weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Well I feel pretty good about my chances of nearing 60 for the season by the weekend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks like GC is getting a nice snow burst now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 ESNE FTW...GFS ENS. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 messenger, nothing against you personally, but for every inch more of snow NW, one is sacrificed southeast. So I hope you sleet like there's no tomorrow. HA! I'm thinking my chances are improving of receiving a snow bomb with each run. Now I just need it to stay that way. ensembles nuke SErn areas YEP. Well I feel pretty good about my chances of nearing 60 for the season by the weekend.... No mix, lots of snow for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Couple of things to keep in mind. 1) We haven't seen the euro yet. 2) I think sne still looks good for some mid level fun imo. Where it sets up is yet to be determined, but I think many of us would get it on it at some point. 3) Not to beat a dead horse, but beware a nw tick in the last 24 hours. Now it might just mean a track to the BM, but just saying. I'd like to see the euro depiction. The 00z GFS was pretty close to the 12z euro, only GFS was more progressive. My guess is the euro may go a pube se, but probably not much. Maybe mid levels are cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow just went through the 0Z American runs... what a surprise. My last post 10 hours ago: EURO, GFS, UK, GGEM all converging on a BM to just-inside-BM track vs. NAM with a sheared out 2-energy solution... when will NAM cave... 18Z? 0Z? And yet the NAM holds. I'm not worried by the GFS. Agree with posters above, NAM/GFS have been a roulette wheel every 6 hours. I actually like the 0Z GGEM shift east, it was a western outlier and now is more in line with EURO. EURO has been consistent BM +/- 40 miles for the past 2 days. But tonight's run is huge. It's been said so many times before, and it's true yet again: this EURO run will be the most important run of our lives lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Couple of things to keep in mind. 1) We haven't seen the euro yet. 2) I think sne still looks good for some mid level fun imo. Where it sets up is yet to be determined, but I think many of us would get it on it at some point. 3) Not to beat a dead horse, but beware a nw tick in the last 24 hours. Now it might just mean a track to the BM, but just saying. I'd like to see the euro depiction. The 00z GFS was pretty close to the 12z euro, only GFS was more progressive. My guess is the euro may go a pube se, but probably not much. Maybe mid levels are cooler. I think we do pretty well.....not too many solutions don't give you and I a decent event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The boss has not arrived at the job site yet there youngster, I would wait before redesigning the house. I've got to say since I've started following his posts this year he's been really good - at least for this area. (Monads down to me and Moneypit) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think we do pretty well.....not too many solutions don't give you and I a decent event. Yeah I think I like where we are, but I want the 12z runs to seal it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What's the Ukie like at 60? I only have 48 and it is 993 just off the delmarva. it's a little west of the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah I think I like where we are, but I want the 12z runs to seal it. 12Z will come in more robust I think for qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks like GC is getting a nice snow burst now. Virga central. Just ticked above 0 at my house. Rare to see temps this low with cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Couple of things to keep in mind. 1) We haven't seen the euro yet. 2) I think sne still looks good for some mid level fun imo. Where it sets up is yet to be determined, but I think many of us would get it on it at some point. 3) Not to beat a dead horse, but beware a nw tick in the last 24 hours. Now it might just mean a track to the BM, but just saying. I'd like to see the euro depiction. The 00z GFS was pretty close to the 12z euro, only GFS was more progressive. My guess is the euro may go a pube se, but probably not much. Maybe mid levels are cooler. Exactly my thougts. Kudos to Messenger on these trends....I was asleep at the wheel, but this doesn't mean it won't tic a hair closer, yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GN all. Here's to another significant event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What's the Ukie like at 60? I only have 48 and it is 993 just off the delmarva. it's a little west of the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah me too - I will catch the Euro reports in the morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Good night all. Good luck on the Doc...I'll check him in the AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Exactly my thougts. Kudos to Messenger on these trends....I was asleep at the wheel, but this doesn't mean it won't tic a hair closer, yet. Yeah if the euro goes a little se, then that nrn stream vortmax is likely responsible. These southern systems can do some strange things last minute to amplify the pattern, once they intensify down south, but he's had some good analysis so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Meanwhile... SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 959 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011 ...LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT WILL CREATE SLICK SPOTS FOR THE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON COMMUTE... LIGHT SNOW FALLING ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK LATE MONDAY EVENING WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AFTER 3 AM TUESDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AND MAY FALL AT A MODERATE INTENSITY FOR A TIME BETWEEN 6 AM AND 10 AM...BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE HIGHER TOTALS ACROSS THE INTERIOR. PLAN TO USE SOME EXTRA TIME AND CAUTION IF TRAVELING TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Virga central. Just ticked above 0 at my house. Rare to see temps this low with cloud cover. Dry as heck but this acts to wet the atmosphere, another reason QPF ticks up tomorrow, no dry air to eat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow, we're falling off like dominoes tonight. I to am off to bed but with visions of NW trends dancing in my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It's looking a little better for you I think which is good. You and Phil have gotten the shaft. I've done a lot better than Phil, he's gotten royally hosed a few times. Even in these new solutions he's on the wrong side of the fence for a few hours. I like what I've seen tonight but it needs to stick with the next couple of runs before I'll get out the shovel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Like what I see out of the 00z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If I was at your house I would be chuckin them everywhere. I'm thinking about it, but chuckin' them can be dangerous... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Like what I see out of the 00z suite. Im disappointed in the efforts the nw trend has given me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 its snowing out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Color 00z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Im disappointed in the efforts the nw trend has given me You should probably move S for a couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 NAM map from earlier if it wasn't posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Boy, Harv's uber sharp cutoff to the north looks good after the 0z suite doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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