Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ARW says anyone west of the Delaware River get <0.5" of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hard to read GEM plots but looks like roughly 1.5 qpf - higher than US models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Seems to me like it would come right up and along the coastline .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 yeah I posted that, but I don't like the pressure falls as they presently are and was hoping for a coastal forming in eastern SC, not off shore ahh i wouldnt sweat it to much yet, by tomorrow morning we should have a much better grasp on things, sometimes these things have a way of playing themselves out nicely, also the GFS ensembles bring a little hope back to the weary! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 From The Weather Channel: Philadelphia: Precipitation begins: Late Wed AM as light rain before transitioning to mixed precipitation Heaviest snow: Wed evening (including rush) Precipitation ends: Before dawn Thu AM (snow) Winds: 15-25 mph Wed PM with gusts to 30 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ARW says anyone west of the Delaware River get <0.5" of QPF. And NMM says the exact opposite and plasters us. All you can do is laugh at those models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 heres the arw total qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Seems to me like it would come right up and along the coastline .... In a couple hours it will be obvious whats going to happen, but the American models scored first with an offshore coastal pop I just keep hitting refresh on Hatteras current conditions, the source I'm using updates about every 10 minutes or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 And NMM says the exact opposite and plasters us. All you can do is laugh at those models. i think snowgoose stated the nmm is closely related to the nam. Usually what the nam has the nmm has about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NMM much better, but it just looks weird...random streaks of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NMM much better, but it just looks weird...random streaks of precip NMM has a tendency to overdo things a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 where can I see the WRF hi res this early again, I'm in FL and not on my laptop where I have it saved to FAV's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardlover Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Complete rakage. Link to that? I didn't see it updated on NCEP's site; it was an older output. Sorry for the dumb question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Link to that? I didn't see it updated on NCEP's site; it was an older output. Sorry for the dumb question. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevpage=index&MainPage=index&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&page=MODEL+GUIDANCE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 3z hrrr going with 1-2 for first rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HRRR/RR backing off a little in SE PA. Now both showing approx. 1" for round 1 (averaging them out). I figure my binoculars will be more useful than these models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 3z hrrr going with 1-2 for first rd Posted Image backed off significantly from 01z and 02z. Oh well I'm going to bed, let's see what's there in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardlover Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 http://mag.ncep.noaa...=MODEL+GUIDANCE Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 In a couple hours it will be obvious whats going to happen, but the American models scored first with an offshore coastal pop I just keep hitting refresh on Hatteras current conditions, the source I'm using updates about every 10 minutes or so Hatteras and nearby stations have switched from NNE to E over past few hours. Diamond Shoals just offof Hatteras has gone to SSE. Looks like it is going to track close to or west of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hatteras and nearby stations have switched from NNE to E over past few hours. Diamond Shoals just offof Hatteras has gone to SSE. Looks like it is going to track close to or west of Hatteras. Phew that will be one hurdle crossed! RUC is consistent with it going just west of Hatteras also. Those of us along the Reading to Allentown to NW NJ line are nervously watching that NW gradient issue that as been nortrious for us this winter and even last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hatteras winds just switched to E/SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 hrrr composite radar at hr 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone have the UKMET . Wondering if it shifted SE also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Anyone have the UKMET . Wondering if it shifted SE also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 4z RUC is pretty far north and warm... I'll just head to bed and see what's up in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 guys, enjoy the next 7 days we have 4 shots of snow...and here is the hrrr composite radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 heres the 0z jma accum precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 tombo is here I assume he will it just initialized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Is someone going to do the PbP on the euro? yes tombo and i are here...plus earthlight has it...are you cweat from the other board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 heres the 0z jma accum precip that model has not backed down at all for like the last 5 or 6 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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