The Iceman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00z NAM was a good hit for many of us in eastern regions but I think we see an even more westward trend tonight if the 500 mb of the NAM is any indication Discuss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not storm related by took the dog out just now and have a fresh coating with surprisingly steady snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What I think: --IPT on east still has a shot of some sorts (Whether that be 1% or 99%) of seeing a solid snowfall. --The tight gradient remains irksome but from what I hear it may not wind up as tight. --Last real concern is that some storms have seen a shift east within the last 24 hours (12/26 did) and of course if the gradient remains tight that could mean big changes in forecasts. --Overall, I feel a little better than I did this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00z NAM was a good hit for many of us in eastern regions but I think we see an even more westward trend tonight if the 500 mb of the NAM is any indication Discuss Definitely..... inside 48 is this model's "good" range, so tomorrow's 12z should be very telling now that the players will be on the field. And don't forget that the GFS will have some recon data for 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 westward trend.... bring the QPF west, and keep the cold solution. That is a SCPA bullseye and then spread the love NE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 JSTWNWx, How far of a correction do you think is coming. Enough to get Pitt back in the game?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 the reassuring part about this run is that the first 48 hours are a GREAT setup for much of our region and then it went sorta whacky. Doesnt leave quite as much to worry about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not storm related by took the dog out just now and have a fresh coating with surprisingly steady snow. Yeah I had just looked outside and saw there was a thin coating on cars and such and it was a steady light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is snow depth, btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not storm related by took the dog out just now and have a fresh coating with surprisingly steady snow. Just looked at the radar and it doesnt look too bad.We prob get more tonite from that then weds deal. I will take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Man, according to the NAM this storm doesn't even really get started until it looks like daybreak Thursday? This has been delayed 40 hours in like 5 runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not storm related by took the dog out just now and have a fresh coating with surprisingly steady snow. radar looks actually to be holding up pretty well up there...you may be able to squeeze a nice inch or so outta the clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This run for S.Central and SE PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is snow depth, btw. I should be in the red-orange if it's depth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 This run for S.Central and SE PA more like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Man, according to the NAM this storm doesn't even really get started until it looks like daybreak Thursday? This has been delayed 40 hours in like 5 runs! There is light stuff starting Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 JSTWNWx, How far of a correction do you think is coming. Enough to get Pitt back in the game?? Maybe to get you an inch or two...but the ridges eastward would get the most benefits at this point without a dramatic shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Im in the maroon ALMOST the purple..Id like to see that red orange a bit more west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Im in the maroon ALMOST the purple..Id like to see that red orange a bit more west... i think we're in a perfect spot now. a little continued trending west and it is game,set,match here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 i think we're in a perfect spot now. a little continued trending west and it is game,set,match here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 i think we're in a perfect spot now. a little continued trending west and it is game,set,match here Be careful not to count the inches before the snow falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Be careful not to count the inches before the snow falls. so true! as long as i'm counting more than about 4 it'll still be the best this season, so maybe i'm just too excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Just looked at the radar and it doesnt look too bad.We prob get more tonite from that then weds deal. I will take it. Looks decent for you. Big flakes coming down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Here's the 0z NAM clown map. It has MDT at the 3-4" line. I'll be happy with that, but that's not really worth jumping up and down for. And with the NAM loving to overdo qpf that's worrisome unless this comes west a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 HPC surface analysis puts LA surface low at 1009. GFS said in 2 hours it would be 1012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The one thing still bothering me is how 700mb RH is still showing a good bit of dry air being pulled into the storm rather early. This may be what is keeping the precip from showing further west with the qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLover Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Be careful not to count the inches before the snow falls. Love that quote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The one thing still bothering me is how 700mb RH is still showing a good bit of dry air being pulled into the storm rather early. This may be what is keeping the precip from showing further west with the qpf. Looks juicy to me. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_US/anim8wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Guys we really don't want a westward trend. The 850 low is dangerously close to us right now, which means snow crystal growth would not be favorable for the type of dendrites that pile up really quickly. This run of the NAM is the best we can hope for, given the synoptic setup. The lack of a 50/50 low and strong (1030mb+) high worry me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGEM S.central and SE would be crushed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.