Zelocita Weather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 More confirmation here. Incredible snow rates and they're sustained too. Keep an eye on that NW cutoff though...that thing is nasty on the NW Morris County border... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NYC schools are screwed. Major problems coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hey guys... I just took a look at some SPC mesoanalysis charts... This precip is actually being caused by a high amount of vorticity advection in association with a small but sharp little shortwave embedded in the 500 mb flow.. It looks like overrunning but there is no sign of any thermal advection at this time... Perhaps this subtle shortwave was not picked up well by the models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Happy anniversary everyone December 26-27,2010 January 26-27,2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NYC ASOS said P0005 after just 13 minutes...that would basically be 2 inch per hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There is convective signatures to our southwest in southern NJ/DE/MD moving northeastward, radar confirms this with a lot of dynamics still riding up with this initial batch. Though it's becoming hard to call it "initial" since this has been becoming more and more consolidated... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 KJFK reporting 1/8 mile vis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think new York may receivethe high end of the 5-8 I was thjnking. Another couple hours of snow now before the lull til this evening. I think we even mix during the lull Is everybody convinced this will be a 2 part storm. I'm not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 looks like there will be a cutoff that may save the evening commute before deform madness takes over but still would not be surprised to see some precip fill in. insane snow rates right now with large flakes meaning deeply satured layers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Happy anniversary everyone December 26-27,2010 January 26-27,2011 Happy Anniversary! This set of dates has been lucky for us lately-- we got the retrograder around the same date last Feb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 could this subtle shortwave be the feature that the NAM and some others have been exploding off to our southeast for the past several runs? Just thinking that it may eventually rob batch #2 of some energy... Hey guys... I just took a look at some SPC mesoanalysis charts... This precip is actually being caused by a high amount of vorticity advection in association with a small but sharp little shortwave embedded in the 500 mb flow.. It looks like overrunning but there is no sign of any thermal advection at this time... Perhaps this subtle shortwave was not picked up well by the models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Roads are already dangerous near Washington Square. Taxis are taking their time, and you know the roads aren't good when that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Is everybody convinced this will be a 2 part storm. I'm not! Radar right now definitely still looks like a break will occur and then the 2nd batch nails us in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 looks like upton may have to up their totals SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 914 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 CTZ009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-078>081-176>179-261800- SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON- WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX- WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 914 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 1 PM. THIS BAND WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE...WITH SOME SPOTS FALLING BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE. SNOWFALL RATES IN THIS BAND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A HALF TO ONE INCH AN HOUR. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH 1 PM. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THIS MORNING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 <br />could this subtle shortwave be the feature that the NAM and some others have been exploding off to our southeast for the past several runs? Just thinking that it may eventually rob batch #2 of some energy...<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />The shortwave is actually located in central PA and is propagating east so this feature really almost seems like it's own little mini type storm before the main show tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Radar right now definitely still looks like a break will occur and then the 2nd batch nails us in the evening. break would seem to be short though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Notice how at 500mb, the NAM finally decided to close off the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 looks like upton may have to up their totals SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 914 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 CTZ009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-078>081-176>179-261800- SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON- WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX- WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 914 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 1 PM. THIS BAND WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE...WITH SOME SPOTS FALLING BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE. SNOWFALL RATES IN THIS BAND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A HALF TO ONE INCH AN HOUR. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH 1 PM. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THIS MORNING AN HOUR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Happy anniversary everyone December 26-27,2010 January 26-27,2011 anniversary is annual or yearly... you could use "monthsary"... still SN/SN+ here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 GOOD morning weenies What a beautiful sight to wake up to. It's coming down nicely, pretty low visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Getting smoked right now in NE jersey.. Heavy snow and low vis with a training 30 bdz band... Good job models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GOOD morning weenies What a beautiful sight to wake up to. It's coming down nicely, pretty low visibility. We arranged this for you as a thank you for being with us! SURPRISE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 2" of new snow on the ground in Metuchen - awesome surprise. Local roads are in bad shape (just dropped my son off at school) and even the highways are not in great shape, since the snow is falling faster than it's melting (temps are around freezing). I assume the total snowfall predictions will be simply upped by 3-4" to maybe 8-12" region wide... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 4.0 to 5.0 " reported Mercer Cty E. PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 what in the blue hell is going on...i just woke up and its snowing heavily and there's a lot of snow on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 very heavy snow for the last hour or so. 3.5" new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GOOD morning weenies What a beautiful sight to wake up to. It's coming down nicely, pretty low visibility. Look at the NAM and RSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This is amazing to wake up to I can barely see down my block here in Manhattan. FYI they just closed HPN assuming the rest of the airports are getting diverted right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 what in the blue hell is going on...i just woke up and its snowing heavily and there's a lot of snow on the ground Looks like the first batch thats come through is a good deal stronger then the models were expecting, the orginal values estimated are very likely too low for the whole thing yet alone the first batch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 <br />GOOD morning weenies<br />What a beautiful sight to wake up to.<br />It's coming down nicely, pretty low visibility.<br /><br /><br /><br />Good morning John! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.