ski MRG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Good Night, Wagons west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Don't be a smarta$. How can can automated stations determine visibility? Because the Newport reporting station located in Middletown was reporting a .25 mile visibility and it was at least a couple miles.....What about the major airports? Is there a person reporting the visibility? There are automated reporting stations in our area like Montauk. BID and Provincetown and the visibility doesn't seem to be measured at these stations. There are vis sensors at BID and PVC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It's just the NAM. Got, for some reason I misread it as one of the sref members. Also, there is the 24h panel. Yeah, precip is up to the south coast but I'm pretty sure on the whole, the heaviest is over SE MA on that particular model. It's great news for you I think. It's the NAM if it didn't fail to launch later Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There are vis sensors at BID and PVC. speaking of which...this is thread OT but kinda cool: FMH 260255 OVC001 0 FZFG 19 19 3304 260235 OVC001 0 FZFG 18 16 0000 260215 BKN001 0.25 FZFG 21 19 0000 260155 OVC001 0 FZFG 21 19 0000 260135 BKN001 0 FZFG 23 21 0000 260115 VV000 0 FZFG 25 25 0000 260055 VV000 0 FZFG 27 25 310 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 02z Ruc seems more consolidated! It's beyond it's range here but it's interesting that it scraps E SNE with punch 1...dry slot, and then is developing the "main" event to the SW. In some ways the RUC I think might be supporting the NAM...but who cares it's 18 out and not helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There are vis sensors at BID and PVC. Thanks, but these sensors are not very good because during weather events the reported viz. at these locations never equal the actual current conditions....but most of the other sites, such as the major airports...accurately report the viz...Are the airport sites asos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 speaking of which...this is thread OT but kinda cool: FMH 260255 OVC001 0 FZFG 19 19 3304 260235 OVC001 0 FZFG 18 16 0000 260215 BKN001 0.25 FZFG 21 19 0000 260155 OVC001 0 FZFG 21 19 0000 260135 BKN001 0 FZFG 23 21 0000 260115 VV000 0 FZFG 25 25 0000 260055 VV000 0 FZFG 27 25 310 VV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 We are taking over Noyes' chat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 speaking of which...this is thread OT but kinda cool: FMH 260255 OVC001 0 FZFG 19 19 3304 260235 OVC001 0 FZFG 18 16 0000 260215 BKN001 0.25 FZFG 21 19 0000 260155 OVC001 0 FZFG 21 19 0000 260135 BKN001 0 FZFG 23 21 0000 260115 VV000 0 FZFG 25 25 0000 260055 VV000 0 FZFG 27 25 310 Nice...I'm hoping CON gets below zero with some 1/4SM FZFG tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 VV? i believe it's vertical visibility. edit: yeah...here: When the sky is obscured due to a surface-based phenomenon, vertical visibility (VV) into the obscuration is forecast. The format for vertical visibility is VV followed by a three-digit height in hundreds of feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Nice...I'm hoping CON gets below zero with some 1/4SM FZFG tonight. stuff makes for nasty road conditions...there's ice everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 RGEM is unlike the NAM. That is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 graphic ate the ability to edit the RUC post. At 18h on the RUC, doesn't support the NAM at all. Was looking at the wrong maps a minute ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 And this from the ALB AFD at 9:55. Wonder what they meant from that last sentence LOL WITH REGARD TO DEVELOPING STORM ALONG THE GULF COAST...BACKGROUND NORTHERN STREAM UPPER FLOW VERY ZONAL...SO EVEN THOUGH A SLOW GRADUAL DOWNSTREAM UPPER RIDGING IS BEING NOTICED ON THE SATELLITE IMAGERY...NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF UPPER DEFORMATION AIMED TOWARD SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE FORECAST AREA. NEW CONVECTION JUST BEGINNING TO FIRE IN NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES...AND STILL WORTH WATCHING HOW MUCH DOWNSTREAM UPPER RIDGING CAN DEVELOP...AND IF IT CAN BACK THE MEAN NORTHERN STREAM STEERING FLOW ENOUGH TO GET THE STORM TO TRACK MORE NORTH AND WEST OF THE LATEST 00Z GUIDANCE THAT IS ARRIVING NOW. GUIDANCE SHOULD BE RESOLVING AT LEAST SOME OF THE CONVECTIVE PROCESSES IN A BROAD SENSE...SO OUTPUT SHOULD BE FAIRLY RELIABLE THIS CLOSE TO STORM IMPACT. BUT...THERE COULD BE A BIG DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SHOULD BE RELIABLE AND IS RELIABLE...AND THIS STORM STILL NEEDS TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i believe it's vertical visibility. edit: yeah...here: When the sky is obscured due to a surface-based phenomenon, vertical visibility (VV) into the obscuration is forecast. The format for vertical visibility is VV followed by a three-digit height in hundreds of feet. hmmm... freezing fog. Neat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 graphic ate the ability to edit the RUC post. At 18h on the RUC, doesn't support the NAM at all. Was looking at the wrong maps a minute ago. RUC is a great hit with mo to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Thanks, but these sensors are not very good because during weather events the reported viz. at these locations never equal the actual current conditions....but most of the other sites, such as the major airports...accurately report the viz...Are the airport sites asos? This is getting OT, but they're all ASOS/AWOS. There is a variable visibility at Newport right now (UUU) so the fog is patchy.http://www.uswx.com/...c&n=24&stn=Kuuu The sensors are actually not that bad. Phil posted the FMH obs and they've been near 0 vis for hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 RUC is a great hit with mo to come Party still raging? Seems some partygoers were given bad directions from some dude named NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Another SREF map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 BOX has expanded the Warning to include Boston and Worcester but it's keeping the Watches up for the Cape, South Coast, BID and MVY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Matt Noyes seems like a pretty cool guy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think just that there's no certainties any longer. I like everything they've been saying today. And this from the ALB AFD at 9:55. Wonder what they meant from that last sentence LOL WITH REGARD TO DEVELOPING STORM ALONG THE GULF COAST...BACKGROUND NORTHERN STREAM UPPER FLOW VERY ZONAL...SO EVEN THOUGH A SLOW GRADUAL DOWNSTREAM UPPER RIDGING IS BEING NOTICED ON THE SATELLITE IMAGERY...NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF UPPER DEFORMATION AIMED TOWARD SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE FORECAST AREA. NEW CONVECTION JUST BEGINNING TO FIRE IN NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES...AND STILL WORTH WATCHING HOW MUCH DOWNSTREAM UPPER RIDGING CAN DEVELOP...AND IF IT CAN BACK THE MEAN NORTHERN STREAM STEERING FLOW ENOUGH TO GET THE STORM TO TRACK MORE NORTH AND WEST OF THE LATEST 00Z GUIDANCE THAT IS ARRIVING NOW. GUIDANCE SHOULD BE RESOLVING AT LEAST SOME OF THE CONVECTIVE PROCESSES IN A BROAD SENSE...SO OUTPUT SHOULD BE FAIRLY RELIABLE THIS CLOSE TO STORM IMPACT. BUT...THERE COULD BE A BIG DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SHOULD BE RELIABLE AND IS RELIABLE...AND THIS STORM STILL NEEDS TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY. This is getting OT, but they're all ASOS/AWOS. There is a variable visibility at Newport right now (UUU) so the fog is patchy. http://www.uswx.com/...c&n=24&stn=Kuuu The sensors are actually not that bad. Phil posted the FMH obs and they've been near 0 vis for hours. it's patchy for sure here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Matt Noyes is hilarious. I strongly urge everyone to watch his live stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NCEP, no errors in the NAM that degrades it's performance but: LOW MOVING OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...PREFERENCE FOR A NON-00Z NAM COMPROMISE THE NAM HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY QUICKER/STRONGER ALOFT...BUT HAS MAINTAINED REASONABLE CONTINUITY OVER ITS PAST DAY OF RUNS. THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED QUICKER WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER ITS PAST COUPLE DAYS OF RUNS. WHEN COMPARING THE GUIDANCE...FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...THE 00Z NAM LIES EAST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE DETERMINISTIC AND GEFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS. WILL GO WITH THE CONSENSUS GUIDANCE AND PREFER A NON-00Z NAM COMPROMISE SOLUTION HERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Matt Noyes seems like a pretty cool guy... he's an awesome guy. all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS 12hr LP off the coast of Hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 He just threw Susan Boyle under the bus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patfan1987 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HAHA Noyes told the NAM to shove it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NAM can go shove it M.N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NCEP, no errors in the NAM that degrades it's performance but: LOW MOVING OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...PREFERENCE FOR A NON-00Z NAM COMPROMISE THE NAM HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY QUICKER/STRONGER ALOFT...BUT HAS MAINTAINED REASONABLE CONTINUITY OVER ITS PAST DAY OF RUNS. THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED QUICKER WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER ITS PAST COUPLE DAYS OF RUNS. WHEN COMPARING THE GUIDANCE...FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...THE 00Z NAM LIES EAST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE DETERMINISTIC AND GEFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS. WILL GO WITH THE CONSENSUS GUIDANCE AND PREFER A NON-00Z NAM COMPROMISE SOLUTION HERE. iow, craptastic model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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