weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 IOW, translation please? in other words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm thinking the NW trend to any scale is probably not happening. GFS and UK are pretty darn similar from what I can see. Def suggestion of a couple of different precip maxes. We are back in the game..although the 850/700 thickness may mean a prolonged period of sleet until the CCB hits us as the storm passes the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 IOW, translation please? In other words... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm thinking the NW trend to any scale is probably not happening. GFS and UK are pretty darn similar from what I can see. Def suggestion of a couple of different precip maxes. Keep in mind we had a pretty clear consensus before past events only to see them tick back NW... Snow doesn't start for another 48 hours...let's see the next couple cycles before throwing that out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm thinking the NW trend to any scale is probably not happening. GFS and UK are pretty darn similar from what I can see. Def suggestion of a couple of different precip maxes. I wonder how much falls between 48 and 54? Those maps don't show it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm thinking the NW trend to any scale is probably not happening. GFS and UK are pretty darn similar from what I can see. Def suggestion of a couple of different precip maxes. Whats it going to do go SE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Bouchard is going with a wide spread 10 to 15 and areas will see up to 20.... Moved the 10 to 15 way down to the South Shore..... None of the 3 W. Ma tv mets would even post an accumulation map and all mentioned "possibility for a moderate snow storm". That tells me they are all concerned about modeled qpf and don't want to get people worked up over what may only be an advisory event in the I-91 corridor west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Keep in mind we had a pretty clear consensus before past events only to see them tick back NW... Snow doesn't start for another 48 hours...let's see the next couple cycles before throwing that out. Yeah I know, but I don't see it this time to a degree that's going to bring it back to ACK. I may be wrong but I see concerns the other way now as we see intererence from the SE/E. I wonder how much falls between 48 and 54? Those maps don't show it... Probably the same as the GFS. The NAM/RGEM/GFS/UK are all slamming hits for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Next weekend into Monday could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro has not really blinked in the past 4 days. If it holds, I would be very reluctant to stray much from it. GFS/NAM has been all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah I know, but I don't see it this time to a degree that's going to bring it back to ACK. I may be wrong but I see concerns the other way now as we see intererence from the SE/E. Probably the same as the GFS. The NAM/RGEM/GFS/UK are all slamming hits for most of us. You forgot the Dr....he is too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 A nice high would probably help develop the CCB a little better, but I actually like the mid level look later Wednesday Night into Thursday morning. QPF fetishes may have to be put on the back burner for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You forgot the Dr....he is too. DR. No isn't as good down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Did he chop it to the n.... he shifted the higher amounts area south, not sure if that affected your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If you guys go out to 72 hours on the GFS and press 60 hour total, it's a preety darn good hit for Eastern, Mass except for the Cape and islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 euro is king! Euro has not really blinked in the past 4 days. If it holds, I would be very reluctant to stray much from it. GFS/NAM has been all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah I know, but I don't see it this time to a degree that's going to bring it back to ACK. I may be wrong but I see concerns the other way now as we see intererence from the SE/E. Probably the same as the GFS. The NAM/RGEM/GFS/UK are all slamming hits for most of us. Agree, all are big hits with lots of moisture for SNE, how I get 12+ does not matter to me one iota. I had my mega storm, a nice storm with a ramp up to thumper would be awesome.look at the 7 h tracks, perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 DR. No isn't as good down there. I refer to it as Dr. Evil. I think it folds some tonight, even if it doesn't it hasn't been infallable this year...i'd ride the consensus of the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah I know, but I don't see it this time to a degree that's going to bring it back to ACK. I may be wrong but I see concerns the other way now as we see intererence from the SE/E. Probably the same as the GFS. The NAM/RGEM/GFS/UK are all slamming hits for most of us. Nope...and that's exactly what I wrote this morning...changes in the northern stream can negate the usual southern stream amplification trend. I still think there will be a slight northwest trend with this one...and I would still bet on a track just a hair inside the benchmark...but SE of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 A nice high would probably help develop the CCB a little better, but I actually like the mid level look later Wednesday Night into Thursday morning. QPF fetishes may have to be put on the back burner for some. Yea, it will throw more to the nw than modeled, but I don't see many spots coming in with over 1' if the GFS and UK are right....it's better for the se because it's more disjointed, but not for the rest of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 DR. No isn't as good down there. True.....but he is probably the most correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I refer to it as Dr. Evil. I think it folds some tonight, even if it doesn't it hasn't been infallable this year...i'd ride the consensus of the others. There is no consensus...not a one of them has had the same solution 6 hours later. GFS/NAM are unstable as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Ginx, is it snowing in Moosup, looks like it on radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I feel sorry for the folks who just browse looking for updated concise discussion...reading through this thread the past few days has been entirely confusing, some people saying things look great, others saying things look like crap, it's so hard gauging a consensus from everyone...one of the most confusing times I've had on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 True.....but he is probably the most correct. Probably and I hope so......GFS and UK are nice hits, but they are nothing special....EURO is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yea, it will throw more to the nw than modeled, but I don't see many spots coming in with over 1' if the GFS and UK are right....it's better for the se because it's more disjointed, but not for the rest of us. Looks good to me GFS prints out over1.25 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS has 486 thicknesses over us next weekend......severe cold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I feel sorry for the folks who just browse looking for updated concise discussion...reading through this thread the past few days has been entirely confusing, some people saying things look great, others saying things look like crap, it's so hard gauging a consensus from everyone...one of the most confusing times I've had on here What's great for my by may not be so for yours.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks good to me GFS prints out over1.25 here You have one little spoke of higher QPF......even if that verified (likely won't)...like I said, there wouldn't be many spots over 1'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 so I'm at the airprot in Tokyo.. looks like we are all clear for some snow, glad I changed my flight, hope we get better than 10" or my work will be like WTF.. ( they are paying for the change fee ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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