EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM P-types Not good. Not good at all. Don't look at those. They are terrible. Plus GGEM is always too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM P-types Not good. Not good at all. those are experimental...from what I can tell looks like mix to start to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Really? Really Really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Air RADE for S.C and SE!!! How much caffine have you already today you're wired up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Don't look at those. They are terrible. Plus GGEM is always too warm. those are experimental...from what I can tell looks like mix to start to snow. More commenting on the total lack of precip NW of I81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How much caffine have you already today you're wired up! I don't drink caffeine. Got my cranberry juice and I am ready to go! Just wait to you see my video later. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 those are experimental...from what I can tell looks like mix to start to snow. You get like 20MM + lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawxworld Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Update JB has 6-12" from DC to PHL 15" in South central and SE PA. That's all for now. where does he say this? Just read the artice and watched the video. He mentions just west of the big cities but didn't say how far west on the video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 where does he say this? Just read the artice and watched the video. He mentions just west of the big cities but didn't say how far west on the video. on his video he draws where the 15" is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LOL even the long range of the short range mesoscale models, which are always over amplified, doesn't give those NW of I81 a decent hit. I95 snow magnet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LOL even the long range of the short range mesoscale models, which are always over amplified, doesn't give those NW of I81 a decent hit. I95 snow magnet Where do you get them so quick? Only out to hr9 on NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Where do you get them so quick? Only out to hr9 on NCEP. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=index&model=HRW-ARW-EUS&area=&areaDesc=&page=Model&prevModel=&prevArea=&currKey=model&prevKey=model&cat= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 UKMET. Oh baby... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 ARW NMM based off nam. Wait till0Z to see them. They will have the new plane data then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm in love if this holds true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 So...the NAM CF was just that...the model seeing the convection in the Gulf. Go figure. *image hotlinked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I believe the ARW is GFS core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro holds! Seems even more qpf this run maybe. We will see here in a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawxworld Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro Update from Tombo: hr 42 sub 988 about 125 miles east of sand hook nj .1-.25 wellsboro to morgantown wv .25-.5 port jervis to lewistown to martinsburg .5-.75 pne to phl to del canal through rest of del...then ac expressway south Not sure I guess we would fall in the .25-.5 range right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 UKMET. Oh baby... That looks pretty good Zak.....you're doing OK today! Keep drinkin that Juice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 That looks pretty good Zak.....you're doing OK today! Keep drinkin that Juice... Opps wrong juice. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 finally some consensus....NAM is clearly the outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 finally some consensus....NAM is clearly the outlier. Well the NAM didn't have the plane data so that didn't help it's cause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 From HPC ...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING UP THE ATLANTIC COAST DAYS 1 AND2...PRELIMINARY PREFERENCE: GEM GLOBAL OR UKMETTHE NAM AND GFS TRACK THIS CYCLONE SLIGHTLY EAST OF THE 00ZEUROPEAN CENTRE GUIDANCE...WHICH HAD HUGGED THE DELMARVA SHOREWITH THE REDEVELOPMENT PHASE. THE GEM GLOBAL AND UKMET DIRECT THELOW JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA BY THE START OF DAY3...WHICH FITS CLIMATOLOGY THE BEST FOR THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WHICHHAS FINALLY SETTLED OUT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro qpf totals per Tombo: phl 1.25 ttn 1.15 balt .8-.9 abe .75-1 hazleton .6 avp .25-.5 fwn .75-1 dov 1.25-1.5 acy 1.25-1.5 lns .75-1 MDT .5-.75 HGR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro qpf totals per Tombo: phl 1.25 ttn 1.15 balt .8-.9 abe .75-1 hazleton .6 avp .25-.5 fwn .75-1 dov 1.25-1.5 acy 1.25-1.5 lns .75-1 MDT .5-.75 HGR 1 I'm in love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Some Euro numbers for your dining and dancing pleasure: UNV: .44 MDT: .78 HGR: .95 LNS: .79 DUJ: .17 JST: .47 I got a source..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawxworld Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro qpf totals per Tombo: phl 1.25 ttn 1.15 balt .8-.9 abe .75-1 hazleton .6 avp .25-.5 fwn .75-1 dov 1.25-1.5 acy 1.25-1.5 lns .75-1 MDT .5-.75 HGR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Here are a few more. unv .5 ipt .25-.5 aoo .5-.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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