun. Will 6 - 8 do it? we need 7.7 after todays 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I would care if I didn't hit 50" on the season today yup same, our area has about 47" right now, we should eclipse 50" in 18 hrs, amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 just to add icing on the cake, euro has a lakes cutter later in the run.. it'll be ots the way things are going this season. Seriously ,the ggem and gfs are worlds apart from the euro with next weeks storm. This weekends clipper should re-whiten things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 expect for ace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 yup same, our area has about 47" right now, we should eclipse 50" in 18 hrs, amazing. I'm exactly 8" from last years seasonal total, which at the time I thought would be unreachable for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Light snow next weekend...lakes cutter next week..then some cold behind it. GGEM shows a coastal storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 we need 7.7 after todays 1 gonna be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Temps getting down below expected lows so far are another good sign that most of us are at least safe from rain. That north wind is doing us some favors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 coming up sref, nam ggem=/ecm ensembles radar........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 We got thissss. Snow love for everyone, the NAM is too elongated and too far east. 5-8" for everyone!! How's that for optimism? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParsippanyWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 gonna be close Not looking likely atm but this storm tomorrow might still hold some surprises, it wouldn't be such a stretch if you hit that 7.7" by tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Light snow next weekend...lakes cutter next week..then some cold behind it. dont speak too soon lol this is like the 4th storm in a row that has had good potential in the day 5-7 range and showing a decent phase but ends up not happening and we get screwed lol so thanks for jinxing us hopefully for the better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 it'll be ots the way things are going this season. Seriously ,the ggem and gfs are worlds apart from the euro with next weeks storm. This weekends clipper should re-whiten things. I hope we don't get the lakes cutter depicted on the ECM. GFS/GGEM look much more promising for next week. I have 41.5" on the season, need 8.5" to get to the magic 50" marker. I think we'll get it with this Miller A Nor'easter but it's not a lock by any means... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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