Rib Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 NYC CWA obs and discussion here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherdude888 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not to be off topic, but special advisory for me says 1-3 for the clipper today? Thought this was a 0 accumulation event.....odd -Matthew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not to be off topic, but special advisory for me says 1-3 for the clipper today? Thought this was a 0 accumulation event.....odd -Matthew LOCATION? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LOCATION? NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 FWIW...qpf on the 12z nam did shift a bit north. Here in the Lower Hudson Valley, 6z had us with < .10....12z has us between .25 and .50...probably closer to .50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Joe B snippet: Says US models still too far east The big cities are in for a major snow event and I will be upping amounts there, not because of a shift eastward but because snow rates near and to around 100 miles west of the changeover line will be intense.. 2-3 inches/hr for 3-5 hours in some cases. The axis of heaviest snow is still as outlined, but again, I will be upping amounts from DC to NYC with the final idea this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherdude888 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LOCATION? Staten Island (but probably all of KNYC) -Matthew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Joe B snippet: Says US models still too far east The big cities are in for a major snow event and I will be upping amounts there, not because of a shift eastward but because snow rates near and to around 100 miles west of the changeover line will be intense.. 2-3 inches/hr for 3-5 hours in some cases. The axis of heaviest snow is still as outlined, but again, I will be upping amounts from DC to NYC with the final idea this afternoon. Where does he have the axis of heaviest snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 There is an obs thread for today's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What happened to the snow bomb thread? Why can't we post in it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 12Z RGEM shifted northwest from 06Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What happened to the snow bomb thread? Why can't we post in it? i just got locked this is the new thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 He's been saying the big cities would change to rain and that this was more of an interior storm. I think he is going with the idea of a backend thumping to get the big cities their snows but in a short amount of time Where does he have the axis of heaviest snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7below Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I am still extremely novice about all of this but a quick thanks for the constant updates on this board by everyone in the know. I am in Long Beach, NY and from what i've read so far, it seems that mixing was a big issue. does the trend seem to be changing toward a more wet snow event and what times wednesday is the majority of this going to occur. Thanks in advance and I won't cloud up the boards with my less than amateur responses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 the candaian rgem has looks south and east of the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGEM metfan - cant see on mobile device can you summarize for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherdude888 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 There is an obs thread for today's storm. Noted, my appologies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 metfan - cant see on mobile device can you summarize for our area. Around 1" QPF total for NYC. Rough guess based on the RGEM maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 the candaian rgem has looks south and east of the nam. Also looks NW of it's 6z run. GFS soon that will, obviously, tell us more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Around 1" QPF total for NYC. Rough guess based on the RGEM maps... its about 10-15 mm total for nyc, that is not 1 inch liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGM Looks like the NAM with the cutoff and amounts 0.60 - 1.00 south of i-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Around 1" QPF total for NYC. Rough guess based on the RGEM maps... You sure? Im only seeing 10mm-15mm for NYC. And 5-10mm SWCT. DC gets about 1" White shade is 10-20mm and NYC is barely inside that. RGEM appears a little less precip then NAM. About .50"-.60" for NYC with very sharp cuttoff just north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 precip maps clearly show RGEM is not bringing any significant deform band into the nyc metro. Best stuff is way to the S and W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 its about 10-15 mm total for nyc, that is not 1 inch liquid. I think it is closer to 20mm total than it is 10 or 15. So call it .75". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think it is closer to 20mm total than it is 10 or 15. So call it .75". I really dont see that but color will confirm either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 mt holly SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion --***WATCH EXPANSION INTO NE MD...N DEL AND MUCH OF NJ EXCEPT FAR SOUTH PROBABLE AT 1115 AM PENDING NEW GFS*** PLEASE GIVE US TIME ON THIS. WE ALL SAW THE NEW 12Z NAM WITH HUGE SNOWGROWTH AND QPF AMTS UNDER THE DEFORMATION ZONE NW OF THE NAMS MORE DEFINED 500MB STRUCTURE. COULD BE THUNDER SNOW WED EVE. COLLAB WITH HPC AT 8AM REGARDING MY UNCERTAINTY FURTHER NW IN NE PA AND NW NJ BUT AWAITING ALL THE MODELS BEFORE ANY POSSIBLE TRIM THERE. FOCUS "MAY" BE SHIFTING SEWD 30 MILES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I really dont see that but color will confirm either way. NYC is in the range between 10 and 25mm on the 48 hour panel. Closer to the 10 side, but it's not unreasonable to think the total ends up nearer 20 when you figure in all the panels, and maybe a mm or two after 48 as the storm tapers off. The 1" estimate was a ****ty one, I'll say that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 mt holly SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion --***WATCH EXPANSION INTO NE MD...N DEL AND MUCH OF NJ EXCEPT FAR SOUTH PROBABLE AT 1115 AM PENDING NEW GFS*** PLEASE GIVE US TIME ON THIS. WE ALL SAW THE NEW 12Z NAM WITH HUGE SNOWGROWTH AND QPF AMTS UNDER THE DEFORMATION ZONE NW OF THE NAMS MORE DEFINED 500MB STRUCTURE. COULD BE THUNDER SNOW WED EVE. COLLAB WITH HPC AT 8AM REGARDING MY UNCERTAINTY FURTHER NW IN NE PA AND NW NJ BUT AWAITING ALL THE MODELS BEFORE ANY POSSIBLE TRIM THERE. FOCUS "MAY" BE SHIFTING SEWD 30 MILES. yeah, RGEM confirms that, and SREFS do as well. That being said, the "infamous" NW trend inside 24 hours still looms and we are still aways out. Convectiion, latent heat release could be a huge factor here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Where are the NAM model discussions? Who's looking at the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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