bubba hotep Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 You have to like the 12z trends for Tuesday / Wednesday if you live in or north of the DFW area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 The reforecast ensemble products from ESRL suggest Texas is about normal, which is decently mild by later February, by Daytona 500 weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Cloudless sun all day and 55 in Fort Worth now, so 80% of the snow is already gone. Doubt any will be left for the Super Bowl tomorrow and any that falls shouldn't stick around long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 Have fun N TX neighbors... SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 314 PM CST SAT FEB 5 2011 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-060430- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL- NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS- LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 314 PM CST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY...MAINLY IN AREAS ALONG THE RED RIVER. HOWEVER... A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR WINTER WEATHER WITH SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL IMPACTS IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT NEARLY ALL OF NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS...MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES...AND GOOD CHANCES FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON TUESDAY AND MOVE EAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE PRECIPITATION MAY START AS LIQUID RAIN...BUT CHANGEOVER QUICKLY TO FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD TRAVEL IMPACTS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS OR SURROUNDING AREAS ON WEDNESDAY... CHECK THE LATEST FORECASTS BEFORE DEPARTING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Just wait....it will flip the other way and you guys will have the AC on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 FUN! A low of 18 degrees last night - and a high of 62 degrees just 14 hours later! Meanwhile a statement comes out that another Arctic Hammer will come down on us Tuesday! I luv Texas Weather it's never boring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted February 6, 2011 Share Posted February 6, 2011 FUN! A low of 18 degrees last night - and a high of 62 degrees just 14 hours later! Meanwhile a statement comes out that another Arctic Hammer will come down on us Tuesday! I luv Texas Weather it's never boring... I don't know about that, the summers seem pretty boring! Hot and more hot 00z GFS continues to look good for N. Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 6, 2011 Share Posted February 6, 2011 I don't know about that, the summers seem pretty boring! Hot and more hot 00z GFS continues to look good for N. Texas We get the occasional sea breeze storm down here. What year was it. When the Rangers still played in the old park. My Dad's birthday was July 24th, well after strong storm season is over, but we got a strong storm. Ballpark 1989 or 1990. I think they were playing the Yankees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 6, 2011 Author Share Posted February 6, 2011 Oh joy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted February 6, 2011 Share Posted February 6, 2011 Oh joy... I'm feeling less confident about this system but think there is a chance we could see the heaviest qpf shift south over the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 6, 2011 Author Share Posted February 6, 2011 I'm feeling less confident about this system but think there is a chance we could see the heaviest qpf **** south over the next couple of days. I think everyone feels a bit 'snake bit' after such a bust on precip last week all across TX. The only areas that actually verified were S TX. All other areas were a complete bust in p-types. Tensions are running high among the Pros and the NWS, I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted February 6, 2011 Share Posted February 6, 2011 Taking a very brief glance at the 12Z NAM and GFS, it looks like QPF amounts have come down. NAM is only giving about two tenths of an inch (as a general) for North Texas, with the GFS around four tenths. Depending on what that falls as we could still have some significant travel issues. EDIT: Actually, looking at the NAM in further depth, it looks like a complete miss for North Texas. I don't know if I buy that just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted February 6, 2011 Share Posted February 6, 2011 I think everyone feels a bit 'snake bit' after such a bust on precip last week all across TX. The only areas that actually verified were S TX. All other areas were a complete bust in p-types. Tensions are running high among the Pros and the NWS, I suspect. Yeah, the DFW office backed off the very aggressive winter weather tone in their morning discussion and took more of a "wait and see" type tone. Met SnowGoose69 makes a couple of really good post over in the OK/MO/Arky thread discussing why we might see this system shift back south with the heavier qpf. Going back over the last couple of days of GFS runs you can see the heavier qpf shift NW through the metroplex and then the 12z run today seems to stop that trend and start to shift things back south. The 12z NAM goes really dry for the metroplex but it is the NAM past 48 hours and I think it has been worse than normal the past couple of weeks out in that range. Edit: One other note of interest with the 12z GFS is that it wants to drop almost a 0.10" qpf IMBY this evening. Temps look marginal but we might be able to squeeze out a few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 6, 2011 Author Share Posted February 6, 2011 We've neared the end of this chapter for our Inaugural Americanwx TX/MX thread. Continue here... http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/12751-texasmx-obs-and-discussion-thread-part-2/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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