Kbosch Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Agree, all are big hits with lots of moisture for SNE, how I get 12+ does not matter to me one iota. I had my mega storm, a nice storm with a ramp up to thumper would be awesome.look at the 7 h tracks, perfect. This. I'm feeling good about moisture and tracks, only concern is mixing. It'll happen, but the question is for how long. If we don't see a NW bump in this like everything else I would be shocked (not that MBY really needs it). And that MBY part is the problem with the model analysis, some people cheering and some booing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Ginx, is it snowing in Moosup, looks like it on radar? Virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I feel sorry for the folks who just browse looking for updated concise discussion...reading through this thread the past few days has been entirely confusing, some people saying things look great, others saying things look like crap, it's so hard gauging a consensus from everyone...one of the most confusing times I've had on here I dunno - sort of lets the casual browser know that nobody really knows WTF is coming. If I were in NW CT or GC I'd be pretty stoked. Looks like this may be one of those storms where folks SE of I84 get a mixed bag o' crap that gets worse the farther SE you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM is on board, shifted east considerably. I like what I'm seeing here, getting close to a Kevin lock job, now just waiting on the Euro. It too is really limiting precip in the NW quadrant. Big trend tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What's great for my by may not be so for yours.... To be fair the complexion, evolution, and timing of this event has been changing every six hours. Philadelphia's forecast for example has totally changed over the past couple days. And some of the instant model analysis has been uncharaceristically all over the map in this thread with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You have one little spoke of higher QPF......even if that verified (likely won't)...like I said, there wouldn't be many spots over 1'. Dude! It's the GFS, all these runs are telling me is that the Euro comes in colder. Even the Euro has QPF maxes over the gulf stream and why wouldn't it. Game on bro game on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM is on board, shifted east considerably. I like what I'm seeing here, getting close to a Kevin lock job, now just waiting on the Euro. It too is really limiting precip in the NW quadrant. Big trend tonight. On board meaning like the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS Snow numbers are no higher than 4 anywhere. 4 in the following places: BDL/DXR/IJD/MMK/OXC in CT SZF in RI AQW/BAF/BED/BOS/BVY/CEF/FIT/LWM/MQE/ORH/ORE/OWD/PSF in MA. AFN/ASH/CON/DAW/EEN/LCI/MHT/PSM in NH AUG/BGR/BHB/IWI/IZG/NHZ/PWM/RKD/SFM/WVL in ME No other places in the MOS grid in NE. 4 is the top and only at those stations listed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I dunno - sort of lets the casual browser know that nobody really knows WTF is coming. If I were in NW CT or GC I'd be pretty stoked. Looks like this may be one of those storms where folks SE of I84 get a mixed bag o' crap that gets worse the farther SE you are. If I was at your house I would be chuckin them everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GEM is outside the BM....EURO will probably continue east some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS Snow numbers are no higher than 4 anywhere. 4 in the following places: BDL/DXR/IJD/MMK/OXC in CT SZF in RI AQW/BAF/BED/BOS/BVY/CEF/FIT/LWM/MQE/ORH/ORE/OWD/PSF in MA. AFN/ASH/CON/DAW/EEN/LCI/MHT/PSM in NH AUG/BGR/BHB/IWI/IZG/NHZ/PWM/RKD/SFM/WVL in ME No other places in the MOS grid in NE. 4 is the top and only at those stations listed. Jan 12 th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM looks to be an enormous hit for eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 On board meaning like the Euro? No, game on meaning it's better for cc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM looks to be an enormous hit for eastern MA. I'm actually getting pretty excited Jerry. Been a unanimous swing tonight towards what you just said. Only ones left our are the Euro, ENS, and models like the MM5/ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Well that about does it. 4-8" here. 4-8" southern CT. 6-12" western MA. Up to 8-14" southeast NH and northern CT. 12-18" eastern half of MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Jan 12 th Yes. But a flag nonetheless. You can ignore the warning signs of a potential pedestrian event or weenie 18+ whatever floats your boat... I have been saying for days 6-12. No reason to deviate over or under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If this doesn't work out we have this to look forward to: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_228m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GEM is outside the BM....EURO will probably continue east some. Petes windshield wiper, colder a little east, deform here I come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM looks to be an enormous hit for eastern MA. I'd like my chances of getting the band that the Berks have been getting, were that to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM is on board, shifted east considerably. I like what I'm seeing here, getting close to a Kevin lock job, now just waiting on the Euro. It too is really limiting precip in the NW quadrant. Big trend tonight. Yup, anyone living N of the Pike and W. of ORH I really wouldn't be expecting a major hit based on model trends. I'm still happy if I pull 3-6" and would love to lock up at least that to freshen things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yes. But a flag nonetheless. You can ignore the warning signs of a potential pedestrian event or weenie 18+ whatever floats your boat... I have been saying for days 6-12. No reason to deviate over or under. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm actually getting pretty excited Jerry. Been a unanimous swing tonight towards what you just said. Only ones left our are the Euro, ENS, and models like the MM5/ARW It's looking a little better for you I think which is good. You and Phil have gotten the shaft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yes. But a flag nonetheless. You can ignore the warning signs of a potential pedestrian event or weenie 18+ whatever floats your boat... I have been saying for days 6-12. No reason to deviate over or under. Yea, I could see this turning into a general 6-12 deal....remember that these east soloutions are also more progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Ensembles look a little se from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Boston FTW...GFS ENS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 messenger, nothing against you personally, but for every inch more of snow NW, one is sacrificed southeast. So I hope you sleet like there's no tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Well that about does it. 4-8" here. 4-8" southern CT. 6-12" western MA. Up to 8-14" southeast NH and northern CT. 12-18" eastern half of MA. The boss has not arrived at the job site yet there youngster, I would wait before redesigning the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It's looking a little better for you I think which is good. You and Phil have gotten the shaft. I'll take SKI mrg's deform. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 ensembles nuke SErn areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Well that about does it. 4-8" here. 4-8" southern CT. 6-12" western MA. Up to 8-14" southeast NH and northern CT. 12-18" eastern half of MA. Those totals seem generous coming from you considering eastward trend and possible dual system. I ride your forecasts b/c they tend to be right on for N. Franklin Co. so I'm happy with that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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