earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Euro should at least give us some insight into tonight's 00z mess in a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man the JMA has been steady as she goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man the JMA has been steady as she goes. It has done pretty well this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man the JMA has been steady as she goes. If only one could trust that thing. It pretty much shows a 12" snowstorm with every threat, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 for whoever was asking about the HRRR http://ruc.noaa.gov/hrrr/ its a short range model that stands for High-Resolution Rapid Refresh. It's used alot during severe weather season, like for capping situations and such as well as other times but is being used alot more now. another model to remind me chasing season is just around the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chademer07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man the JMA has been steady as she goes. Definitely, it's been consistently showing a more broad gradient as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man, those JMA graphics are absolutely atrocious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 for whoever was asking about the HRRR http://ruc.noaa.gov/hrrr/ its a short range model that stands for High-Resolution Rapid Refresh. It's used alot during severe weather season, like for capping situations and such as well as other times but is being used alot more now. another model to remind me chasing season is just around the corner Any insights on it's accuracy? I've noticed it's not as terrible as I thought it would be. Last winter I heard several reports that it was pretty awful....seems to be decent in my limited usage of it thus far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i think the JMA is run through mario paint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Game time, Euro just initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest stormchaser Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any insights on it's accuracy? I've noticed it's not as terrible as I thought it would be. Last winter I heard several reports that it was pretty awful....seems to be decent in my limited usage of it thus far this winter. Everything seems to be decent in limited usage this winter lol, or atrocious depending on what angle you are looking at it from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Everything seems to be decent in limited usage this winter lol, or atrocious depending on what angle you are looking at it from I'm looking at it in regards to our area...and thus far this winter it's been decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chademer07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If only one could trust that thing. It pretty much shows a 12" snowstorm with every threat, lol. The color scale really screws people up though, makes it look like alot more precip usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Everything seems to be decent in limited usage this winter lol, or atrocious depending on what angle you are looking at it from I can say with absolute certainty that the CRAS has been very poor this year. I am very disappointed with its performance and expect better verification rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 hr 18 light preciep over the area .01-.10 stuff....850's run through holmdel-ttn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Euro is much more elongated with the surface low through 24 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 24hr EC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any insights on it's accuracy? I've noticed it's not as terrible as I thought it would be. Last winter I heard several reports that it was pretty awful....seems to be decent in my limited usage of it thus far this winter. I haven't really used it much for storms out by you guys but out here its been ok...seems to do better with the big events and likes to overperform with the small events and produce say..2-3" of snow when every other model is less than an inch. That has has happened several times this winter here and its been wrong most of the time. It did pretty well with the I-70 snow event in MO last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow. It's south and east and by a good bit through 30 hours. NYC is at .5" QPF PHL barely scraping the .75" contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 hr 24 light preciep continues....total so far is .10-.25....so around 1-2 inches for the city during the day 2morrow....850's are in snj hr 30 is def coming in further se with the deform band...total qpf so far is .50+ for the metro area and .75+ from holmdel south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 36 hr rough QPF estimates..storm is mostly over..maybe light snow still in Eastern SNE. DC: 1.00" PHL: .75" NYC: .75" BOS: .5-.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 going to look at this model more for this storm and see how well it does. for those who dont know, it runs every hour, out to 15hrs. This is the 3z run I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow. It's south and east and by a good bit through 30 hours. NYC is at .5" QPF PHL barely scraping the .75" contour. something doesnt add up here... is that surface euro map for 24 hours correct because that doesnt look south/east to me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 something doesnt add up here... is that surface euro map for 24 hours correct because that doesnt look south/east to me? The surface low isn't necessarily farther south and east, it doesn't develop the CCB in any way like it has been doing for the past two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 hr 36 storm is over.... total qpf nyc airports are prob all .75 or a tad more... Li is .75+ from edison,nj south its .75+ North jersey is .50+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 36 hr rough QPF estimates..storm is mostly over..maybe light snow still in Eastern SNE. DC: 1.00" PHL: .75" NYC: .75" BOS: .5-.75" So kind of like a compromise between the Ukie and the Canadian models. Depending on ratios 6-8 inches for NYC, fantastic considering the rain chances we were dealing with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 hr 36 storm is over.... total qpf nyc airports are prob all .75 or a tad more... Li is .75+ from edison,nj south its .75+ North jersey is .50+ Would one of you guys mind posting for FMH (Otis/Falmouth) in terms of QPF? It's right on the cape cod canal. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 going to look at this model more for this storm and see how well it does. for those who dont know, it runs every hour, out to 15hrs. This is the 3z run I believe [ euro is .10-.25 for ur area thursday morning.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 hr 36 storm is over.... total qpf nyc airports are prob all .75 or a tad more... Li is .75+ from edison,nj south its .75+ North jersey is .50+ Still a very impressive event out this way, and with the somewhat colder solution, it should almost all be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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