bubba hotep Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 From 42 to 40 in the last hour here and about 2 hours drive to our NW Bowie, Tx is reporting 32 Thunderstorm and snow. Happy Thanksgiving All! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 25, 2010 Author Share Posted November 25, 2010 Front through Waco at 9:30 AM with a 19 degree drop in 31 minutes. Not too shappy of a blue norther! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 25, 2010 Author Share Posted November 25, 2010 Got to love a TX Blue Norther... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 942 AM CST THU NOV 25 2010 .DISCUSSION... CF IS NEARING WACO THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NW EDGE OF THE CWA AROUND 1 PM. IT SHOULD REACH THE HOUSTON AREA IN THE 5-6 PM TIME FRAME...THEN OFF THE UPPER COAST 7-8 PM. MADE SOME SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST. NUDGED FROPA UP JUST A LITTLE AND LOWERED POPS A LITTLE ACROSS EXT E ZONES THIS AFT. EXPECT TO SEE ABOUT A 35 DEGREE TEMP DROP BEHIND THE FRONT WITHIN A COUPLE OF HOURS OF ITS PASSAGE. WILL LIKELY BE ISSUING A WIND ADVISORY LATER TODAY FOR THE COAST AND POSSIBLY THE IST INLAND TIER OF COUNTIES FOR TONIGHT`S STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Front through Waco at 9:30 AM with a 19 degree drop in 31 minutes. Not too shappy of a blue norther! Wow, still 73 degrees here at 10:40AM, just 50 or so miles due E of Waco... and AS I AM TYPING THIS, the temp just dropped 4 degrees in 60 SECONDS as the wind whipped around from the N at 25 MPH! I LOVE living on the open prairie WOOOOooo... All the animals have hay and warm, dry bedding; we have a roof over our own heads, and the stuffing's in the oven. Happy Thanksgiving everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somethingfunny Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Gainesville, Texas (33.6°N/97.1°W); Updated: 11:24 AM CST (November 25, 2010); Conditions: Light Snow; Temperature: 34°F (1°C); Windchill: 23°F (-5°C); High/Low: 45/25°F (7/-3°C); UV: 1/16; Humidity: 87%; Dew Point: 30°F (-1°C); Pressure: 29.98 in/1015 hPa; Wind: North at 18 MPH (30 KPH) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flexo Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Waco went from 74 to 50 in one hour after fropa. Should be some wild swings through Houston this evening... Dallas is in the upper 30s and it's in the lower 80s here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flexo Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 nice: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 25, 2010 Author Share Posted November 25, 2010 The front is through Georgetown and Hearne now, heading toward Austin and College Station. And I'm stuffed after a great Thanksgiving meal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 25, 2010 Author Share Posted November 25, 2010 FROPA in College Station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 FROPA in College Station. 56/48 with a gusty NW wind in CLL! i've got to imagine that feels great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flexo Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 56/48 with a gusty NW wind in CLL! i've got to imagine that feels great. 80 to 56 in one hour noice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 26, 2010 Author Share Posted November 26, 2010 McAllen and Galveston set record highs today. Nice 18 degree drop here in half an hour behind the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted November 26, 2010 Share Posted November 26, 2010 CLL down to 45F and continuing to fall.. hgx says 34F tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ticka1 Posted November 26, 2010 Share Posted November 26, 2010 Front has passed through Baytown area - its 56 degrees - dropped from 74 degrees right before the front came through. Look forward to cold temps here the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somethingfunny Posted November 26, 2010 Share Posted November 26, 2010 Just remember when you're enjoying all that cold air, that I used it first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 26, 2010 Author Share Posted November 26, 2010 Brrr. Was awaken to a moderate rain and very breezy N winds pelting my window this morning. Temps is at 40 now with light rain. What a change since this time yesterday when shorts and t shirts were in order. Oh and Gig em Aggies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 26, 2010 Author Share Posted November 26, 2010 Well, the 12Z GFS continues to suggest a mighty chilly and even wintry pattern for parts of TX in early December... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 26, 2010 Author Share Posted November 26, 2010 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 358 PM CST FRI NOV 26 2010 ...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS... .TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE LOW 30S AND POSSIBLY BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. A DRY AND COLD AIRMASS ALONG WITH CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO FREEZING OR JUST BELOW FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY MORNING. TXZ163-164-176>179-195>198-210>212-226-235-270600- /O.NEW.KHGX.FZ.W.0002.101127T0600Z-101127T1400Z/ AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-COLORADO-GRIMES-HOUSTON-JACKSON-MADISON- POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE... BRYAN...CALDWELL...COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS... CORRIGAN...CROCKETT...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...GROVETON... HEMPSTEAD...HUNTSVILLE...LAKE SOMERVILLE...LIVINGSTON... MADISONVILLE...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW... SEALY...SHEPHERD...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WHARTON 358 PM CST FRI NOV 26 2010 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST SATURDAY. A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FOR AREAS LOCATIONS GENERALLY NORTH AND WEST OF A LAKE LIVINGSTON TO PRAIRIE VIEW AND EDNA LINE. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING OVER THE REGION HAS HELPED TO CLEAR SKIES AND LOWER WINDS. THESE FACTORS COMBINED WITH THE VERY DRY AIRMASS SHOULD ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO FREEZING OR JUST BELOW FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO COVER TENDER PLANTS AND VEGETATION AS WELL AS PROTECT EXPOSED OUTDOOR PIPES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 27, 2010 Author Share Posted November 27, 2010 A bit early in the season for our part of the State... URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 828 PM CST FRI NOV 26 2010 ...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS... .OVERNIGHT INTERIOR TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS A LARGE MAJORITY OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. REGIONS THAT WILL WILL NOT DROP TO...OR BELOW...FREEZING WILL BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COASTLINE OR ALONG LOCAL BAY SHORES. A DRY AND COLD AIR MASS...ALONG WITH NEAR CALM WIND AND CLEAR SKIES... WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO...OR JUST BELOW...FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TXZ199-200-213-227-236-237-271030- /O.EXA.KHGX.FZ.W.0002.101127T0600Z-101127T1400Z/ BRAZORIA-FORT BEND-HARRIS-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANGLETON...BAY CITY... CLEVELAND...CONROE...DAYTON...FREEPORT...HOUSTON...HUMBLE... KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LIBERTY...MISSOURI CITY...PALACIOS... PASADENA...PEARLAND...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...SUGAR LAND... THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...WILLIS 828 PM CST FRI NOV 26 2010 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST SATURDAY... A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT GALVESTON AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING OVER THE REGION HAS HELPED TO CLEAR SKIES AND LOWER WINDS. THESE FACTORS...COMBINED WITH THE VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO COVER TENDER VEGETATION AND BRING IN SMALL OUTDOOR ANIMALS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 27, 2010 Author Share Posted November 27, 2010 About 7 hours at or below freezing in NW Harris County with a light frost. IAH did make it to freezing, officialy... Conditions at Nov 27, 2010 - 05:53 AM CSTNov 27, 2010 2010.11.27 1153 UTC Wind Calm Visibility 10 mile(s) Sky conditions clear Temperature 32.0 F (0.0 C) Dew Point 28.9 F (-1.7 C) Relative Humidity 88% Pressure (altimeter) 30.28 in. Hg (1025 hPa) Pressure tendency 0.01 inches (0.2 hPa) higher than three hours ago ob KIAH 271153Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 00/M02 A3028 RMK AO2 SLP253 70016 T00001017 10039 20000 53002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted November 27, 2010 Share Posted November 27, 2010 GFS and Euro are at odds right now in the mid/long range. Ridging over MX in the GFS deflect the core of the cold to the east, leaving near average temperatures to slightly below after day 8...this is after the well below normal temps shown yesterday morning and a couple days before. The Euro still shows some big kahuna cold coming down at day 10+. Placement of the Sern ridge (over MX or near FL) will make the difference here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morgan Palmer Posted November 27, 2010 Share Posted November 27, 2010 Interesting radiational cooling event in some Hill Country sites. 18F at Junction and Sonora, 19 at BWD, yet 27 at Brady, and 30 in Comanche. No colder than 30 at Lake Cisco in Eastland County where I find myself this morning. The thinking from the SJT office was right on from last night with coldest temps in nern Hill Country and parts of the so-called "heartland". just joined this board. Good to see some TX people here. mp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 27, 2010 Share Posted November 27, 2010 Interesting radiational cooling event in some Hill Country sites. 18F at Junction and Sonora, 19 at BWD, yet 27 at Brady, and 30 in Comanche. No colder than 30 at Lake Cisco in Eastland County where I find myself this morning. The thinking from the SJT office was right on from last night with coldest temps in nern Hill Country and parts of the so-called "heartland". just joined this board. Good to see some TX people here. mp welcome to the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 27, 2010 Author Share Posted November 27, 2010 GFS and Euro are at odds right now in the mid/long range. Ridging over MX in the GFS deflect the core of the cold to the east, leaving near average temperatures to slightly below after day 8...this is after the well below normal temps shown yesterday morning and a couple days before. The Euro still shows some big kahuna cold coming down at day 10+. Placement of the Sern ridge (over MX or near FL) will make the difference here. Edited the Title just for you, Jorge... Interesting radiational cooling event in some Hill Country sites. 18F at Junction and Sonora, 19 at BWD, yet 27 at Brady, and 30 in Comanche. No colder than 30 at Lake Cisco in Eastland County where I find myself this morning. The thinking from the SJT office was right on from last night with coldest temps in nern Hill Country and parts of the so-called "heartland". just joined this board. Good to see some TX people here. mp Welcome! Hopefully we will see some more Red Tags from our area join us in the not too distant future. We look forward to your input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted November 27, 2010 Share Posted November 27, 2010 Edited the Title just for you, Jorge... Nice Outlooks for winter in the area were grim since this ENSO event took the left turn and plunged during the summer. Probably the only thing that can save us southerners (technically I'm a northerner) is high latitude blocking, but even with that, if an eastern and western trough become the dominant pattern (ridge in the central portion of the CONUS), we are screwed. It will be worse if there's no blocking up there...torch city. Last Niña wasn't pretty here, with new Dec and Feb high temp records (96F Dec 7th 2007 and 100F Feb 5th 2008). Below normal temps during mod/strong Niñas in the winter are almost non existent here...and the STJ is dried up, to boot. But the greatest snow storm here was during the decline of a sizeable Niña in Feb 1894, so there's always hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 27, 2010 Author Share Posted November 27, 2010 The 12Z Euro continues the pattern suggested overnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morgan Palmer Posted November 27, 2010 Share Posted November 27, 2010 Thanks. I live in Florida now but am from Abilene, having gone to journalism school at UT Austin (met school Mississippi St.) and worked 8 years at KLTV in Tyler. MP Edited the Title just for you, Jorge... Welcome! Hopefully we will see some more Red Tags from our area join us in the not too distant future. We look forward to your input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 27, 2010 Author Share Posted November 27, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flexo Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 The 0z Euro, CMC, and GFS all show the potential for an early season snowstorm for parts of Texas around the 7th... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 The Euro ensemble means certainly are raising an eyebrow... Norman, OK Discussion... THE COLD AIR LATER IN THE WEEK WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED THOUGH... AS THERE ARE SIGNS OF A PATTERN CHANGE THAT COULD BRING WINTER PRECIP TO THE AREA EARLY THE FOLLOWING WEEK. BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF AMPLIFY AN UPPER RIDGE OVER FAR WESTERN N AMERICA AND ESTABLISH A LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND. BOTH ALSO HAVE SOME SORT OF SYSTEM WORKING THROUGH THE SW STATES INTO THE S PLAINS AROUND NEXT MON-TUE... BY WHICH TIME THEY BOTH ALSO HAVE A SIZEABLE CANADIAN SFC HIGH SUPPLYING COLD AIR TO MUCH OF THE CONUS E OF THE ROCKIES. BOTH MODELS SHOW ACCUMULATING SNOW INTO OK MON-TUE - 4-9 INCHES OF IT IN THE CASE OF THE ECMWF. THERE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERAL SIGNIFICANT SWINGS IN THE MODELS BETWEEN NOW AND THEN... SO IT IS WAY WAY TOO EARLY TO EVEN TRY TO NAIL DOWN ANY OF THIS. BUT IT WILL BE WORTH WATCHING IN LATER MODEL RUNS AS WE ARE ABOUT DUE FOR SOME SORT OF WINTER WEATHER. Dallas/Ft Worth... BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR A PERIOD OF COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A BLOCKING HIGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF GREENLAND AND LONGWAVE TROUGHS SHOULD BECOME STATIONARY ROUGHLY ALONG/OFF EACH COAST OF NORTH AMERICA. THIS SHOULD CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR A SURFACE HIGH ACROSS CANADA AND THE US TO GROW IN SIZE/STRENGTH EARLY NEXT WEEK AND SPRAWL SOUTHWARD INTO THE US. WHILE THIS PATTERN IS NOT LIKELY TO PRODUCE ANY BITTER OR RECORD COLD HERE...IT IS FAVORABLE FOR A QUIET AND GRADUAL INFILTRATION OF POLAR AIR FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OVER THE COURSE OF A FEW DAYS. THE ECMWF FORECASTS THIS DECLINE IN TEMPS TO BEGIN WITH A FRONT ON SATURDAY...WHILE THE GFS WAITS UNTIL MONDAY. EVEN THOUGH THE BROADER UPPER LONGWAVE PATTERN REMAINS STATIONARY...MODELS DO SHOW AN ACTIVE WEST-EAST JET ACROSS THE CONUS AND ARE STRUGGLING WITH HOW TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVE ENERGY COMING IN FROM THE PACIFIC. GFS/ECMWF/GEM AND VARIOUS ENSEMBLES ARE DISPLAYING ENORMOUS SPREAD BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THUS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER ANY PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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