SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My psychic ability says 6.4 for NYC...I said 8.7 for the event back on the 11th or 12th and got that within 0.5 so I'm just cocky right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 100pct. but, i psyched myself into a big event after last nights model run....so anything short of that would eventually be a disappointment... Don't live and die by every model run dood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 not at all- i just hate the hypocrisy that happens....probably as much as most dislike my negativity I love your negativity... I kinda like getting negative myself every now and then. You are the Yang to this board's Yin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 PLEASE, find where i said Storm cancel? I said the euro goes to the NAm, nam is going to win.... which would be 3-6" It can certainly be deduced from your posts, even if you didn't say so specifically. You just said "3 inches is nothing to worry about and there are better things I could be doing than fighting with people over 3" of snow". Just calm down and let whatever happens happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Don't live and die by every model run dood it wasnt just one run- all models have trended and then boom, they all come into fair agreement for a fairly large event..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My psychic ability says 6.4 for NYC...I said 8.7 for the event back on the 11th or 12th and got that within 0.5 so I'm just cocky right now. You just bring the snow...people in OK still talking about all the snow you brought them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 When I was younger, 6" felt like a 12" storm, since I was so used to little snow. Now over the past two years, I've seen two 20" storms, and 3-4 10" or more storms, but all of sudden 5-8" is nothing but a nuisance. Heck, those 4" last week were awesome!! I like snow, no matter what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I love your negativity... I kinda like getting negative myself every now and then. You are the Yang to this board's Yin! kudo's my man...you should hear me watching a Jet or yankee game....my wife/friends think i am certifiably insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Amazed dc/bwi not under warnings yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParsippanyWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I remember some people were saying that this storm was going to be the biggest storm in years for many places in the midwest. How things have changed. This went from an inland runner, to a coastal storm, to a 2 piece storm. That's why I tried to stop myself this year from looking at models or forecasts too early (>4 days out). The extremes between the initial runs and what ends up happening is unreal most times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 lol Oh god. Whatever happened to 5-8" being an awesome event, well with these big storms over the past year I can see why, but I for one am formally excited that 5-8" is still on the table on the majority of the models. Well by that standard parts of the hudson highlands got an awesome event this morning. Part of the fun of a big storm is the hype and anticipation of the run up. A lot of the anticipatory excitement is lost for moderate storms, even if they slightly overperform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 100pct. but, i psyched myself into a big event after last nights model run....so anything short of that would eventually be a disappointment... Well, you can't set your expectations high. Lets see what the 12z runs show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It can certainly be deduced from your posts, even if you didn't say so specifically. You just said "3 inches is nothing to worry about and there are better things I could be doing than fighting with people over 3" of snow". Just calm down and let whatever happens happen. what you should have logically deduced was disappointment in my tone, not that I was cancelling the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well, you can't set your expectations high. Lets see what the 12z runs show. i think 12Z is too late- well be in nowcast mode....maybe 6Z nam and GFS revert back....hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 the euro has preciep for us 2morrow and so does the harr i believe.....euro is 1-2 of slop during the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 radar how does the precip in the MA miss us (according to every model but the RUC)??? How did that bowling ball miss us on 02/05/10? Sh*t happens, gents... it isn't the end of the world. Hell, I took the train home to Ct. tonight for 3-5" (here) ... the good news is there is a solid 2' snowpack so it's not all that depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How did that bowling ball miss us on 02/05/10? Sh*t happens, gents... it isn't the end of the world. Hell, I took the train home to Ct. tonight for 3-5" (here) ... the good news is there is a solid 2' snowpack so it's not all that depressing. uuugggh 2/5/10 was a catastrophe (especially because the GEFS at 18Z on friday had the 1.5QPF over us), the only thing worse than boston getting more snow than us is DC getting a storm and our area gets nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If this were the late 1990s, we'd all cut our arms off for a widespread 5-10" kind of event. try 2006-07 and 2007-08 this storm alone could match those years in their entirety imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 uuugggh 2/5/10 was a catastrophe (especially because the GEFS at 18Z on friday had the 1.5QPF over us), the only thing worse than boston getting more snow than us is DC getting a storm and our area gets nada You didn't get anything from that storm? I got 2 inches from that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 uuugggh 2/5/10 was a catastrophe (especially because the GEFS at 18Z on friday had the 1.5QPF over us), the only thing worse than boston getting more snow than us is DC getting a storm and our area gets nada That event is why I always tell people never to trust the GFS ensembles QPF, its often too wet....the fact that nobody could believe the NAM would get that insane QPF gradient it was showing correct was what threw so many people off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 kudo's my man...you should hear me watching a Jet or yankee game....my wife/friends think i am certifiably insane the fact that you have either is a miracle. just kidding around as i sit here alone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If it makes anyone feel better, KLEB was getting 1-2 feet from the Euro for about 6 or so runs this weekend... We'll end up with a big 0 probably... Again though, with the exception of the NAM, is there any model with less than .7 liquid precip for NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 what you should have logically deduced was disappointment in my tone, not that I was cancelling the storm. Cool. Nothing we can do about it anyway, but 40"+ by Feb 1st is just incredible for this area, any year. What we're getting is about what an average ORH winter is like. What's really going to suck is when one winter the pattern goes back to the late 1990s for a few years or so. Overall though, given solar activity and the global indices going back to what was a much colder global state, we should be in for more fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You didn't get anything from that storm? I got 2 inches from that storm. dusting...it snizzled all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 the fact that you have either is a miracle. just kidding around as i sit here alone... an absolute miracle...the fact that they havent abandoned me is an even bigger miracle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well by that standard parts of the hudson highlands got an awesome event this morning. Part of the fun of a big storm is the hype and anticipation of the run up. A lot of the anticipatory excitement is lost for moderate storms, even if they slightly overperform. Well, when most models are showing QPF bombs 24-36 hours out, and suddenly they cut back a bit, it's a little disappointing. What I do, overcome that initial disappointment, and just anticipate the snow falling, and doing its wonders. That's why I think, we all like snow, for its purity and its ability to exist in various motions of heavy snow rates, wet large flakes, high winds, rapid accumulation, but most importantly its beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Honestly I don't care how much we get anymore, though I am confident at least 6 inches accumulates for me, all I wanted was to avoid snowpack eliminating rain until a more favorable setup moves on in for even bigger snowstorms. Good night all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If it makes anyone feel better, KLEB was getting 1-2 feet from the Euro for about 6 or so runs this weekend... We'll end up with a big 0 probably... Again though, with the exception of the NAM, is there any model with less than .7 liquid precip for NYC? no - all at or (+) aside from the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That event is why I always tell people never to trust the GFS ensembles QPF, its often too wet....the fact that nobody could believe the NAM would get that insane QPF gradient it was showing correct was what threw so many people off. see, trust the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 dusting...it snizzled all day That storm featured a big cutoff. My aunt in SI got 7 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.