wxsniss Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not to detract from Will's/Messenger's outstanding analysis here... check out the Philadelphia thread for another outstanding play-by-play analysis of the EURO by Tombo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Just waking up to see the Euro...looks like a slight bumps SE from 12z on most guidance. I'll remind everyone that we still have at least 48h to go. Seems like I read so many absolutes still when we are not set in stone yet "congrats logan11" to "congrats Taunton".... GFS ensemble mean is still pretty tucked. Still a long ways to go. You would like the MM 5 , juicy Lucy, still going at 60 with you smack in the middle of a .20 QPF per hour with about .80down, it has some previous QPF in NJ of 1.86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Just waking up to see the Euro...looks like a slight bumps SE from 12z on most guidance. I'll remind everyone that we still have at least 48h to go. Seems like I read so many absolutes still when we are not set in stone yet "congrats logan11" to "congrats Taunton".... GFS ensemble mean is still pretty tucked. Still a long ways to go. Look out the window, turn on the lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 trended toward the GFS a little in the n stream....kicker little faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Mm5 this far out is junk. Tombos key word "broad" area of lp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Southern stream is actually stronger through 36h than the 12z run but the northern stream is too, so I'm not sure how the end result will trend, but interesting nonetheless. 850 0C line runs about BWI to ACY at 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 N stream much more involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Southern stream is actually stronger through 36h than the 12z run but the northern stream is too, so I'm not sure how the end result will trend, but interesting nonetheless. 850 0C line runs about BWI to ACY at 36. That is why I dodn't offer any guesses...not sure how it will play out. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 N stream much more involved. In a positive let's make friends or this is my house biatch? I'm on my cell can't look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Snowing heavily over most of SNE by 48h...0C 850 line runs from MVY to just S of NYC to just NW of PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Will, is this N stream gonna try to phase....just thrown it out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 euro sounds like a monster in the making! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 perfect for here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 850 0C from PYM to PVD to GON to central LI by 54h...all of SNE getting absolutely croaked with heavy precip with 6 hourly totals over 0.50" BOS-ORH-BAF southward with 0.25" 6 hourly up to PWM-CON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 AYE CURAMBA.....I think it phased.....bomb just inside BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Absolutely crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks like 984mb right on the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Oh my god Near perfection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 how we do w/ sleet issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Excuse me while I get some tissues........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Good lord...what are we looking at for QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 850 0C line has collapsed way offshore by 60h....all of NE -4C or colder. Additional 6 hourly qpf totals are 0.50" from over Ekster's head to CON to BAF to HPN...>0.75 from just SE of ORH to near Steve in CT to between GON and HVN and all of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 QPF (1" line) almost a carbon copy of 12z run...roughly ABE-POU-ORE-CON-IZG-BGR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow totally diff from The others more fun though night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I thought it was gonna phase, but I phrased it into a question because I was too scared to go there.....EURO took the kicker and made love to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 staying up just for this analysis. Once the run is finished let us know how where the NW cut of is in Central NH. After everything else tonight I had written off this storm pretty much for PLY NH but maybe will get into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 wow !!!!!!!!! too bad so many regulars called it a night in frustration... looks like a phase, 984 mb just over bm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Everyone along and SE of a IZG-CON-PSF line gets over 1" of qpf Everyone along and SE of a KGAY-ORH-TOL line gets > 1.50" of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 anyone have total qpf for Bos/ ORH? i get that where over 1 qpf...but how much verbatim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 the euro qpf didnt really budge.....maybe 5 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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