Quasievil Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Enjoy reading Justin too although I don't get to see him on TV (I think he's on in the morning). His FB has him calling for 4-8. Good and reasonable call I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Haven't seen Justin post on the boards lately, he always has been able to break things down easily for anyone to understand. I STILL can't understand Tom T.'s call of 1-3" and downplaying the storm. Unless they are seeing something, and know something that "we" don't of course. I think it's because regardless of the models, Tasselmyer doesn't believe we'll be getting a big snowstorm without a strong arctic high. Like many have said, we need to thread the needle, and Tasselmyer may just think that models are overdoing the cold by a few degrees and the temps will struggle to crash. http://www.wbaltv.co...793/detail.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think it's because regardless of the models, Tasselmyer doesn't believe we'll be getting a big snowstorm without a strong arctic high. Like many have said, we need to thread the needle, and Tasselmyer may just think that models are overdoing the cold by a few degrees and the temps will struggle to crash. http://www.wbaltv.co...793/detail.html I don't think he'll buy in until 0Z comes in. Hard to disagree with it...still very thread the needle regardless of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I don't think he'll buy in until 0Z comes in. Hard to disagree with it...still very thread the needle regardless of the models. Man that futurecast doesn't look like any of the models. It doesn't have the precip changing to all snow til the backedge is like right near by. Seems wise to roll with NWS at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Regarding Tom Tasselmyer, I'm also a bit surprised by his forecast. I know that he is one TV met who actually uses the Euro in his forecasting process. He must have his reasons for low-balling the accumulations. We'll see if he ups the ante at 11 PM. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think it's because regardless of the models, Tasselmyer doesn't believe we'll be getting a big snowstorm without a strong arctic high. Like many have said, we need to thread the needle, and Tasselmyer may just think that models are overdoing the cold by a few degrees and the temps will struggle to crash. http://www.wbaltv.co...793/detail.html I thought I had seen that map wrong and corrected a previous post, but what I initially wrote was right. Really surprising that almost all of the northern tier of MD from Frederick east is 1 to 3. And even if that verifies, it's so against what nws is saying that I think he should have addressed more clearly why he is going so much lower.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Regarding Tom Tasselmyer, I'm also a bit surprised by his forecast. I know that he is one TV met who actually uses the Euro in his forecasting process. He must have his reasons for low-balling the accumulations. We'll see if he ups the ante at 11 PM. MDstorm they run an inhouse model that , obviously, does not show a heavy snow fall for cent md. They do not , on the radio, advertise a winter storm watch. He may be caught by surprise if we get a lot more. As said above, he advertises a big artic high that keeps the cold air in and without that , I guess, he doesn't believe were going to see a lot of snow. Time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The problem is that these "mets" keep using a futurecast......that has absolutely no model support. If I only get 1-3" in Frederick I will never track another winter storm the rest of my life............ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Bump to remind people to bring their TV mets complaining in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Fox5 is going to show numbers in a couple minutes. They looked concerned and think its going to be bigger than first thought. Had central MD in the "heavy snow" area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Tom T has gone up to 3"-6" for the DC/BAL area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Tom T has gone up to 3"-6" for the DC/BAL area .......and kept carrol and frederick counties in 1-3"........makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 well Tom upped his totals for the city down to DC to 3-6 inches but he has areas out here in Westminster towards Frederick with a lower 1-3. I just don't get him with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Tom T has gone up to 3"-6" for the DC/BAL area That's a little better, but some models suggest twice as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The "Futurecast" didn't look much different from 5 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowden Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Doug Hill going with 6+ with locations N and W seeing more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 WBAL said 3-6"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowden Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Topper 4-8"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I never watch tv mets but because of all the talk today about our local guys I tuned in to Fox 45, WBAL and WJZ. LOL Fox 45 called 4-8. TT called for 3-6 and less NW which was really weird. Bob Turk stole the show with 3-6" nw of DC and Balt and 1-3 for the cities south east lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 JMHO -- NWS/TV METS rather be caught with their drawers down on this one... HMmmm boxers, briefs, or tightie whities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 I just found on Washington's TBD, which I think is affiliated with ABC 7. Talk about hedging their bets. I get their overall point, but you can't make this stuff up. You are forecasting six or more, but don't know how much of it will stick? "6:10: Meteorologist Steve Rudin makes an important point aboutinterpreting the accumulation map. While we're calling for a band of 6 inchesor more of snow, how much of that you will actually see on yoursidewalks Thursday morning could be much less. The temperatures tomorrowwill be in the 40s and it's unknown exactly how much of the snow will stick." http://www.tbd.com/blogs/weather/2011/01/several-inches-of-snow-looks-likely-as-storm-hits-d-c-wednesday-7662.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I just found on Washington's TBD, which I think is affiliated with ABC 7. Talk about hedging their bets. I get their overall point, but you can't make this stuff up. You are forecasting six or more, but don't know how much of it will stick? "6:10: Meteorologist Steve Rudin makes an important point aboutinterpreting the accumulation map. While we're calling for a band of 6 inchesor more of snow, how much of that you will actually see on yoursidewalks Thursday morning could be much less. The temperatures tomorrowwill be in the 40s and it's unknown exactly how much of the snow will stick." http://www.tbd.com/b...esday-7662.html I wonder how he thinks temperatures will climb into the 40s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kilton Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The "Futurecast" didn't look much different from 5 PM It does now. Fox5 finally calling for 3-6 in DC. Futurecast is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Had to lol...Channel 11 here in Baltimore sent reporter Jennifer Franciotti out to do the "hey it's snowing" reporting and she complained over not having the right boots and having had to borrow a hat because she wasn't expecting snow this morning. Take that up with Tasselmeyer, Franciotti. As for the locals, Justin Berk on ABC2 going 5-8 in the city, less SE and more NW while Tony Pann on 11 still in catch-up mode with a wtf map showing 3-6 in Baltimore city with LESS north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Had to lol...Channel 11 here in Baltimore sent reporter Jennifer Franciotti out to do the "hey it's snowing" reporting and she complained over not having the right boots and having had to borrow a hat because she wasn't expecting snow this morning. Take that up with Tasselmeyer, Franciotti. As for the locals, Justin Berk on ABC2 going 5-8 in the city, less SE and more NW while Tony Pann on 11 still in catch-up mode with a wtf map showing 3-6 in Baltimore city with LESS north and west. That's because Justin reads the forums and knows how to do business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Had to lol...Channel 11 here in Baltimore sent reporter Jennifer Franciotti out to do the "hey it's snowing" reporting and she complained over not having the right boots and having had to borrow a hat because she wasn't expecting snow this morning. Take that up with Tasselmeyer, Franciotti. As for the locals, Justin Berk on ABC2 going 5-8 in the city, less SE and more NW while Tony Pann on 11 still in catch-up mode with a wtf map showing 3-6 in Baltimore city with LESS north and west. Is the best in Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That's because Justin reads the forums and knows how to do business Yeah, was happy to see him appear to have the best handle on this. Good call in the face of what LWX and others were saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The DC mets and LWX underplaying this is going go cause some horrible problems today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Um no. NO you wouldn't. I know better. Why would I give a crap what local TV weather people say? I NEVER have since I've been on these forums. I agree with you, however: Local Municipalities 'must' listen to the TV mets/ LWX because the State Highway Admin did not pre-treat the roads. Now there are accidents everywhere. It becomes more of a safety issue when they ignore the information at hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 OT but I'll never buy a car from Koons for as long as I live. That's the most annoying commercial ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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