Dave5 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'm in school in Beverly, Ma (north shore of boston). What is the general consensus at this time of when is being forecasted for this are? I'm right on the ocean, dont know if that will have any effect with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Can you see hour 66? No every 12 hr unfortunately. However, since it seems close to the op, I would assume hr 66 on the ensembles would be close to the op. If anything, the ensembles might be a hair cooler during that time, since the 540 line crashes further se at hr 72, as compared to the op run. 850 0C line is a hair se at 12z Thursday on the ensembles, as compared to the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 sorry Sorry about that this is 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 With the consensus track that we have now, PVD to BOS will do very well. Taint seems to be less with each run. Its the final tic west that will keep me up at night, all the storms have this year and sitting on the fence hurts my ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 sorry Sorry about that this is 15z I'll take that every day and twice on Sunday. Looks like a 6''+ storm is a decent bet at this point with the possibility for more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I worry more that about 20% are basically a miss still. Good thing it's not the other way around Heck, look at the NAM still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'll take that every day and twice on Sunday. Looks like a 6''+ storm is a decent bet at this point with the possibility for more. yeah I would take it too any day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Euro is like 1.70 or 1.75" of qpf for BOS almost all snow, maybe a few pingers at the height. Could someone post a map for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 No every 12 hr unfortunately. However, since it seems close to the op, I would assume hr 66 on the ensembles would be close to the op. If anything, the ensembles might be a hair cooler during that time, since the 540 line crashes further se at hr 72, as compared to the op run. 850 0C line is a hair se at 12z Thursday on the ensembles, as compared to the op. Thanks Scott, still livin' on the each here, but hopefully things play out like modeled today or tick colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Its the final tic west that will keep me up at night, all the storms have this year and sitting on the fence hurts my ass. Sounds like you need a wider fence, with a cusioned top rail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 15z ETA crushes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Thanks Scott, still livin' on the each here, but hopefully things play out like modeled today or tick colder. We'll ping for a long time but it will all be worth it. At this point all I hope for is staying all frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Could someone post a map for this? No, the Euro qpf comes from vendor or pay sites so it cannot be redistributed on a public domain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Good thing it's not the other way around Heck, look at the NAM still I was looking at erin's map....as it turns out the 15z's are even a litlte touchier. That's some significant spread. 42h NAM is now in line with the RGEM in terms of ML placement... wxwatcher91 is right, something is off at init each time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 We'll ping for a long time but it will all be worth it. At this point all I hope for is staying all frozen. As long as you aren't in Lordship you should be good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Sounds like you need a wider fence, with a cusioned top rail. LMAO indeed I do the way the 0c line is going to situate my front yard gets rain and my back yard gets a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 If it trends any further south, it might do a little redevelop stunt S of LI like the last one did that gave us 4-8"....the 5h looks pretty good for that already to be honest. yea, the GGEM has this appeal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Here are the weenie maps. A few things to note. Solid Black lines = 500mb Height Lines Solid white lines = Sea Level MSLP Dashed lines = 850MB temps. Blue being the 0C isotherm Light grey line = surface 0CF isotherm Solid yellow line = the 850-700 1540 line. Solid Red = 1000-850 1300 line. Blue shading = low level RH (1000-850 or so) Green shading = 850-500 RH. Steve can put this in an animated GIF if he wants. Or whoever wants to tackle it. Here it is from 03z Thursday until 15z Thursday. Hey, I think I might be all snow on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 18z NAM thus far has made a significant shift toward the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Not to go out on a tangent. But here's more pics from that storm: http://super-ligue.com/tempete.htm Very cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 No, the Euro qpf comes from vendor or pay sites so it cannot be redistributed on a public domain. I figured that, since I can't find QPFs for it anywhere. Was worth the shot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 18z NAM thus far has made a significant shift toward the 12z GFS. It's coming more into line with the consensus. It's not nearly as fast as the GFS which was an outlier anyway. Still insists on the offshore vorticies and an associated dry slot just off Hatteras at 48/54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'm in school in Beverly, Ma (north shore of boston). What is the general consensus at this time of when is being forecasted for this are? I'm right on the ocean, dont know if that will have any effect with this event. Heavy heavy snow and school cancellations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nothing like blizz's edges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 okay, well not "significant" but there's some positive change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Not to go out on a tangent. But here's more pics from that storm: http://super-ligue.com/tempete.htm Very cool. Worth while tangent. Holy crap. Is there a point where there's just too much snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Not to go out on a tangent. But here's more pics from that storm: http://super-ligue.com/tempete.htm Very cool. Where in Canada is that and how much fell from that storm? I am sure there was snow on the ground before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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