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January 26-27 Snowstorm Disco V


Baroclinic Zone

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  On 1/25/2011 at 8:03 PM, CT Blizz said:

The 2 foot plus storm.

Doesn't anyone remember the stellar wite up Will did about that storm? when you had the vort going under SNE in perfect position

Dude...that 2 foot plus storm you praised my call...what are you saying I was incorrect with? I went with I think 13:1 or 14:1 ratios.

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  On 1/25/2011 at 8:08 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

18z NAM is bullish on ....no storm. haha

When it's right it grabs that solution tightly...when it's wrong it holds on to that until the last second. It was mentioned earlier today but one can expect it to shift to game on when the game has already started.

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  On 1/25/2011 at 8:09 PM, CoastalWx said:

Look at what the NAM does from 18z to 21z tomorrow. It decides to divorce the convection and move west near the ULL. LOL, OK.

Yeah it had a convective low like 500 miles E of the main primary low where the upper support is....still the ULL track is much better this run.

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  On 1/25/2011 at 8:05 PM, blizzardgeek said:

There was a discussion last night of the classic biases at 6z and 18z, where 6z is often a whiff and 18z produces the spectacular amped up QPF bomb. I would love to see the latter just to mess with everyone. A 2.5" bullseye over Mt. Tolland is what I am thinking.

I don't know what to make of this 18z run of the NAM thus far...

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  On 1/25/2011 at 8:10 PM, Kbosch said:

When it's right it grabs that solution tightly...when it's wrong it holds on to that until the last second. It was mentioned earlier today but one can expect it to shift to game on when the game has already started.

actually...i hadn't seen; that was a joke. It was just funny in my head to mix match metaphors -

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  On 1/25/2011 at 8:13 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

actually...i hadn't seen; that was a joke. It was just funny in my head to mix match metaphors -

I know, I'm kidding too as I obviously haven't seen it all come in. Just a guess since that usually is the case, but this may be fun after all!

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