wood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 thunder in CHO 35.1 rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 lol...lwx wakes up Forget the bus, Randy. This storm requires a bigger vehicle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man that radar is looking sweet. There are going to be more bands than Woodstock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dobie Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HIGH NOON! Just came back from buying a new shovel. Temps are a steady 36 degrees. Light drizzle coming to an end. The National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement (seen in previous posts). A look to the National Doppler shows our storm to the S/W and looking pretty mean. Local live Doppler 9000 even shows a small return as close as S/W Warrenton with the bulk just crossing Rt.81. It's been quite some time since our last event like this one and I have to say the quite before the storm is deafening. I just hope my new shovel gets a good work out!! Keep reporting so we can track this thing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'd like to change my snowfall contest jackpot location please. I had Fauqier (sp?) county, but with this morning's snow, I'd like to move it into Maryland. Going to be somewhere that had a couple-few inches this morning and then gets the superband this evening...and that somewhere is going to be over 1' on the day I expect. somewhere near Phin is going to push 12-14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 WxUSAF, Me too.....Frederick never got into the heavier action this morning. We had just under 2". Maybe a N. Bmore or Mt. Hoffman jackpot zone.....since they already got 3-5". Not to be a complete IMBY weenie, but I think where I am is prime. I had 3" this morning and the NAM and GFS both have me on/just beyond the northern edge of the 1"+ zone. If the deform band sets up close to the Mason-Dixon line like PSUHoffman thinks (and decent chance he's right), somewhere between Frederick and Harford could be it. Either way, I think it's definitely in MD, not VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
permafour Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 thunder in CHO 35.1 rain Very light precip in C'ville proper, right now, but that rain looks like it's on our doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 somewhere near Phin is going to push 12-14" Already 4" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 So we now have a WSW, but NWS didn't change its forecast with its 12pm update. Tonight Snow and rain in the evening...then snow likely after midnight. Snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I know its been stated before a number of times, and I will let the weenie inside of me out............the deform band always seems to set up 20-30 miles further N and W then progged with these storms. I know the Mt hoffman to Frederick to leesburg area was typically 25+ miles N and W of the optimal set-up on the models during all the last years storms.......only to get the brunt of all of them. I am still more than happy with where I am despite the trend on the models to dry it up a bit out here. You guys who got the 3-5 earlier will see your 10 without breaking a sweat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
permafour Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 According to a co-worker's wife, sleet coming down hard in Staunton. So mixed precip in Augusta County? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Already 4" here. Yeah, I think we break 12 inches easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 still 33F and light drizzle. been that way all day. so much for an all snow event out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not to be a complete IMBY weenie, but I think where I am is prime. I had 3" this morning and the NAM and GFS both have me on/just beyond the northern edge of the 1"+ zone. If the deform band sets up close to the Mason-Dixon line like PSUHoffman thinks (and decent chance he's right), somewhere between Frederick and Harford could be it. Either way, I think it's definitely in MD, not VA. Yeah. I think northern MD wins this time. Although we will end with at least 8 inches out here so I am not complaining. We didnt cash in on the first round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yeah, I think we break 12 inches easily. That seems fair especially since you had 4 already. I think there should be a pretty sick band near you. probably near DC too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 check out the lightning(square symbols) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 still 33F and light drizzle. been that way all day. so much for an all snow event out here. Dont stress. It will be all snow very quickly for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 going to buy inner tubes at wal mart. HAPPY SNOWSTORM FELLAS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 did you bother to read the latest mesoscale discussion from HPC? people who are calling a bust when the main storm is still a few hours away should just be suspended. none of this is obs--it's just more endless whining. good grief. Did you mean SPC? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0049.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 SPC has DC and Annapolis on south in their area for general TS. Meso Discussion for western VA, far west MD and eastern WVA here: http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0049.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
permafour Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Rain just switched over to sleet in Charlottesville. It's coming down pretty good, but it looks like we have a short break after this band pulls north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Just got to my cabin, light drizzle and bit of sleet most of the drive. Now moderate snow here and 30 degrees. Measured 1" of what looks like mostly sleet on the ground upon arrival. Marylanders enjoy being the bullseye again.... watched that happen over and over through out my life. Have fun all you fellow snow weenies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Automator Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Sleet mixing into the rain in Downtown CHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 heavy band has sleet here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Jeez Yoda. That map is ridiculous. Basically my house is flattened. This is one of those rare times in life when being deformed rocks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 heavy band has sleet here Sleet in south suburban RIC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1231 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US WILL MOVE UP THE MID ATLANTIC COASTLINE TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY...BUT THE WEATHER MAY BECOME UNSETTLED FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AFFECT THE MID ATLANTIC. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FOR SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion --CSTL LOPRES N OF CAPE HATTERAS ATTM. BACK EDGE OF THE INIT ROUND OF ASSOC PCPN HAS CLRD CWFA. ENUF WARM AIR HAS INTRUDED FOR LOTSA RAPL... EVEN UP TO MD/PA BRDR. METRO BALT RECVD BULK OF SNW ACCUMS UP TO THIS PT...UP TO 3-4 INCHES N OF THE CITY. HWVR...DO NOT XPCT ADDTL ACCUM THRU THE MIDDAY HRS. UPR LOW IN CENTRL VA ATTM. THUNDER HAS BEEN NOTED INVOF LOW CENTER...INDICATING ENERGY INVOLVED. THE UPR LOW WL JUMP TO THE CST BY LT TAFTN AND UNDERGO SGFNT INTENSIFICATION THIS EVNG. THE DYNAMIC COOLING WL SUPPORT MAINLY SNW...EVEN IF SFC CONDS MILD. THEREFORE PCPN SHUD START AS RAIN DC S/E...BUT CHG OVR QUICKLY. XPCT BAND OF HVYR SNWFL...INVOF DEF ZN. THE INTENSITY OF THE UVV INVOLVED /ORIGINATING FM PVA/ COINCIDING W/ PREFERRED SNW GROWTH AREA SUGGESTS THAT ANY PCPN THAT BGNS AS RAFL /WHICH MAY HPPN E OF I-95/ SHUD CHG OVR FAIRLY QUICKLY. XPCTG A BAND OF HVY SNW INVOF DEF AXIS...WHICH WL BE W/IN CWFA LT TAFT- ELY THIS EVNG. 12Z NAM/GFS BOTH SUPPORT AXIS OF HIER QFP IN/JUST W OF I-95 CRRDR. HV MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO QPF/SNW GRIDS...WHICH NECESSITATED SOME UPGRADES TO WSW. NOW HV WRNGS UP FOR ENTIRE CWFA XCPT FOR SRN MD/KG CNTY. HV 5-10 INCHES W/IN THAT AXIS...LESS TO THE W. FTR...THERE ARE MDL SOLNS THAT INDICATE MORE SNW THAN FCST. HWVR...CONSIDERING CNVCTV PARAMETERIZATION ISSUES...SOME OF THAT OUTPUT WAS DISCOUNTED. BASED ON SPOTTER REPORTS...HV ALSO ADDED PL AT ONSET FOR CENTRL VA...AND THUNDER INVOF UPR LOW. DONT THINK EITHER OF THOSE EVENTS WL LAST TOO LONG. XPCTG A RATHER QUICK END TO SNW TNGT ONCE COLD CONVEYOR SHIFTS NEWD. THAT SHUD BE A CPL HRS BEFORE MIDNGT TO THE SW...AND A CPL HRS LATER FOR NE MD. THIS WL ALSO BE A FVRBL SETUP FOR UPSLP SHSN. DO NOT HV MUCH FOR ACCUMS ATTM. WL ADDRESS THAT TAFTN.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Sleet in south suburban RIC? 15 miles west heavy cell popped up some sleet mixed in a big hand is to my south west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The radar banding over near southern Virigina is really impressive.. Can't wait to see the obs in this thread.. What an event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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