OKpowdah Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How does QPF look for SW NH? Based on hr48, looks like I could get into the initial deformation band before it collapse eastward. 4-8"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 looks like somewhere around that...maybe a shade higher 1.3 to 1.4? tkx. I'm going to let this one play out but I feel good about my 6" call for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah, it shifted east a bit with the track… I’d say that’s a pretty significant red flag here - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Can I expect 1" of QPF up on the North Shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How does QPF look for SW NH? Based on hr48, looks like I could get into the initial deformation band before it collapse eastward. 4-8"? .5-.75 in that range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 i guess a rough line of 1 qpf would be a weenie wish. and ditto for 1.25 or 1.50 (if there is much of that?) the euro gonna cave to meso's tonite? i guess that is a thought in the back of everyone's mind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Does it look pretty similar to before? .75" From KHUL down to Jayhawk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How does QPF look for SW NH? Based on hr48, looks like I could get into the initial deformation band before it collapse eastward. 4-8"? 0.50" line is maybe a hair NW of EEN...AFN probably 0.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 So Portland, ME is about about 1 inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 using SV maps roughly.... extreme NW CT gets about 0.6-0.7 extreme SE CT gets say 1.5- 1.6 in between if you divide the remainder of the state in 2 halves going SW-NE western half gets 0.75 - 1.00 eastern half gets 1.00 - 1.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah, it shifted east a bit with the track… I’d say that’s a pretty significant red flag here - Especially if it is overdoing the qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I thought it was more amplified than last run...why the shift east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How does QPF look for SW NH? Based on hr48, looks like I could get into the initial deformation band before it collapse eastward. 4-8"? You look to be around .50" Sam in extreme SW NH.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah, it shifted east a bit with the track… I’d say that’s a pretty significant red flag here - Are you kidding around or serious? The only thing it makes me wonder about out loud....if the GFS AND euro ticked east does that give a nod to the meso models at least enough to leave some doubt until the 0z? From the maps I can see there was a decent continuity break towards the GFS/NAM/RGEM idea of a split in the RH, the Bastardi two parter which is the big red flag for me. If I were Bob I'd feel great, if I was back 5 miles west likewise I'd be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If the Euro ticks east again that's going to start causing problems for some back here. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Versus what last run? nice storm...probably not done shifting east but it won't matter for most. Per the descriptions elsewhere it's gone towards the split system which hurts areas N and NW and also helps with temps down here. Now the ? is with the Euro sliding a little east, how legit is the meso debacle? Both the GFS and Euro nudged east some it would seem. latest run GC in the same regions that now get 0.5-0.75...........was 0.75 - 1.4 or so last night with a stacked gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 So Portland, ME is about about 1 inch? NO, .75"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Clipper incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If the Euro ticks east again that's going to start causing problems for some back here. Blah. Thats what I am afraid of.. excitement cancel.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Well...it appears the eastern NE winter continues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I thought it was more amplified than last run...why the shift east? the N. stream kicker that coastalwx has been eyeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The clipper is going to deliver! Also.........it sucks that this is an overnight event with the best action midnight to 6AM in the middle of a work week........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 NO, .75"... OK so things are reduced a bit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I thought it was more amplified than last run...why the shift east? Northern stream impulse coming from the lakes doesn't quite allow it to wrap in as close once it reaches further N...it tries to kick it E...looking on how it evolves, that's going to be a tedious feature that models will probably struggle with a bit from run to run until its closer in good data region...its in the no mans land of Canada at the moment. It should be pretty well sampled at 00z. Its basically a fight between that and the southern stream. The stronger the southern stream, the more it will try and fight the urge to get booted east...but if that northern stream feature is also becoming more robust then it can offset a stronger trend down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Well...it appears the eastern NE winter continues... I'd say it's still a bit touchy for this one... mentions of a tick east on the Euro have me nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Can anyone with access post qpf amounts for region Tombo-style for 12Z EURO? KBED KBOS KORH KCHH KTAN KPYM KEWB I'm sure all on this thread would appreciate, thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 latest run GC in the same regions that now get 0.5-0.75...........was 0.75 - 1.4 or so last night with a stacked gradient Okay so about a 50% trim. I'm not being a dick when I point out the euro caved towards the other guidance. It's still a great hit, but it was overblown on the big happy storm and came to the splitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'd say it's still a bit touchy for this one... mentions of a tick east on the Euro have me nervous. You'll be just fine in BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Thats what I am afraid of.. excitement cancel.. No reason to be disappointed, outside of a few runs of the Euro I don't think anyone in Ma. along the I-91 corridor should have been expecting more than the potential for a moderate hit which we should/could still get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'd say it's still a bit touchy for this one... mentions of a tick east on the Euro have me nervous. We live as far east as you can get without going to the cape more or less in SNE. The northern extent depends on when it gets kicked. All models have a warning storm except the NAM. 6-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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