CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 SREF south of the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Dear NAM, Bring a slight amount of dignity back to yourself in the 12Z run please.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow that's a disappointing start to the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 SREFs ticked southeast....doesn't even bring the 0.50" line to mby lol. The Srefs are useless in a changing system all they tell us is what we know which is that there was a shift east overnight. The structure of the 12z nam s/w complex looks much better already Srefs fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow that's a disappointing start to the morning. It is for some for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 well this could be better news fo LI/ s conn with more snow and less sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow that's a disappointing start to the morning. Still a little beyond range imo but not what you want to see if you are N&W of BOS to HFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhj Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 well this could be better news fo LI/ s conn with more snow and less sleet. MUCH better for s.e. ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Still a little beyond range imo but not what you want to see if you are N&W of BOS to HFD. Yeah sometimes the SREFs just mirror the previous trend and the op runs change course. But I would have preferred to see things stay similar to the 3z sref run at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LOL at the folks worried about the sref's. Those things are useless at this time range and are only a refelction of the NAM being so far SE> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow that's a disappointing start to the morning. Less qpf sure, but colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LOL at the folks worried about the sref's. Those things are useless at this time range and are only a refelction of the NAM being so far SE> They nailed boxing day if memory serves me correctly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Less qpf sure, but colder Yeah they're quite a bit drier which probably means there are a lot of members that are misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I would think with the trending this year we will start ticking this thing nw a little later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah they're quite a bit drier which probably means there are a lot of members that are misses. Disaster if this thing misses...please post the members when you get em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LOL at the folks worried about the sref's. Those things are useless at this time range and are only a refelction of the NAM being so far SE> LOL at folks who think a particular model is junk cause it doesn't show much for their backyard.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It's funny how people are just assuming the Euro is completely wrong because the US garbage doesn't agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro says it does not miss, At this point, The american models are going to have to blink....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It's funny how people are just assuming the Euro is completely wrong because the US garbage doesn't agree. Yeah at this point you still have to think a 6-12 kind of hit. But if the 12z NAM and 12z GFS continue an offshore trend then I'm very discouraged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 looks a ton better at 24 hours already. Partial phase starting to occur with the northern stream? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 looks a ton better at 24 hours already. Partial phase starting to occur with the northern stream? I thought it looked better, More consolidated....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah at this point you still have to think a 6-12 kind of hit. But if the 12z NAM and 12z GFS continue an offshore trend then I'm very discouraged. That said if the move sizably NW toward the Euro then I'll be much much more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah at this point you still have to think a 6-12 kind of hit. But if the 12z NAM and 12z GFS continue an offshore trend then I'm very discouraged. I think the NAM and GFS will come substantially towards the Euro for 12z.. If not then yeah we may have to step back just a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 It's funny how people are just assuming the Euro is completely wrong because the US garbage doesn't agree. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think the NAM and GFS will come substantially towards the Euro for 12z.. If not then yeah we may have to step back just a bit I don't know about subatantial, But a jump NW would be a real good indicator of where they are heading...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think the NAM and GFS will come substantially towards the Euro for 12z.. If not then yeah we may have to step back just a bit Certainly possible. I've kept my forecast on the table. A bit worried at what happened overnight but I'm standing by to chuck em if things move in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 NAM already looks a little north of 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 NAM already looks much better than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Certainly possible. I've kept my forecast on the table. A bit worried at what happened overnight but I'm standing by to chuck em if things move in the right direction. I won't be online for the Euro today of all days..Have to bring my daughter on a school trip to the Bushnell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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