MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The MM5 is still broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow, "a bit"? I don't see how any of us get less than 8" unless the second batch really fizzles. 12" is a better estimate given how it looks now. News 12 aint the same without joe Coiffi there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i really like se ct for this storm, i think they see 12"+ easily someone might get 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 So....When willl sw nass cnty (ala ALEX territory and mine) experience the worst of tonight's event? It would be phonemal if there was NO lull or mix to speak of and it quits at 6AM tomm moring...it would be almost a 24 hour event. I do believe there will be light PL or FZRA during the period 1pm or 2pm-5pm or so before heavier precipitation moves back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'd have to assume that (I'm not in Long Beach right now), but here in Manhattan where I am it's coming down pretty hard. I'll be home early though so hopefully we're rocking all night with part II. i just shoveled and in woodmere we had just over 2" but its gotten heavier since i finished 20 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I do believe there will be light PL or FZRA during the period 1pm or 2pm-5pm or so before heavier precipitation moves back in. Do you think we can rule out plain ol' liquid snowgoose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Intense band headed towards us. Upstream reports are that its all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow, "a bit"? I don't see how any of us get less than 8" unless the second batch really fizzles. 12" is a better estimate given how it looks now. that's just my wording but you get the idea... that was channel 61, the weather update every two minutes, and yeah they were saying we might see the higher end of the forecast... i'm not sure about what rich hoffman was saying this morning, however... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Twitter: Evansweather Bill Evans Snow will become light with some sleet for PM in NYC area. Then about 6pm to 7pm it gets heavy again with snow rates 1-2" per hour 9" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Flurries now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow, "a bit"? I don't see how any of us get less than 8" unless the second batch really fizzles. 12" is a better estimate given how it looks now. Yeah I think the 4-8 inches range is on the low side now, thinking your figure of 12 inches may well be a good middle ground of whats likely IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 anyone take a look at water vapor imagery? there is a strong short wave trof coming down from the great lakes and it is much further SE than any model has it. It looks like it could phase with the srn stream system. that would be interesting indeed. i still have a suspicion that this outdoes (in my area) the dec storm in terms of accums.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Intense band headed towards us. Upstream reports are that its all snow. The flakes are the size of golf balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 the central jersey band is just arriving here.... coming down pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I was observing this thread last night and noticed some poster trying to downplay the storm and said he would quit his job if NYC saw over 6 inches from this storm. The problem was several posters took the bait and tried to debate him. To give you guys some words of wisdom... i do not think he was a troll at all. He stated a logical case and it was his opinion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i still have a suspicion that this outdoes (in my area) the dec storm in terms of accums.... That would be very awesome to see, Ace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Lol Im glad I missed that. It gets much better after 1 AM..... the debate was AFTER 1AM...as usual i was involved... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GGEM looks like ~20mm total for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ebwx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Huge flakes pouring from this band. Great stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i still have a suspicion that this outdoes (in my area) the dec storm in terms of accums.... this could very well be the number 3 storm for me this year and outside chance at number 2 although i doubt it.. need over 15" for that.. but more importantly for all of us this will bring us between 60-80" of snow in exactly one month since dec 26th absolutely rediculous never could of imagined this in my wildest dreams!!.. 80" in 30 days possibly in south central ct who got 30" from jan 12 and will get 12"+ today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not one flake of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i really like se ct for this storm, i think they see 12"+ easily someone might get 18 Wow, Groton? It rarely, if ever, snows there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 heavy snow now- 31.6° closing in on 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NMM at 10pm tonight: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.I.Pete Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Getting absolutely smoked in Upton right now...about 2" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hopefully the next time a few NAM runs completely puke out a Gulf storm because of a mystery convective blob over the Gulf Stream, we all laugh and toss it out appropriately. If anything, it looks more like the wrapped up models from a day or 2 ago. Storm looks to be almost near ORF now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I do believe there will be light PL or FZRA during the period 1pm or 2pm-5pm or so before heavier precipitation moves back in. SG, when will this first part wind down? From what youre saying, Im getting that it will stay snow as long as the rates are decent and will mix once it really lightens up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NMM hour 18: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 LOL- look at the RGEM total precip...holy ****e...zoomed in Western LI is 40-50mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 we're about to get hit with some 40-45 dBZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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