Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro weenie maps. Thanks that looks like a 12 hour storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro weenie maps. Same as yesterday wrt what the lines mean. Kind of clear little "gap" washing out over the eastern sections. I'm betting if you backed it up 3-6 hours it'd be more clear to our south? messenger that qpf map may be leaving out some qpf that falls before 7pm wednesday....esp in SW areas. Yeah, but no more than .1" per their 1 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 MCV feature off the Florida coast...how much it plays into the split shield remains to be seen. Jacksonville Radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No according to Euro maps its 15 hrs at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Kind of clear little "gap" washing out over the eastern sections. I'm betting if you backed it up 3-6 hours it'd be more clear to our south? Yeah, but no more than .1" per their 1 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 18z gfs bufkit has 40 microbars in the sg zone for eastern LI (OKX) at about 00z thu...that's about as strong i have seen on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 18z gfs bufkit has 40 microbars in the sg zone for eastern LI at about 00z thu...that's about as strong i have seen on the gfs. You mean just for this storm so far or ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Thanks Cpick...was speaking of SNE though...only about .1 that the maps showed anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Thanks that looks like a 12 hour storm LOL at that poster saying it was a 4 hr storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You mean just for this storm so far or ever? Ever. It's hard to see over 30-35 on the gfs bufkit...especially right in the SG zone. I've seen 50-60 on the nam...but no higher than 40 on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The storm will only be 3 hours long but 2-4 feet will come down in that time frame. Watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Ever. It's hard to see over 30 on the gfs bufkit...especially right in the SG zone. I've seen 50-60 on the nam...but no higher than 40 on the gfs. If that came to fruition verbatim..what kind of snowfall rates might that pump out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 MCV feature off the Florida coast...how much it plays into the split shield remains to be seen. Jacksonville Radar Because it's time sensitive I figured I'd capture your catch. Thanks for sharing, that's simply cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If that came to fruition verbatim..what kind of snowfall rates might that pump out? 3-5"/hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No you lose. You're double, I'm triple. It's all relative. You're meat. I'm king. Like I told my bat....."YOU COME THROUGH FOR ME NOW....AND IF YOU DON'T...FUK YA!" Are you really a Doctor? I'm starting to think you might actually be Randy Savage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 3-5"/hr Wow...we had those rates in the Jan 12th storm..though ratios were better How long does Bufkit have that lasting over a period of time down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 So fellow weather enthusiast, you have seen the 5 day, you have seen the ten day, you have seen some 15 days. Weenie me please but heres the gig. I have about 18 inches of snow on the ground,Goofus gives me about 3 QPF from now until the 15 are over, Euro around 1.75 in ten, GGEM around the same, temps fail to go much above freezing, I think I can break my all time personal depth record of 34 inches by my birthday Feb 10th. Shooting for it. hopefully the SWFE the Euro shows is a front end dumper ice machine, that would be the time period I would worry about. Carry on with qpf fetish. Go Ginxy!! I'm hoping you reach la epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Are you really a Doctor? I'm starting to think you might actually be Randy Savage. He reminds me more of Jimmy Superfly Snooka What a great month... better than last Feb Pete? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Are you really a Doctor? I'm starting to think you might actually be Randy Savage. You a bad man...but wxfella loves ya.....love ya big! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow...we had those rates in the Jan 12th storm..though ratios were better How long does Bufkit have that lasting over a period of time down there? It's pretty quick...what would probably end up happening is you get 90% of the qpf in 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No it didn't . It adjusted and made some relatively small changes. No one will likely get 20 but per Euro many get 12+. I'm not convined of that; how many times have we seen s stream impulses trend more robust in the last 24 hrs leading up to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 We'll have a good feel for whether the NAM is really going to succeed in using this MCC leaving Florida to spin up a scene stealing lead low or not by 10 or so tonight. The 18z run - for example - showed the current MCC back over the Penisula, which is becoming a slow bias in the position of that mass of convection - already that throws up red flags about the NAM solution with this - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm not convined of that; how many times have we seen s stream impulses trend more robust in the last 24 hrs leading up to the event. Phase and a capture by upper levels would put this storm in that league. This is not melodramatic, it's last night's EURO solution 48hrs prior to go-time. Still think there's a chance of American models showing this 0Z tonight. We need to watch what happens with that energy off the GA/FL coast as Messenger / Arnold pointing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 We'll have a good feel for whether the NAM is really going to succeed in using this MCC leaving Florida to spin up a scene stealing lead low or not by 10 or so tonight. The 18z run - for example - showed the current MCC back over the Penisula, which is becoming a slow bias in the position of that mass of convection - already that throws up red flags about the NAM solution with this - SPC already has a weak low out there where Nick pointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 JB yells FIYYAAHHH The I-95 cities are looking at a 6-12 inch storm with the storm starting as rain then going to a heavy, thumping snow. Snow amounts over 6 inches should reach back as far west as Beckley to Johnstown to Binghamton, where GFS amounts are much lighter, then northeast to north of Eastport, Maine. The storm will probably have some 18-inch amounts over Pennsylvania west of PHL then in southern New England. Again, my track is west of Hatteras near Wallops, to near Nantucket early Thursday morning then northeast. The GFS is not only too far east, but I feel too weak; the Euro is seeing that, even a tinge farther west than last night. This is the winter that the blind mice find the cheese. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm not convined of that; how many times have we seen s stream impulses trend more robust in the last 24 hrs leading up to the event. I highly doubted we would see anyone with 20 inches, or anything of the HECS class, until about 1AM last night So sure, why not. It may not be probable but door is certainly open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Im riding the euro hard.... it makes for a big storm up here while others give me a couple flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Are you really a Doctor? I'm starting to think you might actually be Randy Savage. No he's not but I bet he slept at a Holiday Inn Express. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No he's not but I bet he slept at a Holiday Inn Express. Original. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No he's not but I bet he slept at a Holiday Inn Express. ophtho... will be good for reading the blockbuster EURO tnite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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