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Florida Severe threat


janetjanet998

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True, the more "classic" supercell structures have failed to develop (so far)... but you can still get a long tracker if a break in the squall line maintains itself, such as the one north of Tampa.

The line north of Tampa is looking pretty interesting. We will have to see how the line maintains itself once it moves inland.

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True, the more "classic" supercell structures have failed to develop (so far)... but you can still get a long tracker if a break in the squall line maintains itself, such as the one north of Tampa.

Looks like storms are starting to pop up in the rural area between Lake Okeechobee and Orlando.

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Looks like storms are starting to pop up in the rural area between Lake Okeechobee and Orlando.

Yeah those I the ones I am keeping my eye on, but nothing as of yet... They are starting to take on a comma shape in reflectivity, however I do not see any rotation with them. Also keep an eye on the stuff just to the southwest of Fort Myers, those are coming into a more favorable environment. Wicked line just north of Tampa...

post-382-0-70089900-1295990720.png

post-382-0-84631700-1295990741.png

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One of my friends just moved to the Tampa area 2 weeks ago. He has no idea what Florida thunderstoms are like. LOL. He's used to NJ thunderstorms. He's about to get a quick education I think.

Meh. This isn't really the common Florida thunderstorm. This is more like what you would experience in Jersey during the summer with a cold front and associated squall line. There is just a slightly greater threat for quick spinups in this set up.

I think the areas that are really under the gun the next few hours and where I would be suprised if something did not spin up are Sumter, Lake, Volusia, and then getting into Brevard after 7pm..

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Meh. This isn't really the common Florida thunderstorm. This is more like what you would experience in Jersey during the summer with a cold front and associated squall line. There is just a slightly greater threat for quick spinups in this set up.

I think the areas that are really under the gun the next few hours and where I would be suprised if something did not spin up are Sumter, Lake, Volusia, and then getting into Brevard after 7pm..

I live Northwest of Lakeland and a little quick T-storm just went through that popped up ahead of the squall line. It was really brief but with it came a really quick burst of small hail. On radar the storm didn't look impressive at all. Really strange!!!

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Likely a strong tornado on the ground in Marion county, just ene of Eastlake Weir, passed just west of Lady Lake a few minutes ago

post-382-0-08697500-1295992626.png

It's hard to say. That's definitely not a signature of a strong tornado - the couplet is just too broad and doesn't have very strong rotation right near the center. However, since the supercell in question is so far from the radar, what we're seeing there is an elevated look at the storm mesocyclone, which is expected to be less "tight" than a tornado signature lower in the storm. It is possible that the surface circulation is stronger, or it could be weaker. Looks like NWS is playing it on the safe side and issuing a warning either way.

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Tampa

375

WFUS52 KTBW 252209

TORTBW

FLC057-103-252245-

/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0004.110125T2209Z-110125T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL

509 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

SOUTHEASTERN PINELLAS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 545 PM EST

* AT 508 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

TORNADO NEAR LEALMAN...OR NEAR SAINT PETERSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 45

MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

LEALMAN.

MACDILL AIR FORCE BASE.

TAMPA.

GIBSONTON.

RIVERVIEW.

BLOOMINGDALE.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL

538 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EST FOR CENTRAL

HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...

AT 531 PM EST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A WATERSPOUT NEAR APOLLO

BEACH...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRANDON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THE WATERSPOUT WILL BE NEAR...

GIBSONTON.

BOYETTE.

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Is it just me, or are these little cells in the center of the state all-the-sudden starting to hook/rotate?

post-378-0-30101300-1295995394.gif

YEP

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL

545 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

EASTERN POLK COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

NORTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 615 PM EST

* AT 541 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

TWO TORNADOS ONE NEAR FROSTPROOF...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF LAKE

WALES...AND THE OTHER NEAR SEBRING BOTH MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

FROSTPROOF.

LAKE WALES.

SEBRING.

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Unconfirmed reports of a tornado touchdown in Ocklawaha, 2 miles SE of me and 3 miles to my west just north of Belleview.

Things were quite impressive as everything came through. Basically a white out with a lot of wind.

Now, just the calm after the storm.

That was one of the more ominous skies I have seen in my 5+ years here.

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I was waiting outside for the squall to come in, it was pretty cool. I could hear the roar of the wind in the distance and then it kept coming closer. Winds werent too strong though, maybe 40 mph at most. It was tough driving back though.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL

642 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0615 PM TORNADO 4 WNW MYAKKA HEAD 27.50N 82.14W

01/25/2011 MANATEE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

PUBLIC REPORT OF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 64 AND

WINGATE ROAD. NO DAMAGE REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

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Good Strong straight lines with this squall line

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL

635 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0614 PM TSTM WND GST SANFORD 28.79N 81.28W

01/25/2011 M63 MPH SEMINOLE FL ASOS

SANFORD/ORLANDO AIRPORT ASOS PEAK WIND 27055/2314

0616 PM TSTM WND GST ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL A 28.43N 81.32W

01/25/2011 M44 MPH ORANGE FL ASOS

KMCO ASOS REMARK PK WND 28038/2316

0631 PM TSTM WND GST PORT ORANGE 29.12N 81.03W

01/25/2011 E60 MPH VOLUSIA FL TRAINED SPOTTER

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Very bold wording:

...WIND GUSTS OF 75 TO 90 MPH INDICATED BY RADAR HEADED TOWARD

VIERA...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EST FOR CENTRAL

BREVARD...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES...

AT 711 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO

DETECT A TORNADO AND STRONG STRAIGHT LINE WINDS MOVING NORTHEAST

TOWARD SPACE COAST STADIUM...VIERA...SOUTH MERRITT ISLAND...

AND COCOA BEACH!!!

IF YOU LIVE IN THIS AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY

FROM WINDOWS NOW!!!

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Unconfirmed reports of a tornado touchdown in Ocklawaha, 2 miles SE of me and 3 miles to my west just north of Belleview.

Things were quite impressive as everything came through. Basically a white out with a lot of wind.

Now, just the calm after the storm.

Boy the line really wimped out for me here north of Lakeland. Just a rain event , very little wind or lightning. I missed all the fun with this event.

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