Snowlover11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 00z NMM clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhj Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 why so low in eastern ct?????? Forecasts: TEB: 10" EWR: 9" SWF:6" HPN:9" NYC: 10" LGA: 9" JFK: 8" FRG: 8" ISP: 7" FOK: 6" DXR: 7" BDR: 9" MMK: 8" HVN: 8" GON: 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The reason I'm going lower in SE CT is because I believe the deformation band will be further west over NE NJ/NYC/SW CT. The RUC has a much better handle on this than the NAM/GFS, though I think the RUC is a little too far NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 06Z RGEM cut back on precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Forecasts: TEB: 10" EWR: 9" SWF:6" HPN:9" NYC: 10" LGA: 9" JFK: 8" FRG: 8" ISP: 7" FOK: 6" DXR: 7" BDR: 9" MMK: 8" HVN: 8" GON: 6" Nice forecast. Seems like a further NW move with precip is your call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 06Z RGEM cut back on precip. Significant, or more in line with everything else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Significant, or more in line with everything else? Little hard to tell until I get the more detailed maps in 10 minutes. Real sharp cut off north and west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Given that the RGEM shows basically no precip. north of central NJ through 18z, I wouldn't take it too seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Here's the updated Total Snowfall from Upton--- You can see they dropped totals in NW areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Epic win on the 08z RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 06Z RGEM Total Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Lol, NAM gets wetter...RGEM gets drier. Gotta love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 06Z RGEM Total Snow That's def a sig. cut back, looks like the 0z NAM. lolz, eh we'll just have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Gotta catch some zz's dudes, wishing you all feet and feet (and feet) of snow. :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Gotta catch some zz's dudes, wishing you all feet and feet (and feet) of snow. :snowman: Yeah, its about that time folks, up at 8 to see if theres a surprise. Its my day off too, so I get to go back to sleep !:thumbsup: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The radar to the south over NJ right now reminds me of one storm in particular...any guesses? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The radar to the south over NJ right now reminds me of one storm in particular...any guesses? 12/19/09? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12/5-6/2003 The radar to the south over NJ right now reminds me of one storm in particular...any guesses? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Gotta catch some zz's dudes, wishing you all feet and feet (and feet) of snow. :snowman: Later bro. Good luck with the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12/19/09? 12/05/03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12/5-6/2003 Almost the same situation over the area too....very cold over CT and MA but marginally cold in the NYC metro area....still 5-7 degrees colder though than 12/5 was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Almost the same situation over the area too....very cold over CT and MA but marginally cold in the NYC metro area....still 5-7 degrees colder though than 12/5 was What was the final result? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS cut precip as well. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_p24_030l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS cut precip as well. http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p24_030l.gif http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AWbgkRpYwc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 http://www.youtube.c...h?v=5AWbgkRpYwc Lol yea its a watch and see now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No computer model has showed precip falling in the area before 18z except the RUC. The RUC has been extremely consistent through last night showing snow/sleet getting into southern ct and racing northward by mid morning.. current radar trends suggesting this is true.. you can see NAM sim radar shunts this moisutre ENE, however radar suggest its moving rapidly NE and already in central jersey.. RUC shows storm really intensifying this evening about 50-75 miles west of GFS maybe 40-60 miles SE of montauk.. during this time.. first wave of moisture lasts throughout the area until the upper level support and good stuff get here. . we'll see what happens.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 For those who care, Upton finally goes all warning-y on our arses: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No computer model has showed precip falling in the area before 18z except the RUC. The RUC has been extremely consistent through last night showing snow/sleet getting into southern ct and racing northward by mid morning.. current radar trends suggesting this is true.. you can see NAM sim radar shunts this moisutre ENE, however radar suggest its moving rapidly NE and already in central jersey.. RUC shows storm really intensifying this evening about 50-75 miles west of GFS maybe 40-60 miles SE of montauk.. during this time.. first wave of moisture lasts throughout the area until the upper level support and good stuff get here. . we'll see what happens.. The 06Z GFS has the 0.1" isohyet over Long Island by 18Z and the HPC moved their 1.00" isohyet westward in their latest update. Man, what a headache! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No computer model has showed precip falling in the area before 18z except the RUC. The RUC has been extremely consistent through last night showing snow/sleet getting into southern ct and racing northward by mid morning.. current radar trends suggesting this is true.. you can see NAM sim radar shunts this moisutre ENE, however radar suggest its moving rapidly NE and already in central jersey.. RUC shows storm really intensifying this evening about 50-75 miles west of GFS maybe 40-60 miles SE of montauk.. during this time.. first wave of moisture lasts throughout the area until the upper level support and good stuff get here. . we'll see what happens.. It definitely shows some component trying to hedge more eastward than north but you have to think at least part of that shield makes it in and a good portion of it for LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No advisories in Ulster county, yet channel 11 has them in the one foot plus range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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