rossi Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Manalapan, NJ - western monmouth county- heavy snow again 4 inches so far 29 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I agree, the RUC especially is quite aggressive with this warm layer and what precip we have left this afternoon should be some kind of mix for most of us. Hopefully though, that's when the lull between both rounds takes place and the cold air is quick to move back in for the thumping later tonight. A general 12" sounds like a good call for now, but depending on the banding that develops we could see more. A lot of places from the immediate NYC area west are already at 3-4". JM how much do you have so far? 3"? Its really coming down again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 weathertap winter radar would indicate its raining in philly, is this true? They were all snow with the heavy blob. It wouldn't surprise me to see them start to mix as the precip lightens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Oh by the way, the 12Z NAM/GFS show an interesting threat at 54-60 and the clipper after 72... and at 120 looks like the gfs wants to set an overrunning situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ifs thats SN coming up the pike, a quick 1-2inches from it is possible.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yes, we are going to get smoked, and radar has filled in a bit north of the city in the last frame or two...Really a beautiful scene here in Southern Westchester. OBS: -SN 28.1/27 3.75" new lol what a week of winter weather! From Arctic Cold to surprise snow to massive snowstorm to more snow later in the week and maybe more to follow next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Moderate snow. Just shoveled. Beautiful outside. Seems like shoveling is becoming a daily activity now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 JM how much do you have so far? 3"? Its really coming down again! I'd have to assume that (I'm not in Long Beach right now), but here in Manhattan where I am it's coming down pretty hard. I'll be home early though so hopefully we're rocking all night with part II. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 anyone take a look at water vapor imagery? there is a strong short wave trof coming down from the great lakes and it is much further SE than any model has it. It looks like it could phase with the srn stream system. that would be interesting indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 yup. i just checked the philly thread and they are reporting huuuuuuge flakes and whiteout conditions with that BLOB of precip on 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm wondering if that's sleet as people in the PHL thread were reporting sleet last hour Looks like another round of very heavy snow coming for Hunterdon Somerset and Middlesex! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I was observing this thread last night and noticed some poster trying to downplay the storm and said he would quit his job if NYC saw over 6 inches from this storm. The problem was several posters took the bait and tried to debate him. To give you guys some words of wisdom... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 anyone take a look at water vapor imagery? there is a strong short wave trof coming down from the great lakes and it is much further SE than any model has it. It looks like it could phase with the srn stream system. that would be interesting indeed. i cant find a good long loop of WV imagery. u have link please?. thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i cant find a good long loop of WV imagery. u have link please?. thanks! h2o vapor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 They were all snow with the heavy blob. It wouldn't surprise me to see them start to mix as the precip lightens. 10 miles NW of Philly and we've stayed snow this entire time. 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 They were all snow with the heavy blob. It wouldn't surprise me to see them start to mix as the precip lightens. Just wnw of the city (Bryn Mawr) we have 6 inches on the ground (4 from the first batch, 2 more after a lull). Nary a drop of rain or sleet pellet yet, all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 2.5" in Wayne and still lightly snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 10 miles NW of Philly and we've stayed snow this entire time. 6" Ha, I'll stop posting and let you handle the Mt. Villanova updates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 1.75" very light snow waiting for the nice banding in long island sound to move in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I was observing this thread last night and noticed some poster trying to downplay the storm and said he would quit his job if NYC saw over 6 inches from this storm. The problem was several posters took the bait and tried to debate him. To give you guys some words of wisdom... Lol Im glad I missed that. It gets much better after 1 AM..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow, News 12 Long Island still calling for 4"-8" of snow... although they did say that with the ongoing first batch of snow, we might bump the totals a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0048 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1012 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NJ/NYC METRO AREA AND LONG ISLAND/SRN AND ERN CT/RI CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION VALID 261612Z - 262015Z ONGOING SNOWFALL WITH EMBEDDED AREAS OF HIGHER RATES FROM NERN NJ THROUGH NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA...ACROSS LONG ISLAND TO SRN EXTENT OF CT WILL PERSIST THROUGH 18Z. SNOWFALL RATES /UP TO 1 IN PER HR/ WILL SPREAD NEWD ACROSS ERN CT INTO RI THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA SWWD INTO NERN/CENTRAL NJ MAY TRANSITION TO A BRIEF 1-2 HOUR PERIOD OF SLEET AND/OR FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW BEFORE PRECIPITATION DIMINISHES DURING THE EARLY-MID AFTERNOON. AT 1545Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A BAND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW...EXTENDING FROM BWI/PHL NEWD TO NYC AREA INTO SWRN NEW ENGLAND. ENELY SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THIS REGION ARE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST AN INCREASE IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE 0 C IN THE 750-850 MB LAYER FROM CENTRAL NJ TO THE NYC AREA...RESULTING IN VERTICAL THERMAL STRUCTURE SUPPORTIVE OF A TRANSITION TO SOME SLEET/FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW BY 17-18Z. THESE THERMODYNAMIC TRENDS ARE SUPPORTED BY THE RUC AND 09Z SREF. FARTHER NE ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE VERTICAL THERMAL PROFILE WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW THROUGH MID AFTERNOON /20Z/...AND THEN A POTENTIAL FOR SLEET AND/OR FREEZING RAIN MIXING IN WITH THE SNOW. ..PETERS.. 01/26/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 On the good side, since I started the day with around a foot of snow on the ground...if the storm reaches its maximum potential, I could be looking at a new greatest depth recorded since I moved out here in December 1994...the record being 25" after PD II. Wow, that's just incredible. Looking out west at PA/WV/VA radar, the second snow area is looking more impressive by the hour. We're going to get RAKED by it tonight for quite a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 traffic cams on route 1 in TTN up to Plainsboro show HVY SNOW!!!! in North Brunswick, Middlesex county....its JUUUUUST starting to pick up. this big BLOB moving in..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bklnwx1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My link i cant find a good long loop of WV imagery. u have link please?. thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 So....When willl sw nass cnty (ala ALEX territory and mine) experience the worst of tonight's event? It would be phonemal if there was NO lull or mix to speak of and it quits at 6AM tomm moring...it would be almost a 24 hour event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1019 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN WV...WRN MD...NWRN VA CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 261619Z - 262015Z SNOWFALL WITH RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL/ERN WV...AND PERHAPS WRN MD...DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS...AND THEN SPREAD EWD ACROSS NWRN VA BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. LATE MORNING WV IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH BECOMING INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT PROGRESSES NEWD TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. INTENSE DEEP LAYER ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY SPREADING INTO WV...AIDING IN DYNAMIC COOLING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN AND REMOVAL OF A WARM LAYER OF AIR OBSERVED BELOW 800 MB PER 12Z OBSERVED RNK RAOB. AS THIS OCCURS...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW OVER CNTRL/ERN WV. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT OCCURRING THROUGH THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR APPEAR PROBABLE. BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...STRONG ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO EXIT WV AND MOVE ACROSS NWRN VA. PRECIPITATION OVER THIS AREA MAY BRIEFLY TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET...BEFORE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE BECOMES SNOW BY 20Z. STRONG ASCENT COUPLED WITH MUCAPE VALUES OF 50-150 J/KG ROOTED IN THE 700-600 MB LAYER SUGGEST THAT SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NWRN VA AS WELL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow, News 12 Long Island still calling for 4"-8" of snow... although they did say that with the ongoing first batch of snow, we might bump the totals a bit... Wow, "a bit"? I don't see how any of us get less than 8" unless the second batch really fizzles. 12" is a better estimate given how it looks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The snow seems to be getting heavier again. alex i hope that mega band chugging thru NJ is snow for us.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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