RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 :whistle: Don't want to say told ya so, but...... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... WHOLESALE UPDATE TO NEAR TERMS GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR MUCH QUICKER DEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY PRECIP. LIKELY CAUSE FOR POOR MODEL HANDLING WAS DUE TO PROLIFIC CONVECTION OVER THE GULF...INTERRUPTING MODEL HANDLING OF SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE FEED. of course eduggs will argue this..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 1.25" mod snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 :whistle: Don't want to say told ya so, but...... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... WHOLESALE UPDATE TO NEAR TERMS GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR MUCH QUICKER DEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY PRECIP. LIKELY CAUSE FOR POOR MODEL HANDLING WAS DUE TO PROLIFIC CONVECTION OVER THE GULF...INTERRUPTING MODEL HANDLING OF SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE FEED. Me too, I also said that the 00Z GFS had the low tucked in closer to the coast at 18hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Upton Updates AGAIN. http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php for all you mobile guys out there! Wait what?!?!?!?!?! I was expecting 3-6 inches like Lee Goldberg said I was - now I'm going to get a FOOT of snow???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 of course eduggs will argue this..... He had his reasoning, I had mine. I could easily have been just as wrong, but I sure am heck happy I am not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I like how the heavy precip just hitting long island just bumped north almost due north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where did that guy go that said he'd quit his job if NYC got over 6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullfr2121 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Mod snow in Somerset county, NJ. Coastal front looks to be moving just to the east of the area, but intensity should pick up as it scrapes by. Beautiful scene out there and more than an appetizer waiting for tonight's plastering. Looks like that heavy band down by Philly area is gonna hit us too...how much do you have so far? When I left around 8:30 I think we had about 2 inches...should be at least 4 by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where did that guy go that said he'd quit his job if NYC got over 6"? I think he posted about an hour back that he was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where did that guy go that said he'd quit his job if NYC got over 6"? lol thank you for reminding me! looks like nyc will get 6 before the main show starts... although i wonder if both shows will be equal amounts for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where did that guy go that said he'd quit his job if NYC got over 6"? It was funny that he was arguing with everyone last night about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where did that guy go that said he'd quit his job if NYC got over 6"? To file for unemployment. Mod snow here in Hauppauge, looks like close to 2.5" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Some people in the PHL thread have hit 6 already, more then forecast for the whole storm pt1 & 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Oh by the way, the 12Z NAM/GFS show an interesting threat at 54-60 and the clipper after 72... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 holy... back to MODERATE to HEAVY snow.!!! measured 1.5" 30 minutes... we might be close to 2-2.5" now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just shoveled - 4" of fairly wet snow - very pretty out there as it's clinging to everything with no wind. Snowing lightly now - part 1 looks like it may actually be over. Awesome surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Looks like that heavy band down by Philly area is gonna hit us too... Yes, we are going to get smoked, and radar has filled in a bit north of the city in the last frame or two...Really a beautiful scene here in Southern Westchester. OBS: -SN 28.1/27 3.75" new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Oh by the way, the 12Z NAM/GFS show an interesting threat at 54-60 and the clipper after 72... It looks like the GFS wants to develop a miller b with the 1st low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Snow has picked up again here. Almost moderate again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow....huge band coming up NJ pike. also, looks like southern NJ which seemed to be drying out is now filling back in. WEENIE ALERT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Hammer Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Current Obs - East Setauket, NY: Haven't measure yet, but looks like about 2". T - 32F Wind G15MPH Moderate snow. Going with a general 8-12"+, will probably change that to a solid 10"-15" later on as long as everything looks good with the second half of this storm for this evening/tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 RGEM total qpf out shortly but its 0.75 - 1.00 around EWR to i-78 quick drop pff north of there and quick pickup to 1+ south of there total event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The snow seems to be getting heavier again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 look out TTN!!!! Hi Ray, ........too bad hes out west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe T Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Looks like another round of very heavy snow coming for Hunterdon Somerset and Middlesex! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Measured 1.4" of snow in Port Jefferson at 11:05 AM...it has been snowing for a little less than 3 hours. I'm no Debbie Downer, but looking at some of the warm air aloft, I would say there is a good possibility for a period of mixed precipitation over almost all of Long Island sometime between 1:00 PM and 7:00 PM. On the bright side, I think L.I. will likely see some of the heaviest snowfall amounts after 7:00 PM...and if a changeover is brief this afternoon, some very good totals will be realized out here. I agree, the RUC especially is quite aggressive with this warm layer and what precip we have left this afternoon should be some kind of mix for most of us. Hopefully though, that's when the lull between both rounds takes place and the cold air is quick to move back in for the thumping later tonight. A general 12" sounds like a good call for now, but depending on the banding that develops we could see more. A lot of places from the immediate NYC area west are already at 3-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS has 3 more snow threats after this storm. Next week looks really interesting. Now back to our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Some people in the PHL thread have hit 6 already, more then forecast for the whole storm pt1 & 2 weathertap winter radar would indicate its raining in philly, is this true? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Oh by the way, the 12Z NAM/GFS show an interesting threat at 54-60 and the clipper after 72... lol 54-60? and 72? So we might actually have 5 straight days of measurable snow? (Tues, Wed, Thurs, Fri, Sat?) When was the last time that happened? Then we have another big storm looming on the horizon, Tues and Wed next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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