40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think one of the deals with the globals versus the regionals just might be some epic banding...and subsidence on the other side of that. The globals are spreading precip around more, but maybe the regionals have a better idea with some serious banding. It may not just be convective, which is why the RGEM/GGEM although fairly similar continue to differ on the QPF spread. The RGEM hammers a lot more in SE MA, and doesn't spread it as far NW. Kind of like how the GFS was always too far NW with the .1ish in the old days. Just a random thought out loud. That is a valid point, but I would counter that with the fact that the best banding usually sets up just NW of the consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Like my living room? What the hell is that disturbing carving in the snow?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This Euro model will be very interesting to watch. If it holds mostly to serve like the GGEM OR RGM then we have a little forecst problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 What the hell is that disturbing carving in the snow?? The sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well GN folks. Here's to a good event for tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My gut tells me we'll struggle to hit 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Oh, I saw that.....all I can do is ignore that; getting angry would do nothing but appease that fool. Who ever that is needs a good pop in the face and id be thrilled to oblige Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My gut tells me we'll struggle to hit 12". Yeah probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My gut tells me we'll struggle to hit 6. 8-12 IMO Boston and even Northern Burbs up through 128 into SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Who ever that is needs a good pop in the face and id be thrilled to oblige I appreciate the sentiment, Jay, but that is seldom the answer....whoever did that is exercising as poor of judgement as I did that night. I learned and evolved....hopefully he does, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well GN folks. Here's to a good event for tomorrow night. What? You need to stay up for the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GEFS are further NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I appreciate the sentiment, Jay, but that is seldom the answer....whoever did that is excerising as poor of judgement as I did that night. I learned and evolved....hopefully he does, as well. You're with family here. You know there are insensitive and insecure people all over who get their rocks off by making others publicly uncomfortable. You're right...that person needs some evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS ens mean is NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GEFS are further NW I'm not sure. Sure there is more qpf but that's because the mean of 2 members dumping 3 inches can do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My gut tells me we'll struggle to hit 6. Hope the mav numbers are on crack man. I just looked at BOS. ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 What? You need to stay up for the EC. I gotta wake up at 6 tomorrow. I'll be around tomorrow night as I have Thursday off. It's probably better I don't see the euro..lol. Hopefully something nice to wake up to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 What? You need to stay up for the EC. It's like someone pulled the fire alarm...everyones cleared out hoping for a miracle in Miami Doug Flutie from the Euro that drops a widespread .8 to 1.5". --- The hires stuff is pretty putrid through 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm not sure. Sure there is more qpf but that's because the mean of 2 members dumping 3 inches can do that. Noyes says they're 60-70 miles NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You're with family here. You know there are insensitive and insecure people all over who get their rocks off by making others publicly uncomfortable. You're right...that person needs some evolution. He has every right to criticize me, but not in that manner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'll say the one thing I do not like is the armageddon CRAS actually looks like the NAM as far as what it tries to do with low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Oh man... just returned from a 3 hour hiatus hoping for an epic NAM cave, weenies flying, 12"+ philly north, 1-2' SNE... Oh man. First thoughts: 1) Messenger --- fantastic analysis, you nailed the issue of the split energy robbing moisture and shifting the baroclinic zone east 2) How could the EURO be so consistent, not blink once, and be so wrong 36 hours from go-time? 3) The headline for the lay public will be a week of "crying wolf" on this storm... will BOX actually remove the Winter Storm Warnings if the lighter solutions pan out? 4) It ain't over yet... fat lady is scheduled to perform at 1AM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Still doesn't look like we can buy .25'' here on the ens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Are we comparing ensembles to previous run or op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I gotta wake up at 6 tomorrow. I'll be around tomorrow night as I have Thursday off. It's probably better I don't see the euro..lol. Hopefully something nice to wake up to. That's cool. I get to sleep in til 10. Sweet dreams. I'll be watching letterman in Kevin's driveway if you need me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Did the MAV numbers take the fluff factor into consideration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Noyes says they're 60-70 miles NW It doesn't look like that to me. Now I'm out...tired and with kind of a upset stomach from dinner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Noyes says they're 60-70 miles NW They are a little nw but not 60-70 miles. Still, better to see that they are a little nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That's cool. I get to sleep in til 10. Sweet dreams. I'll be watching letterman in Kevin's driveway if you need me. Stick your arm out of the snowbank and trip him as he goes for his jog at 4:30am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NOGAPS is afraid to print out 0Z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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