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January 26-27 Snowstorm Disco IV


Baroclinic Zone

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Just waking up to see the Euro...looks like a slight bumps SE from 12z on most guidance. I'll remind everyone that we still have at least 48h to go. Seems like I read so many absolutes still when we are not set in stone yet "congrats logan11" to "congrats Taunton"....

GFS ensemble mean is still pretty tucked. Still a long ways to go.

You would like the MM 5 , juicy Lucy, still going at 60 with you smack in the middle of a .20 QPF per hour with about .80down, it has some previous QPF in NJ of 1.86

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Just waking up to see the Euro...looks like a slight bumps SE from 12z on most guidance. I'll remind everyone that we still have at least 48h to go. Seems like I read so many absolutes still when we are not set in stone yet "congrats logan11" to "congrats Taunton"....

GFS ensemble mean is still pretty tucked. Still a long ways to go.

Look out the window, turn on the lights.

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Southern stream is actually stronger through 36h than the 12z run but the northern stream is too, so I'm not sure how the end result will trend, but interesting nonetheless. 850 0C line runs about BWI to ACY at 36.

That is why I dodn't offer any guesses...not sure how it will play out. lol

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850 0C line has collapsed way offshore by 60h....all of NE -4C or colder.

Additional 6 hourly qpf totals are 0.50" from over Ekster's head to CON to BAF to HPN...>0.75 from just SE of ORH to near Steve in CT to between GON and HVN and all of LI

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