Ka60 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Boyds / Clarksburg.........Moderate snow and some sleet mixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 yeah (better be!) Word. My first waking thought on seeing this snow at my house was perhaps the storm is coming off different as modeled that this bit of precip might be all we see. But glancing at model runs at 6z, sitll showing the low where it is supposed to be for us to get snow for tonight, so I guess that part of the storm is still on track. I guess. Just so odd, how LWX has handled this, that I still don't fully trust the modeling as I keep thinking I am missing something fundamental that will leave it not coming off like the models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Now its back to sleet and some snow here. Seems to change back with the heavier echoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Word. My first waking thought on seeing this snow at my house was perhaps the storm is coming off different as modeled that this bit of precip might be all we see. But glancing at model runs at 6z, sitll showing the low where it is supposed to be for us to get snow for tonight, so I guess that part of the storm is still on track. I guess. Just so odd, how LWX has handled this, that I still don't fully trust the modeling as I keep thinking I am missing something fundamental that will leave it not coming off like the models are showing. actually, NAM had this nailed last night with its 0Z run check out Thundersnow forecast too http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kbwi.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 hey, this is bonus snow in my book with the main show after around 5PM Got to agree. Figured we were good for a little something in the morning from the coastal then a lull for a good chunk of the day. Looking like we may not get that lull now or at least very little of one. Saw a post a little earlier stating that the low was to the west of guidance but haven't checked for myself. If that were the case think we maybe seeing quicker interaction between the upper and the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 actually, NAM had this nailed last night with its 0Z run check out Thundersnow forecast too http://68.226.77.253...FC/NAM_Kbwi.txt Good point. I was never able to fully figure that run out because of the hysterics that Ji was having. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Word. My first waking thought on seeing this snow at my house was perhaps the storm is coming off different as modeled that this bit of precip might be all we see. But glancing at model runs at 6z, sitll showing the low where it is supposed to be for us to get snow for tonight, so I guess that part of the storm is still on track. I guess. Just so odd, how LWX has handled this, that I still don't fully trust the modeling as I keep thinking I am missing something fundamental that will leave it not coming off like the models are showing. LWX is clearly worried about the rain/snow line and basically think it's going to set up 5 miles east of Interstate 95 and then loop around the entire Capitol Beltway. You can clearly see it in there new experimental forecast. Obviously they thought long and hard about it, which is why they waited to issue warnings last night. If they are wrong, they bust hard and we all should hold them accountable. The skeptic in me wonders if they under pressure from Congress not to cause unnecessary delays at DCA by falsely advertising winter storms. I doubt it, but it makes little sense that even western portions of Fairfax or Prince William in Virginia that gain elevation pretty quickly are also suppose to avoid warning-criteria snows. http://www.erh.noaa....wx/winterstorm/ http://forecast.weat...1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowden Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Got to agree. Figured we were good for a little something in the morning from the coastal then a lull for a good chunk of the day. Looking like we may not get that lull now or at least very little of one. Saw a post a little earlier stating that the low was to the west of guidance but haven't checked for myself. If that were the case think we maybe seeing quicker interaction between the upper and the coastal. If the low is west of guidance wouldn't that mean warmer temps as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carmine Wax Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Interesting set up for the road crews I guess....if they spread chemicals and salt now, most of it will be gone by the time the 2nd wave hits. If they do nothing until then, it will pile up even more. Going to be kinda fun to see how they handle it... Still 32.9 in Kensington, snow has changed to sleet and rain... Telecommuting is my friend today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 actually, NAM had this nailed last night with its 0Z run check out Thundersnow forecast too http://68.226.77.253...FC/NAM_Kbwi.txt Would love to hear and see me some thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hokierulz98 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 9z RUC2 looking more like the 6z GFS than the 6Z NAM ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Got to agree. Figured we were good for a little something in the morning from the coastal then a lull for a good chunk of the day. Looking like we may not get that lull now or at least very little of one. Saw a post a little earlier stating that the low was to the west of guidance but haven't checked for myself. If that were the case think we maybe seeing quicker interaction between the upper and the coastal. I thought the coastal would move out and then the upper low would move east and create another low off the delaware coast and move up the coast. Is this not accurrate??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 LWX is clearly worried about the rain/snow line and basically think it's going to set up 5 miles east of Interstate 95 and then loop around the entire Capitol Beltway. You can clearly see it in there new experimental forecast. Obviously they thought long and hard about it, which is why they waited to issue warnings last night. If they are wrong, they bust hard and we all should hold them accountable. http://www.erh.noaa....wx/winterstorm/ http://forecast.weat...1&highlight=off Nice to see I am around the 9 inch line. Of course 5 minutes from now that will be different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 moderate snow and 30 in westminster, 1" and all roads covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdwx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 back to Hvy snow with the big flakes like I saw around 4am 2in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Got to agree. Figured we were good for a little something in the morning from the coastal then a lull for a good chunk of the day. Looking like we may not get that lull now or at least very little of one. Saw a post a little earlier stating that the low was to the west of guidance but haven't checked for myself. If that were the case think we maybe seeing quicker interaction between the upper and the coastal. Check the radar... there's a lull. I was surprised that we got this much snow out of the front end... it's changed over to sleet/freezing rain, but not before about 0.5-1" fell in Gaithersburg. I wasn't expecting more than a dusting before the changeover. The snow in SoPA will definitely help my forecast there! EDIT: Still some snow in the mix here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 latest SREF this is qpf AFTER 850's have crashed (iow all snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Ellinwood, my check of guidance and models overnite tells me that the second part of the storm appears to be on track. Is that what you are seeing? I am not particularly deft at looking at radars and seeing where the lows are and are forming in real time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 LWX is clearly worried about the rain/snow line and basically think it's going to set up 5 miles east of Interstate 95 and then loop around the entire Capitol Beltway. You can clearly see it in there new experimental forecast. Obviously they thought long and hard about it, which is why they waited to issue warnings last night. If they are wrong, they bust hard and we all should hold them accountable. The skeptic in me wonders if they under pressure from Congress not to cause unnecessary delays at DCA by falsely advertising winter storms. I doubt it, but it makes little sense that even western portions of Fairfax or Prince William in Virginia that gain elevation pretty quickly are also suppose to avoid warning-criteria snows. http://www.erh.noaa....wx/winterstorm/ http://forecast.weat...1&highlight=off I just really hope they bust low because I want snow, not because I dislike them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 90% snow just like that after pinging for 30 minutes still some pingers but much more snow mixed in....definitely on that mix line here but thankfully not the rain mix part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If the low is west of guidance wouldn't that mean warmer temps as well? Who the he** knows. Though I would think that if we have quicker interaction it would be a good thing with better dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Moderate rain, with large drops, in Gaithersburg - a good inch plus on the ground. Our street usually is well plowed/treated by the city but it is covered, so not much melted on contact from this first batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I just really hope they bust low because I want snow, not because I dislike them. no, they are the government, they are evil learn to hate them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 pretty good rain been coming down here in arlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Roads are completely untreated in AA County. Saw a couple people spun out in ditches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I just really hope they bust low because I want snow, not because I dislike them. I never said I dislike them. I just don't think they have handled this storm well. I thought they were very good last year. This year, not so much. But maybe they will nail it. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone else getting this from the LWX experimental snow forecast page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Check the radar... there's a lull. I was surprised that we got this much snow out of the front end... it's changed over to sleet/freezing rain, but not before about 0.5-1" fell in Gaithersburg. I wasn't expecting more than a dusting before the changeover. The snow in SoPA will definitely help my forecast there! Not sure about that lull. Been up since 3 and have seen that there the whole time figuring that would swing through at some point. Yet every time I check the radar has back filled to my west. Figure at some point it will get here but don't think it will be as drastic as I was anticipating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone else getting this from the LWX experimental snow forecast page? That literally was not like that 5 minutes ago when I copied the link. But, yes, now, it says same for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone else getting this from the LWX experimental snow forecast page? Didn't I say that 5 minutes from now it would be different. Didn't expect 9 inches to nothing though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.