mulen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Rinse,wash,repeat as D.T always says the trend is your friend intellicast bumped up NYC to 6- 10 they havea very good read on our area most of the time. The system is challenging and all bets are off what a chase she looks pissed off and ready to rumble see ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yes, but most importantly what this means is that the low pressure system may be closer to the coast than previously modeled. Anyone have a map of latest pressure falls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Healthy moderate snow in holmdel. Everything coated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just had a word with Bill Evans on facebook... Me:seems like this first wave wasn't forecasted by guidanceBill: 7:00amWas not, nor was the strength of yesterday's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Floral Park Nassau-Flurries- I think once it starts snowing, it will continue through without a break(according to the radar).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 flurries in brooklyn Usually I'm reporting observing from brooklyn, but I'm in los Angeles for vacation with my wife. For once I am rooting for less snow since my kids are in back home at my in laws and I want to be able to get back to them . My flight is late Thursday night arriving Friday morning, so I hope 4-8 inches won't affect the airports by then. Anyway enjoy guys just don't get too much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 JMA had this 1st batch last night. Here is JMA thru 7:00pm tonight: http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_SFC_ACCUM-PRECIP_24HR.gif and here is the storm total: http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_SFC_ACCUM-PRECIP_48HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 steve d just mentioned on twitter that this snow early can cool the layers really quick making it colder for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kborne Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Snowing in newark nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 snowing @ a pretty good clip now. streets covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 steve d just mentioned on twitter that this snow early can cool the layers really quick making it colder for us! I think its pretty clear that the main part of this storm is all snow no matter what. The bonus stuff this morning will be benefited by some evap cooling to start but there will still be a warm punch to fight later that wont care one lick about the evap. cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 These models stink. Currently no snow yet near lga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 here is the latest radar image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think its pretty clear that the main part of this storm is all snow no matter what. The bonus stuff this morning will be benefited by some evap cooling to start but there will still be a warm punch to fight later that wont care one lick about the evap. cooling. By the time warm push occurs, 1st batch might be over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duality Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This is going to be interesting...surprised nothing is reported yet at KSMQ, they're well saturated and there are decent echoes over top of them...if this area from TTN SW passes over NYC over the next few hours and holds together someone could already reach the bottom range of the entire event. been snowing here at smq for over an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 http://www.nco.ncep....am_p24_030m.gif What do you say now ace? I mentioned that there have been multiple instances in recent years where the NAM did what it did at 0z only to light up at 6z just before start time. This has especially been true of GOM lows and the 6z verified closer to the end results while the 0z was way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Good Point. Update by Upton at 7:08am: QUICK UPDATE TO GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR PRECIP MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA MORE QUICKLY THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED. STILL SOME DRY AIR AT APPROX 4KFT-8KFT TO OVERCOME...BUT BASED ON RADAR TRENDS AND HRRR REFLECTIVITY GUIDANCE...HAVE PUT IN LIKELY POPS FOR THE SOUTHERN ZONES THIS MORNING. LATEST ACARS SOUNDINGS IMPLY SOME EVAPORATIVE COOLING IN THE PAST HOUR AS THIS DRY LAYER ERODES...SO WE`LL LIKELY CONTINUE TO LACK A WARM NOSE ALOFT. ADDITIONALLY...LAPS ANALYSIS OF FREEZING LEVEL HEIGHTS CURRENTLY SUPPORT SNOW...AND THE EXPECTATION IS THAT THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE CASE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PRECIP TYPE THROUGH LATE MORNING THEREFORE MOST LIKELY TO BE SNOW. ANY MIXING THEREFORE RESERVED MAINLY FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. By the time warm push occurs, 1st batch might be over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 By the time warm push occurs, 1st batch might be over. it's still snow at atlantic city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Some flakes flying now in Astoria. 2-3 miles west of LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Amazing how progressive and overachieving every storm has been nothing should surprise us this season what a winter . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Amazing how progressive and overachieving every storm has been nothing should surprise us this season what a winter . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 1 inch TTN already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Flurries/light snow just began on the Upper West! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 been snowing here at smq for over an hour yes and how annoying it is to follow a model for days and then the models are so screwed up no model was predicting this heavy a snow at this early a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Craig Allen On-Air Inc "PROBLEM! A piece of moisture has broken off from the pack and flew up the coast. An inch or two of snow will fall this morning, making for a very slick commute... then could actually quit for awhile! Then we resume with the rest of the forecast as it initially stands......snow, or a mix changing to snow, hvy at times, this evng into tngt." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Snow just starting here in Levittown (eastern Nassau County). Channel 12 Traffic cameras show the snow is moderate is western Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Light snow in downtown Manhattan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I definitely have sleet or graupel mixed in. Can hear it hitting my window AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GooGoo Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Lightning in Western North Carolina....hmmmmm! Atmosphere is pumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I definitely have sleet or graupel mixed in. Can hear it hitting my window AC. Impossible. All snow here in Fresh Meadows border of Bayside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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