Flexo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 That's an awful, annoying sports radio show. Not sure how you can stand it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 That's an awful, annoying sports radio show. Not sure how you can stand it Years of listening to "the Hardline" on KTCK ruined me for anything other sports show... if it doesn't have a drop, I can't stay focused anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 FYI: More Pacific Winter RECON ahead for Sunday... NOUS42 KNHC 271700 WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 1200 PM EST THU 27 JANUARY 2011 SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JANUARY 2011 WSPOD NUMBER.....10-058 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNASSSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS 2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A. P73/ 43.9N 172.3E(DROP 11)/ 30/1200Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Latest form DFW NWS office. Single digit cold possible in North Texas. 000 FXUS64 KFWD 272121 AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 321 PM CST THU JAN 27 2011 .DISCUSSION... A NICE AND PLEASANT AFTERNOON IS ONGOING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE AND TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 60S. THE WEST SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY TOMORROW AND MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY EVENING AND INTO SATURDAY. HIGHS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE NEAR 70 FOR MANY LOCATIONS. WE HAVENT HAD TEMPERATURES THIS WARM SINCE LATE DECEMBER. BY SATURDAY NIGHT A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WITH MOISTURE IN PLACE...SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES. LOCATIONS IN THIS REGION MAY PICK UP AROUND A HALF OF AN INCH OF RAIN FROM THIS EVENT. BY SUNDAY...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN CANADA...ONCE AGAIN OPENING UP THE DOOR FOR ANOTHER ARCTIC AIRMASS. A PIECE OF COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN POLAR VORTEX IN NE CANADA WILL BREAK OFF AND ENTER THE NORTHERN US BY MONDAY...SENDING A SHALLOW ARCTIC AIRMASS SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYNOPTIC SETUP IS FAVORABLE FOR A VERY COLD AIRMASS TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE GFS IS CURRENTLY THE WARMEST OF THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE...BUT DO NOT PUT MUCH WEIGHT INTO ITS SURFACE TEMPERATURE FORECAST. THIS FAR OUT...MODELS TEND TO HAVE PROBLEMS HANDLING THE SHALLOW DEPTH OF ARCTIC AIRMASSES AND ONE NEEDS TO PAY CLOSER ATTENTION TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERNS AND BASE A TEMPERATURE FORECAST FROM PAST EXPERIENCES. CURRENT 850 TEMPS IN THE SOURCE REGION ARE IN THE NEGATIVE 24C RANGE AND ALL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE 850 TEMPS IN SOUTHERN CANADA NEAR -20C BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES COMPARED TO THE TEMPERATURES FROM THE LAST ARCTIC AIRMASS ARE ACTUALLY COLDER WHEN WE SAW PROLONGED SURFACE TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING IN NORTH TEXAS. AGAIN...THE GFS SEEMS TO BE TOO SLOW AND TOO WARM WITH THE AIRMASS AND WILL STICK CLOSER TO THE COLDER CANADIAN AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS. MEANWHILE...A PIECE OF ENERGY FROM THE NORTHERN PACIFIC IS PROGGED BY ALL MODELS TO ENTER TEXAS SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE MANY UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING HOW THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND WHAT IF ANY WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS IT MAY HAVE. THERE ARE BASICALLY TWO DIFFERENT CAMPS IN THE GUIDANCE WITH HOW THIS MAY PLAY OUT. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE MUCH SLOWER WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH AND PROG A TUESDAY ARRIVAL. THIS ALLOWS AMPLE TIME FOR THE COLD AIR TO BE IN PLACE BEFORE THE LIFT ARRIVES AND BOTH SOLUTIONS WOULD FAVOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT FOR MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS. THE CANADIAN/NOGAPS/UKMET PROG A MUCH STRONGER PIECE OF THE POLAR LOW TO SET UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY MONDAY NIGHT. IF THIS WERE TO OCCUR...OUR PACIFIC PIECE OF ENERGY WOULD QUICKLY BE SWEPT UP AROUND THE BIGGER SYSTEM AND ALL THE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE WOULD BE GONE BEFORE THE COLD AIR ARRIVES. THE PRECIP WOULD REMAIN MOSTLY LIQUID...ENDING BY TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...AFTER THE PRECIP ENDS...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WOULD THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES THURSDAY MORNING IF THIS WERE TO VERIFY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE LATTER GROUP OF MODELS IS NOT USUALLY THE PREFERRED SET WHEN WE MAKE A FORECAST...BUT GIVEN THAT THERE ARE SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES EVEN WITH THE GFS/ECMWF AND HOW SIMILAR THIS GROUP IS...SOME WEIGHT DEFINITELY IS GIVEN TO THIS DATA SET. FOR NOW...WE WILL CONTINUE TO INDICATE IN OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST THE POSSIBILITIES OF WINTER WEATHER ON TUESDAY. REGARDLESS...VERY COLD AIR SEEMS LIKELY NEXT WEEK...BUT THE QUESTION REMAINS...WILL WE SEE PRECIP AFTER THE COLD AIR ARRIVES. IF FROZEN PRECIPITATION WERE TO FALL...WE FEEL THE MOST LIKELY PRECIP TYPE WOULD BE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. GIVEN THE SHALLOW DEPTH OF THE COLD AIR AND THAT THE SOURCE OF LIFT WILL BE AN OPEN ENDED TROUGH...SNOW WILL NOT BE LIKELY INITIALLY. IF PRECIP WERE TO LINGER LONGER THAN EXPECTED...WE COULD SEE A FINAL CHANGEOVER TO SNOW BEFORE EVERYTHING SHUTS OFF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Ugh, it looks like there is no denying the fact that we are going to get some very cold air in here next week (so ready for an extended warm up!). Since we can't deny the cold we have to start pulling for a slower solution that delays the arrival of moisture into north central Texas on Tuesday. It looks like a blend of the EURO and GFS would give us our best shot at a wintry mix. Taken verbatim it looks like the 12z GFS would be too warm but it drops about 0.50" QPF Tuesday afternoon / evening. The GFS looks to be a warm outlier so maybe we will see a cooling trend. Freezing rain / sleet / wet snow anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Latest form DFW NWS office. Single digit cold possible in North Texas. Boo!! When is spring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Maybe some good analogs for the upcoming week would be late January early February 1996, early February 1989, and February 23-25th, 2003? Although the 2003 produced significant winter weather, but temperatures were not as extreme as currently being progged, but 1996 definitely was. The last time DFW hit single digits was February 1996 of 8°F. That was 15 years ago, the longest stretch in our history were temps have not been that cold. On average we should be seeing temps in the single digits one out of every five years based on climatology. Of course, any snowcover next week will only aide in exacerbating the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 HGX this morning...the weekend is looking mighty wet... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 550 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2011 .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERN BRANCH BRINGING CIRRUS TO THE REGION THIS MORNING AND SHOULD MOST OF THE MORNING. A VERY PLEASANT DAY WILL BE ON TAP. UPPER LOW WEST OF BAJA WILL START MOVING EAST AND WILL TAP INTO RATHER RICH GULF MOISTURE SATURDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A RAPID INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE MORNING SATURDAY AND THEN LL MOISTURE RAMPS UP QUICKLY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING QUICKLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WELL FROM WEST TO EAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. SATURDAY NIGHT LOOKING WET AS 1-1.4" PW ARRIVE WITH THE S/W SWEEPING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE...HIGH POPS ARE IN ORDER. MODERATE WAA IN PLACE...INSTABILITY WILL BE SLIM BUT LI OF 0 TO -2 POSSIBLE/CAPE LESS THAN 400 J/KG. THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF ALL DISAGREE ON THE TRACK OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN AMOUNTS...GFS HITS THE NORTHERN CWA HARD AROUND 06Z SUN...ECMWF NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST 06-15Z (AND WITH BETTER INSTABILITY) AND THE NAM CENTRAL 8-18Z. IN THIS FORECAST HAVE FAVORED THE HEAVIER PRECIP OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINS SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF IN THE MORNING AND LIKELY BY 10 AM FOR THE HOUSTON AREA BUT AREAS TO THE EAST MAY STILL HAVE SHRA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY WITH DAYTIME HEATING BUT SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW SHOULD INHIBIT ANY LATE AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT. MONDAY SHOULD BE WARM WITH A WARM FRONT MOVING BACK NORTH INTO THE AREA WITH CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY SOME MORE SHOWERS. AN VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL BE PLUNGING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS AND SHOULD BE NEAR THE RED RIVER AROUND 00Z TUESDAY WITH THE FRONT COMING THROUGH SETX TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. CONFIDENCE DROPS VERY QUICKLY AFTER THE FRONT GOES THROUGH. AT PRESENT AM EXPECTING THE AIRMASS TO DRY OUT BUT WITH CLOUD COVER LINGERING WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY. THE ECMWF IS MUCH COOLER THAN THE GFS. WAS INITIALLY INCLINED TO FOLLOW THE ECMWF BUT WITH THE BIG WAFFLE IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF THE LOW ON TUESDAY HAS LOWERED CONFIDENCE HUGELY. TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AND 30S WILL BE LIKELY BUT WILL WEDNESDAY MORNING OR THURSDAY MORNING BE THE COLDEST--PROBABLY THURSDAY BUT IT COULD END UP BEING FRIDAY IF THE ECMWF IS CORRECT. BROAD UPPER LOW TUESDAY NIGHT OVER COLORADO GETS STRETCHED OUT TO THE EAST AND MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE. A SECOND ISSUE IS HOW FAR SOUTH ANY FROZEN PRECIP WILL GET. PREVIOUS RUNS WERE INDICATING SNOW COULD GET AS FAR SOUTH AS I-10 BUT CURRENT SUITE OF 00Z RUNS KEEPS IT WELL NORTH OF THE REGION. SO FOR NOW WILL NOT MENTION ANY IN THE FORECAST BUT THIS IS MOVING TARGET. STAY TUNED. DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2011 VALID 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... A SPLIT LARGE SCALE UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS ON SATURDAY. WITHIN THE SOUTHERN STREAM...A LOW LATITUDE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR BAJA...IS EXPECTED TO BECOME PROGRESSIVE/ADVANCE EASTWARD OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND REACH CENTRAL TX LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH REACHING THE NORTHERN CA COAST LATE SATURDAY COULD YIELD COME ISOLATED TSTMS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN CA COASTAL AREAS/OFFSHORE WATERS. ...SOUTH-CENTRAL TX SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON/NIGHT... WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO REACH CENTRAL TX LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS WEST TX AS AIRMASS MODIFICATION/MOISTURE RETURN OTHERWISE OCCURS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO/SOUTHEAST TX. WITH THE ARRIVAL OF MORE CONSEQUENTIAL DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT...TSTMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TX AS EARLY AS LATE AFTERNOON...BUT OTHERWISE SHOULD BECOME MORE LIKELY/NUMEROUS SATURDAY NIGHT. WITHIN A DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR NEAR/EAST OF A SHARPENING SURFACE TROUGH/DRY LINE...THE LIKELIHOOD OF SURFACE BASED STRONG/PERHAPS SEVERE TSTMS IS UNCERTAIN...GIVEN THE MODEST DEGREE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION AND POTENTIAL FOR A CAPPING INVERSION IN THE MID LEVELS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME HAIL CANNOT BE COMPLETELY DISCOUNTED AS WELL GIVEN STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...BUT AGAIN THE EXACT DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION IS UNCERTAIN WITHIN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. IN ALL...BECAUSE OF SOME LARGE SCALE UNCERTAINTY AND UNKNOWNS REGARDING THE DEGREE OF MOISTURE RETURN/CAPPING...WILL DEFER TO SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS FOR POTENTIAL INTRODUCTION OF LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES. ..GUYER.. 01/28/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 The cold air mass is on the move this morning. Temps in Nunavut have dropped considerably overnight (now -40+ range) and pressures are rising as well. The Polar Vortex is doing it's job in grabbing that Arctic air and pulling it S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 The cold air mass is on the move this morning. Temps in Nunavut have dropped considerably overnight (now -40+ range) and pressures are rising as well. The Polar Vortex is doing it's job in grabbing that Arctic air and pulling it S. It would be a shame that all the mid level disturbance out west didn't drop a little farther south. And then the CMC and Euro drop another round of mid level disturbance, but a little too late... BTW, just for kicks, but the 0z CMC has me in the -14C 850mb...I think that would break the 1989 and 1983 records at that level (around -12C). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Yep. This is shaping up to be our Boxing Day Storm. As the model world turns. At least the NAM looks a bit suppressed, fwiw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Yep. This is shaping up to be our Boxing Day Storm. As the model world turns. At least the NAM looks a bit suppressed, fwiw... Now, to emulate our friends out east, let's have a look at the Korean, JMA, NOGAPS, FIM and take the best one for our backyards . I like the trend with a stronger high building in Canada. 1050+ entering Montana? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Watch Ji show up now. He's already named this the Hoosier Storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 What Ji show up now. He's already named this the Hoosier Storm. Only if it is to cancel winter and proclaim an early Spring and very warm torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Now, to emulate our friends out east, let's have a look at the Korean, JMA, NOGAPS, FIM and take the best one for our backyards . I like the trend with a stronger high building in Canada. 1050+ entering Montana? When a 130-kt cyclone smashes into Queensland next week, perhaps you might tear yourself from these icep*ssy fantasies and acknowledge it? Or is that asking too much of one of my own chase partners? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 When a 130-kt cyclone smashes into Queensland next week, perhaps you might tear yourself from these icep*ssy fantasies and acknowledge it? Or is that asking too much of one of my own chase partners? Hush. Go play in the snow. Your guilt trips are worthless here in our own little world. Don't you see we are watering this thread getting ready for Tropical Season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I want to take a Jebwalk in the snow, now that I know what a Jebwalk is. Christmas Eve 2004, we were out of milk, it was snowing, the roads were just wet, the snow was not sticking even to lawns, just cars (and my plam fronds), and I walked to the convenience mart, maybe a thirty minute round trip, knowing the milk would be plenty cool on the way home, just to take a walk in Texas snow. It was like a Jebwalk, in its own way. I can multi-task a QLD cyclone and a winter threat, although my gut (and the 12Z GFS) tell me this will just be another cold dreary semi-typical Houston January/Fberuary week coming up, with nothing memorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Hush. Go play in the snow. Your guilt trips are worthless here in our own little world. Don't you see we are watering this thread getting ready for Tropical Season. I have a theory about someone who started reminiscing about the 1978 Mega-Blizzard when he lived on Long Island, someone who protests a little too vigorously that he has no interest in snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 One positive trend from the 12z GFS up this way is that it pushes the heaviest qpf back a few hours. We are now looking at close to 0.50" qpf after 12z Tuesday. It is still too far out to start splitting hairs but any delay in precipitation would give that shallow cold air more time to slide in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Today's 12z runs not looking so good for ice or snow across North Texas with this event. Not sure I agree about holding up this cold air for that long. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out. 12z CMC looks particularly odd. GFS is still way too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Today's 12z runs not looking so good for ice or snow across North Texas with this event. Not sure I agree about holding up this cold air for that long. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out. 12z CMC looks particularly odd. GFS is still way too warm. The 12z guidance trended stronger and farther west with the longwave trough, toward the GFS solution...with the exception of the Ukie which is more progressive with the longwave trough. Because of this, the trough undercuts the artic high, delaying and weakening it a bit, compared to 0z guidance, and sending it farther west, while the S/W that rides the trough and is the source of NE TX precip screams past the region and misses the cold. The extrapolated NAM would probably be towards the less undercutting solutions. I think the GFS is weakening/shearing the first Pacific storm too fast, and the CMC is closing the mid/upper low a bit fast. A compromise between the Euro and GFS is more likely, but that would mean that the chances of wintry weather diminish with the first cold wave, but are more likely with the second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 The 12z guidance trended stronger and farther west with the longwave trough, toward the GFS solution...with the exception of the Ukie which is more progressive with the longwave trough. Because of this, the trough undercuts the artic high, delaying and weakening it a bit, compared to 0z guidance, and sending it farther west, while the S/W that rides the trough and is the source of NE TX precip screams past the region and misses the cold. The extrapolated NAM would probably be towards the less undercutting solutions. I think the GFS is weakening/shearing the first Pacific storm too fast, and the CMC is closing the mid/upper low a bit fast. A compromise between the Euro and GFS is more likely, but that would mean that the chances of wintry weather diminish with the first cold wave, but are more likely with the second wave. Which is exactly what some of the NWS TX offices are mentioning. (Corpus/Dallas) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 18z GFS abandoned the backside dragging energy, as I expected...which means less undercutting, hence a colder solution. A little better for NE TX, but still no snow, other than the panhandle maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 Shall we hug the DGEX... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Shall we hug the DGEX... What does the CRAS show?!? I thought our main issue up here would be the moisture just missing the cold air but the models have trended to somewhat warmer solutions for Monday night into Tuesday and not the other way around. Maybe the Nam and possibly the 18z GFS are the start of a trend? Or maybe we will get a surprise when the recon data is ingested for the 00z runs on Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 And again, as expected, 0z GFS is the coldest run so far (compared to previous GFS runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 0z CMC looks pretty good, I'll wait for the better graphics , but it looks like wintry precip for parts of NE MX and deep S TX with the backside disturbance. Oh, and 1060+mb high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I hate cold unless there is freezing/frozen. I've lost one orange, two lemon, an avocado, and a pygmy date palm already to the brutal Texas weather the past 11 years, my new orange tree has so far survived the freezes. My Washingtonia palms, they fear no cold weather. But my live oak, maybe it senses something, it has less leaf density than I ever remember in January. Leaf density was low after Ike, but I attribute that to amazing adaptation, it lost few branches, it shed leaves easily to lower wind loading in hurricanes. I believe in God, but thank you, Charles Darwin. BTW, haven't bothered for a couple of years, but Jobe tree spikes, went from a 3 inch wide and 7 foot tall sapling to maybe 30 feet tall in a decade... Palms have been growing like weeds as well. GFS Has a very light freeze (after colder mornings) Super Bowl Sunday around the Jerry Dome, I'd like real Winter weather, but I can settle for a freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 0z CMC looks pretty good, I'll wait for the better graphics , but it looks like wintry precip for parts of NE MX and deep S TX with the backside disturbance. Oh, and 1060+mb high Well, not that good...disturbance digs, but stalls. Maybe some freezing drizzle. Potential is there, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 0z Euro similar to CMC, a little less cold, but with disturbance in NW MX...we need it to dig faster and a bit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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