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January 26-27 Snowstorm Disco V


Baroclinic Zone

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I did..Got to add 2.5 inches to them today. End of the driveway is going to be very difficult to throw 12-24 inches onto..My neighbor offered me his 4 foot stilts lol..no lie

You better borrow them, I want to see them by the middle of Feb, take some pics so we can do a time lapse every storm, that would be cool.

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I did..Got to add 2.5 inches to them today. End of the driveway is going to be very difficult to throw 12-24 inches onto..My neighbor offered me his 4 foot stilts lol..no lie

Use the buckets of chipmunk death to carry snow up. Use your kids as free labor.

The cold steppes of Mt Tolland have a harsh taskmaster.

You seriously thinking 3-6 for Sat?

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JB yells FIYYAAHHH

The I-95 cities are looking at a 6-12 inch storm with the storm starting as rain then going to a heavy, thumping snow. Snow amounts over 6 inches should reach back as far west as Beckley to Johnstown to Binghamton, where GFS amounts are much lighter, then northeast to north of Eastport, Maine. The storm will probably have some 18-inch amounts over Pennsylvania west of PHL then in southern New England. Again, my track is west of Hatteras near Wallops, to near Nantucket early Thursday morning then northeast. The GFS is not only too far east, but I feel too weak; the Euro is seeing that, even a tinge farther west than last night.

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"we're going to miss the brunt of the storm., ff it were all one entity we were going to get mashed with snow... but instead we have this separate part that snaps in the middle...." That's bouchard to start the 5pm right now, he's really hitting the break hard. Maybe too hard but we'll see tonight. He seems to think it's already happening.

I think it could snow right through til Friday. Lolli's of 20" easily attainable, especially in CT.

well messenger you were hitting this hard today.

and nobody really wanted to hear it. you were told yesterday that it would be together by the time it gets up here. now your told it doesn't really matter.

but bouchard seems to differ in his opinion.

I guess in the end thou.....the totals were never gonna be 18-24 wide spread which appears to be what we would have got should this entity have come up and consoldiated into one piece....as opposed to half QPF go out under us....and then the second hall with the juicy dynamics with the mid and upper lows go under us and slam us . first part trended crappier ...second part trended much better = the same ?

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well messenger you were hitting this hard today.

and nobody really wanted to hear it. you were told yesterday that it would be together by the time it gets up here. now your told it doesn't really matter.

but bouchard seems to differ in his opinion.

I guess in the end thou.....the totals were never gonna be 18-24 wide spread which appears to be what we would have got should this entity have come up and consoldiated into one piece....as opposed to half QPF go out under us....and then the second hall with the juicy dynamics with the mid and upper lows go under us and slam us . first part trended crappier ...second part trended much better = the same ?

You can't get those amounts unless the storm slows down. Look at the maps scooter posted, they are very good. They show how the precip shield re-energized and consolidates by the time it reaches our latitude, but you won't get 24" amounts unless you get a capture, which is still possible with a more robust 5h low and perfect track.

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You can't get those amounts unless the storm slows down. Look at the maps scooter posted, they are very good. They show how the precip shield re-energized and consolidates by the time it reaches our latitude, but you won't get 24" amounts unless you get a capture, which is still possible with a more robust 5h low and perfect track.

My 12-24 is counting on that happening.l.If it doesn't then it should have been 12-18

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well messenger you were hitting this hard today.

and nobody really wanted to hear it. you were told yesterday that it would be together by the time it gets up here. now your told it doesn't really matter.

but bouchard seems to differ in his opinion.

I guess in the end thou.....the totals were never gonna be 18-24 wide spread which appears to be what we would have got should this entity have come up and consoldiated into one piece....as opposed to half QPF go out under us....and then the second hall with the juicy dynamics with the mid and upper lows go under us and slam us . first part trended crappier ...second part trended much better = the same ?

I think PB hit it a little too hard to be honest. I think there's going to be a dry punch up through/off the coast of NJ and we'll probably see the nose of the heavier/offshore precip stay to our SE on the first pass, but we won't be missing the brunt of the storm. I think that was a slip of the tongue maybe in retrospect but he kept hammering the point each time he was on. He felt the break is already taking place "over atlanta" as precip will split ENE from there.

For most not expecting 20" of snow it doesn't matter. For those on the NW fringe where maybe not much falls or to the SE where it's a little colder to my NW..it does/did.

I don't think this is a bad QPF map for right now, and certainly this is a big step down from last nights on the western fringe.

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You can't get those amounts unless the storm slows down. Look at the maps scooter posted, they are very good. They show how the precip shield re-energized and consolidates by the time it reaches our latitude, but you won't get 24" amounts unless you get a capture, which is still possible with a more robust 5h low and perfect track.

thank you sir.

here's hoping for a capture

if i remember you said we want a 5h a hair more north than models are showing so far for a better shot?

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You can't get those amounts unless the storm slows down. Look at the maps scooter posted, they are very good. They show how the precip shield re-energized and consolidates by the time it reaches our latitude, but you won't get 24" amounts unless you get a capture, which is still possible with a more robust 5h low and perfect track.

This. Still definitely a long shot but a real possibility. 1/12 wasn't forecast to get captured like it did... this event is most likely a nice swath of 9-14 with an outside shot of something historic if everything hits perfectly.

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You can't get those amounts unless the storm slows down. Look at the maps scooter posted, they are very good. They show how the precip shield re-energized and consolidates by the time it reaches our latitude, but you won't get 24" amounts unless you get a capture, which is still possible with a more robust 5h low and perfect track.

according to Scott's map that looks like about a 12 hour storm...maybe longer lighter stuff on each end?

I think that's longer duration than the GFS and NAM.

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