ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 We're within 12 hours of the event. Let the games, BEGIN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone listening Noyes' live internet broadcast tonight? He is absolutely destroying the NAM. other points of his: * strung out low solution is absurdity * ride the euro hard * someone could see 18", not willing to go on air with that yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 First call IMBY: 4-8'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Noyes is saying in his 6:40pm disco that he's leaning heavily on the EURO, thinks that it is right on with this storm. Also, 18" amounts not out of the question at all for interior SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Matt had the dramatic Star Wars theme music playing as he was finishing up. AWESOME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone listening Noyes' live internet broadcast tonight? He is absolutely destroying the NAM. http://www.mattnoyes...ngland_weather/ other points of his: * strung out low solution is absurdity * ride the euro hard * someone could see 18", not willing to go on air with that yet This. I agree. I'm gonna go with 8-16" IMBY. .....I reserve the right to alter that after seeing the 00z EURO, but that is it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 First call IMBY: 4-8'' weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Didn't take a look at the SUNY MM5 today until just now but, the 12Z had a pretty sharp cut-off. Then again, the MM5 IS a spin-off of the NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There's a potential that this storm could bust high if things come together correctly for SNE. Tonights models will be very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Even the night before a big storm, the dead zone still blows. 00z models should be at least interesting...but hopefully in a good way. Want to break 6'', anything else is gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Even the night before a big storm, the dead zone still blows. 00z models should be at least interesting...but hopefully in a good way. Want to break 6'', anything else is gravy. I'm going 5-8 mby. I'll pass time during DZ by shoveling the mound the plow left for me (they widened the street) and creating a path for tomorrow's oil delivery. Fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Me thinks somebody needs to close the other thread. 94 users there still. Now, off to use the dead zone to get gas for the snowblower! The season of over-use continues! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NOOOO....ETAUNTON should have started this thread!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Even the night before a big storm, the dead zone still blows. 00z models should be at least interesting...but hopefully in a good way. Want to break 6'', anything else is gravy. One of these days NH will get nailed... 6-8 sounds about right for you... maybe a hair more for me, but I'm thinking 6-9" IMBY D E A D Z O N E ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This. I agree. I'm gonna go with 8-16" IMBY. .....I reserve the right to alter that after seeing the 00z EURO, but that is it. BTW, if the Euro hadn't gone to the idea of having some gap in the moisture it'd still be forecasting 15" of snow in western MA. Ask Scott to post the 21z and 18z maps from the 12z and then compare those to last nights 0z. I'm just hoping to get more riveting "it's more amped but less amped at the same time" for tonights 0z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NOOOO....ETAUNTON should have started this thread!! ConvectiveSolution's thread delivered a 6-8'' storm last Friday. He's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NOOOO....ETAUNTON should have started this thread!! I thought the same when I saw the new thread! Hopefully his juju transfers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 He is the direct link to his discussion that took place from 640-700: http://www.livestream.com/mattnoyes/video?clipId=pla_f42444c5-46b7-4fdf-8a1c-b9d9ea90b632 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone with Stormvista, what time does the 0z Euro initialize? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 BTW, if the Euro hadn't gone to the idea of having some gap in the moisture it'd still be forecasting 15" of snow in western MA. Ask Scott to post the 21z and 18z maps from the 12z and then compare those to last nights 0z. I'm just hoping to get more riveting "it's more amped but less amped at the same time" for tonights 0z Euro. It happened at 12z and I wasn't even online.....it's difficult to tell exactly how it will play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patfan1987 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Matt had the dramatic Star Wars theme music playing as he was finishing up. AWESOME! Thats how it started to, he was all amped up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow, maybe a second line of storms into the southern portion of Florida later tonight/into the AM? All sorts of little features going to work down the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It happened at 12z and I wasn't even online.....it's difficult to tell exactly how it will play out. Just poking back....for the record (although it's hard to pin some down) the consensus is there's going to be a split but it won't matter once it gets here....excluding those people where it did go from 1.5 to .75 or 1 to .5. Bouchard was all over the split, I posted his exact words elsewhere....so you may not agree with it but others do. Whether it comes to pass or not no need to be insulting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just poking back....for the record (although it's hard to pin some down) the consensus is there's going to be a split but it won't matter once it gets here....excluding those people where it did go from 1.5 to .75 or 1 to .5. Bouchard was all over the split, I posted his exact words elsewhere....so you may not agree with it but others do. Whether it comes to pass or not no need to be insulting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm pretty sure as those features rotate up...the one off SE GA now and the one that will ride up over the same area later.....that's why we have the kidney bean low structure later in every single model. That's why I'm saying I don't think we really learn much early tonight, even the Euro has it. What will be interesting is how the moisture plays out. Blizz's favorite model opens up a big hole as both of those features with the dots shift NE off the carolina coast later tonight. The micro/meso lows right now, one west of central Florida that becomes the base of the bean later east of SC, and the one Nick caught earlier east of NE FL that ends up coming up off the NE part of NC/SE DE. I think most models were making it the dominant low but some of the meso's were giving juju to the trailer west of Florida. That's my take on it, I think that's where the meso confusion comes from and where we get the extension east from....it's that feature west of Florida I think slinging up and around as the low near DE gets hung up. EDIT on the 18z that's almost exactly what it is. The first impulse ends up parked off NC later tonight/DE. Late tonight/Wednesday the meso low west of florida rotates around the entire thing off east of the Gulf Stream...at 12z Wednesday it has it due east of the south carolina border offshore. I think it's that second feature that the meso's were really struggling with (or absolutely nailing...one or the other) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just poking back....for the record (although it's hard to pin some down) the consensus is there's going to be a split but it won't matter once it gets here....excluding those people where it did go from 1.5 to .75 or 1 to .5. Bouchard was all over the split, I posted his exact words elsewhere....so you may not agree with it but others do. Whether it comes to pass or not no need to be insulting. How did I insult you....I said that you lost a bet because you did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone with Stormvista, what time does the 0z Euro initialize? 12:45 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man did Noyes just tear the NAM apart in that video lol..Called it crap and messed in the head..and garbage. He said it is totally unusable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just throwing it out there, ETauntonMA should start a new thread we're jinxed for 0z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man did Noyes just tear the NAM apart in that video lol..Called it crap and messed in the head..and garbage. He said it is totally unusable He is being an honest met....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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