Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 SREFs are wetter, pushing the .5" another 50 or so miles west Are you feeling a little better than you were say around 10am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm confused...is west a good thing or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm pretty confident on my 6-9 honestly.... Just got done at softball practice. The parents think its going to be mostly rain and a little 2" of snow.... Your parents last name, let me guess, is Finkenbinder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Are you feeling a little better than you were say around 10am? One stupid post in an entire week of following this storm - gimme a break! I'm better than some others ya know ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm confused...is west a good thing or no? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm posting this here for prosperity, from abc27 in Harrisburg: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Looking at the current surface map... the low appears to be in south central AL. The 18z GFS at 6 hours had the low off the FL panhandle in the GOM. Noticed however that the SPC analysis seems to indicate a second low trying to develop off the GA coast. Thoughts? In any event...check the SREF SLP. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/sref/21/images/sref_bsp_030s.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/sref/21/images/sref_bsp_033s.gif Nice spread towards the NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm posting this here for prosperity, from abc27 in Harrisburg: LOL. If no one in PA sees 3" or more then we should all pay them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm posting this here for prosperity, from abc27 in Harrisburg: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 One stupid post in an entire week of following this storm - gimme a break! I'm better than some others ya know ... Oh, no doubt. Honestly, I've felt like that too. You've been the voice of reason in here most of the afternoon anyway. Now let's bring this baby home... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm posting this here for prosperity, from abc27 in Harrisburg: That's absurd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wooo hoooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Noticed however that the SPC analysis seems to indicate a second low trying to develop off the GA coast. Thoughts? In any event...check the SREF SLP. http://www.nco.ncep....ef_bsp_030s.gif http://www.nco.ncep....ef_bsp_033s.gif Nice spread towards the NJ coast. There should be one weak low that rides up into TN, with a stronger coastal in ern NC. That should really help the precip make it well into PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Your parents last name, let me guess, is Finkenbinder? lol could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Nice! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_ref_024l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There should be one weak low that rides up into TN, with a stronger coastal in ern NC. That should really help the precip make it well into PA. Considering how bad everything looked yesterday and last night, I will be more than happy if I can get a warning criteria snowfall out of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i wonder if schools will cancel tomorrow? yes, i'm being funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 NAM still a little light with qpf. I think it's still too low. I mean look at what's going on in KY, TN right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The NAM evolution seems weird. Has an elongated low (With two detected SLPs). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The NAM evolution seems weird. Has an elongated low (With two detected SLPs). Ya that's why I think it's a little off. But, still not bad not bad at all. 6-8" near MD/PA line 4-7" NE from there to about 75 miles north of Allentown or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This is amazing...really has the potential to be the biggest positive bust I've seen here. Was expecting nothing yesterday and nam is now showing 2-4 for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The NAM's been a really, really bad model with this storm. This run very well could verify, but it's still been a poor showing for it throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This is amazing...really has the potential to be the biggest positive bust I've seen here. Was expecting nothing yesterday and nam is now showing 2-4 for my area. Good luck to you guys wayyy out west, rooting for ya with this one. That said, when my Red Sox come to town in June can you score me tickets? hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HRRR now has 2-3" by 11AM for areas around the MD line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 lol I go away for a few hours and all hell has broken loose? what in the blue hell is going on around here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Good luck to you guys wayyy out west, rooting for ya with this one. That said, when my Red Sox come to town in June can you score me tickets? hahahaha Buy them the day they go on sale, prices are very reasonable and you shouldn't have a prob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The 0z nam has busted already of sfc low position. It initialized with it in the FL panhandle, it's in EC AL This will still trend NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The 0z nam has busted already of sfc low position. It initialized with it in the FL panhandle, it's in EC AL This will still trend NW Ya I thought so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The 0z nam has busted already of sfc low position. It initialized with it in the FL panhandle, it's in EC AL This will still trend NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Weather balloon fail. Thus, NAM fail. SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGENWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD 0132Z WED JAN 26 2011 THE 00Z NAM MODEL HAS STARTED AND IS RUNNING ON TIME. OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE FOR NAM INGEST INCLUDED 14 ALASKAN...31 CANADIAN...68 CONUS...4 MEXICAN...AND 3 CARIBBEAN STATIONS. 00Z NAM RAOB RECAP... TBW/72210 - BALLOON FORCED DOWN BY ICING CONDITION...10151.APX/72634 - CODE 10159. MZT/76458 - CODE 10159. CWD CONTINUES UNTIL 26/0500Z. GOES-E RSO ONGOING UNTIL 26/0315Z. $ HANDEL/SDM/NCO/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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