Sundog Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Dude, Ocean Parkway is starting to whiten, that should tell you about the intensity right now Snow started to stick instantly on the Clearview Expressway once it started to snow earlier. I was very impressed with the ease it stuck. Snowing moderately in Jamaica right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My question (concern) is since the models didnt really see all this precip this early do you think we end seeing a larger percentage of the Qpf fall during the day rather than a 6 to 8 hour period this evening and therefore end up losing more to melting? Some people have a theory that these 2 part events when you get surprised early the 2nd part duds...it happened in the 12/5-12/6 2003 storm where the 2nd low just never seemed to be able to get its act together...its possible some of the energy can sort of wipe out...we'll have to see what happens...I suspect the end result at worse though is still 4-8 inches or 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 aside from the fact that it isnt a Miller B, this is reminiscent of Dec 5-7 2003....I know Goose had said it earlier...but its eerily similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Taken from my window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Light to Moderate snow here in central queens.....looks like all of NYC Metro should be into heavy snow soon. Unbelievable - the models s**k again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Unless of course they miss you to the east like every one has done this year for us folks out west here. covnective miller a's with deep moisture and strong mid level jets don't dissapoint, ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow. Moderate snow in Bayside, Queens. Everything is covered. Even highways. Clearview and Cross Island are a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Getting absolutely crushed in Princeton. Through 2" already. YouTubeage coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Moderate to heavy snow in East Brunswick. About 2 inches already, maybe a smidge under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 aside from the fact that it isnt a Miller B, this is reminiscent of Dec 5-7 2003....I know Goose had said it earlier...but its eerily similar Some CIPS analogs were listing it as a top 3 or 5 event, even as far back as 3-4 days ago....as I posted earlier though I hope we don't fry the 2nd part like we did in 2003 by having a crazy first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow. Moderate snow in Bayside, Queens. Everything is covered. Even highways. Clearview and Cross Island are a mess. Impossible. You were all sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 SREF has the 1 inch contour line just beneath NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The 35-40dbz blob in the ocean just south of Babylon is making landfall as All Snow, so anyone along the south shore east of say the Sagiktos Pkwy should see a period of S+ as it translates ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Impossible. You were all sleet. Get it right. Graupel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Some CIPS analogs were listing it as a top 3 or 5 event, even as far back as 3-4 days ago....as I posted earlier though I hope we don't fry the 2nd part like we did in 2003 by having a crazy first wave. Second part of this storm has the impressive 700 low and jet structure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Get it right. Graupel LOLZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The 35-40dbz blob in the ocean just south of Babylon is making landfall as All Snow, so anyone along the south shore east of say the Sagiktos Pkwy should see a period of S+ as it translates ENE. yeah i'm watching that too... should see S/S+ in the next few minutes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Princeton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Some CIPS analogs were listing it as a top 3 or 5 event, even as far back as 3-4 days ago....as I posted earlier though I hope we don't fry the 2nd part like we did in 2003 by having a crazy first wave. As soon as I saw the snow covered roads this morning I KNEW the forecasts of mixing were going to be a BUST haha. It's been snowing hard here and this is the same thing that happened with Dec 2003. The only difference is this storm isnt supposed to last as long. It's funny to see the news people behind the times lol. Its snowing clear down to ACY and its pretty clear there wont be any mixing. You were right with the radiational cooling; we were down in the mid 20s this morning. The two storms this reminds me of are actually Dec 2003 and Apr 1996-- we got a lot of radiational cooling before that one started too and that enabled us to start as snow instead of a mix, giving us a head start on accumulations. We already have over an inch on the ground. I guess there really isnt a gulf stream this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Princeton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12z NAM is still laughable.... shows almost no qpf over NYC from 12z-18z this morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Gotta Love it. The new NAM that just is coming in has nothing falling in all of Northern NJ even through 4pm this afternoon. No joke. Can someone please throw this piece of garbage model where it belongs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Gotta Love it. The new NAM that just is coming in has nothing falling in all of Northern NJ even through 1pm this afternoon. No joke. Can someone please throw this piece of garbage model where it belongs. It has the stuff there, just 100 miles too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12z NAM at 00z tonight: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Its gonna do some damage from 00Z-06Z though I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12z NAM is still laughable.... shows almost no qpf over NYC from 12z-18z this morning! the NAM has been behind the whole time, it has never fully caught on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 9z srefs are beautiful. closed 500 mb low south of nyc. 1 in qpf contour into nj. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Snowing like crazy here in Southern Brooklyn. I didn't expect it to be so heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Its gonna do some damage from 00Z-06Z though I think The Nam crushes NYC and Jersey at 15 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Its gonna do some damage from 00Z-06Z though I think BOOM! 12z NAM at 03z tonight: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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